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Bertz

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Everything posted by Bertz

  1. Bertz
    Jake's had a lot more juice on the fastball the last two outings. It hasn't actually meant anything yet, but I think if you promise me he'll continue to be 93-94 from here on out I'm likely to believe he can be salvaged.
  2. Bertz
    For this year's Rockies, on the road, forcing the Brewers to use both Williams and Hader is about as much as you can expect. Hopefully they get them in the game once more this weekend, because that'll affect our series next week.
  3. Bertz
    I assume he meant each of the teams individually. Cubs were 3-0 against LA before yesterday with 4 games left. yeah that makes sense now Yeah, that's what I was going for. I like to see that we're competitive against the relevant teams on the schedule. We got worked by the Braves and the Giants (though haven't seen the Giants at Wrigley yet), and TBD against the White Sox, but that's have really stood up to all the other good teams on the schedule.
  4. Bertz
    Am I wrong or does last night ensure that we'll end the season with winning records against each of the Dodgers, Padres, and Mets? I don't think H2H results mean a ton, but it's more reassuring than if our record was built on being like 14-1 against the Pirates and well under against everyone else.
  5. Bertz
    I saw one of the Twitter guys mention that Bain was going really heavy with the curve tonight. That may explain both the good and the bad of his outing. 3 HBPs could just be three overcooked curves, and if the staff is telling you to go curve curve curve for development reasons I'm much more comfortable with the messy line. I also wonder how much things like that play into the rocky outings we've see from guys like Jensen recently. When Jensen's been on people have kind of complained that he's leaning too hard on his fastball. So are his rough outings lately because the org is trying to have him work on specific secondaries?
  6. Bertz
    No, I like him too. I feel like he figured out at some point midway last year he doesn't have to try so damn hard and he's been good since.
  7. Bertz
    I'm really excited to see how Little does. He looked horsefeathering awesome in ST.
  8. Bertz
    I think broadly pitching has been WAY ahead of the hitting. The Low A East, which is where MB is, has 24 qualified hitters with a K rate north of 30%. The entire major leagues have 10 such guys. You have the year+ long layoff and combined with the fact that a lot of these guys would have gone to a Eugene in the before times anyways. MB's lineup is a disaster, but I'm pretty comfortable waiting until October, looking back and saying "okay, did the guy progress as the season went on?". Jordan Nwogu, being a college guy, is the only one who might not deserve that benefit of the doubt. The Tenn lineup though? I'm very happy with those guys. They've all made the A Ball -> AA jump without huge warts (maybe Strumpf's K rate if it stays this high more than another few weeks?).
  9. Bertz
    Steamer Projections for Brennen Davis are up to .245/.311/.418, which is a slightly better than league average line (101 wRC+). That's way up from the .199/.248/.320 he was projected for coming into the year. Him being a league average bat already is probably aggressive, but he's on track to be at a point where you plan that he'll the MLB CFer for the bulk of next year. Figure he stays at Tenn for another ~6 weeks, and then closes the last third of the season at Iowa. No major trip ups, and he's a good ST away from opening the season with the team.
  10. Bertz
    On Twitter they said his hand was bleeding. Assuming it's a bad blister or nail situation.
  11. Bertz
    I'm just not keen on Fabian and his numerous strikeouts. I don't really think Kiley has much of a read on this team, so I'd imagine this is more speculation than rumor. I actually don't know who does have their finger on the pulse for the team at this point. Callis did for a really long time but I don't know if that's still true here in the Kantrovitz era.
  12. Bertz
    Did he and Zach Davies pee in the same water fountain and switch bodies or something?
  13. Bertz
  14. Bertz
    Morel excluding his Horsefeathers first two weeks is now at .225/.352/.438 with 5 SBs, 17 BBs, AND 18 Ks. The Southern League is so tough that's a 122 wRC+. And he still only has a .235 BABIP over that time (again though, it's much tougher to attribute BABIP swings to luck for minor leaguers. Davis is up to .250/.389/.386 with a 126 wRC+. The Ks are too high, but he's only been at it for 13 games (and he has not had K problems previously) Chase Strumpf is at .200/.302/.327 for an 81 wRC+. His K rate is similar to Brennen's. Unlike Brennen, his swing and miss has been an issue for a while. Still pretty early though, he's only got 14 AA games under his belt Amaya before we got hurt (do we know his issue yet?) was at .215/.406/.304 with 21 BBs and 22 Ks (117 wRC+). Zero power, but power is by far the streakiest hitter attribute, and it hasn't been an issue for him historically. All four guys have shown warts, but except for Amaya it's pretty aggressive for each guy to be at AA right now. I'd guess that at least two of these guys are at Iowa before the end of the season, and all four open up next season there.
  15. Bertz
    Craig seems off. My guess is more warn out than anything too serious. Hopefully the offense explodes for a week or two to give him a week on his ass to rest his arm
  16. Bertz
    Michael Hermosillo is on an incredible run with Iowa. He was hurt the first month, but in his limited time back he was at .389/.522/.722 BEFORE going 2/2 with a double and a walk so far tonight. I feel like this winter he was probably the most interesting of the AAA lottery tickets, so it's interesting to see him come out of the gate like this.
  17. Bertz
    Woodruff getting knocked around with 5 runs in the first. @Coors is always a tough series no matter how bad the Rockies are in a given season
  18. Bertz
  19. Bertz
    I assume Howard already being out of the game is a load management thing, but definitely a bit concerned
  20. Bertz
    Should we be paying attention to Perlaza? He's holding up decently well at SB, he's still age appropriate, and he was a big $ IFA signing.
  21. Bertz
    Spaeder is a horsefeathering clown. Yeah most of these seem pretty flimsy. Single season home and away splits? Like come on. From a lot of reporting from a lot of legit people it seems very likely the Yankees did something real bad in 2017, but the rest of these....
  22. Bertz
    Here's the full set of dominos. I assume we're essentially getting a Stock-Abbott piggyback start?
  23. Bertz
  24. Bertz
    He's only been recently stretched out, so he'll only go 3-4 innings. But he's apparently been sitting upper 90's throughout his appearances and was hitting 101 on the regular when he was still doing 1 inning stints. I don't expect a long term starter but he might be really fun in some sort of hybrid once through the order role (kinda like Keegan Thompson has held since he's come up).
  25. Bertz
    I might try to make Serg!o a thing. If he and Wisdom are even sort of real, this offseason becomes much less scary. This would be our lineup going into the offseason: C - Willson 1B - Wisdom 2B - Sergio SS - Hoerner 3B - Bote LF - ¯\_(ツ)_/¯ CF - Happ RF - Heyward Is that good? Horsefeathers no. But with ~$100M to spend this offseason, that's a solid enough base before you open up the checkbook. Especially since Iowa will likely have four real prospects in Davis, Amaya, Strumpf, and Morel.
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