Bertz
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Everything posted by Bertz
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If you're down on the trade I really recommend this piece from Dan Szymborski. Madrigal projects to ~13 WAR the next 5 years, at or above 2.5 per year, and at or above a .297 average each year. Similarly, Heuer projects to a 3.50 - 3.80 ERA every remaining year of his. These guys are part of the core right now. No wishcasting or development needed. Maybe Madrigal's style isn't part of your baseball aesthetic, or maybe you preferred actual prospects, but this was a coup from a value standpoint. And considering the team has a whole crop of carved up hams down in the DR and AZ I think it's a fantastic compliment to what's already in house and what they did with other deadline deals.
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Keith Law on Kilian.
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There's no law saying the Cubs can't trade Nico (or Madrigal) plus something for pitching and sign a good SS in the offseason. Yeah, I kind of wonder if we don't see Nico start getting time in CF again when he's off the IL. Next year he can own center (or at least the RH half of a platoon) until Davis is ready, and then shift into a Zobtist/supersub role.
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Yeah, just to get to the relatively modest payroll of this year would leave a crap ton of money available. They'll definitely spend some, but I doubt they'll spend enough. Yeah, the team will enter the winter ~$100M short of where they were to open this season. Which itself is the lowest they've run since 2015. They could do something like Corey Seager, Tommy Pham, and Marcus Stroman without even running a top 10 payroll. I imagine the plan is something akin to what the Blue Jays did last winter. Sign a star to a mega contract (probably one of the shortstops) and then try to be opportunistic with short term deals and pillow contracts.
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Javy traded to Mets, won't learn any of their names
Bertz replied to Derwood's topic in Chicago Cubs Talk
What's that a reference to? Jarred Kelenic -
Javy traded to Mets, won't learn any of their names
Bertz replied to Derwood's topic in Chicago Cubs Talk
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Yeah, an underrated aspect of today is how much of a beautiful mess this game is going to be
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Madrigal was #42 on Fangraphs' Trade Value series like a week ago https://blogs.fangraphs.com/2021-trade-value-41-to-50/ He also projects north of 2 WAR each of the next five years. I'm very okay getting immediate safe value to contrast all the teenagers with limitless potential we're getting in other deals.
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Wow good for Michael breaking that! Gimme Vaughn and pitching plz
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Post Schwarber deal so.... :dontknow:
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It's happening
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OMG
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Sitting mid 90's is a big diff from touching mid 90's like the reports from the winter say
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This is clearly a guy that they think they can Pitch Lab up, because on the surface he seems to be pretty meh
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Minor League Discussion & Boxes, 7-28-21
Bertz replied to CaliforniaRaisin's topic in Cubs Minor League Talk
He's been red hot since basically mid June. Honestly just about every bat in the system got off to a slow start. I don't know how fair it is to just yell "Pandemic" and pretend May didn't happen though. -
I think you're grossly overrating the value of a comp pick? For a big market team like the Cubs, it's going to come in at approximately pick #70. At that point you're looking at, by FG methodology, a 40 FV guy (Org Top 30 type). The Rangers in this deal got two guys of that caliber, plus a 45 (Org Top 10 type) and a 50 FV (Overall Top 100). I mean Andrew Chafin netted out well north of a comp pick, KB certainly will.
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About a week ago, Jeff Passan wrote this I'd guess KB's only a smidge more valuable than Starling Marte. So while the shape may be wildly different, that set the market IMO.
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