Bertz

Have to think it's that much more likely Davis and Morel see AAA this year. At minimum for that few weeks after Tenn's season ends.

I don’t know all the answers to this but I do know the 180 limit only counts guys on team’s rosters (even if they don’t get into box score games), so the 60-day IL is a way to stash a guy (but not the 7-day IL). Yeah I saw something about how this might also be part of why the Angels and Dodgers went as heavy on pitching as they did. I don't know the contours of the rules, but loading up on pitchers made it easier to skirt them.

Sounds like Willy wants out. Or wants someone else (Rizzo?) out

I think this line from Cubs Central's live blog is the big question. The Cubs probably saved money on each pick from 5-10, so where's that money going? I didn't think Triantos or Gray sounded particularly expensive. So does that mean they're going to be able to shoot a fairly significant shot in round 11? Or am I misreading one of those guys, Gray probably being most likely.

I feel like I really like this draft so far. Obviously TBD on whether it works out, but it's kind of nice that every pick is either a good value based on public rankings or has legitimate measurable a to back it up. It's not necessarily more "right" than the alternative, but certainly leads to less draft day consternation.

Longenhagen

One thing that's nice about Wicks, and I'm hoping we get more of this with trade deadline deals, is he helps with the lull in prospects between the guys currently at AA, who should hit next year, and the teenagers at Myrtle Beach who will likely have ETAs of 2024+. Right now, here's what we're looking at as far as relevant prospects in the system and their arrival at Wrigley 2021 - No top 20 guys, but some interesting relievers and depth like Ben Leeper, Manny Rodriguez and Alfonso Rivas 1H 2022 - Brennen Davis and Chris Morel, and likely some more relievers, most notably Ethan Roberts 2H 2022 - Likely Miguel Amaya and Brailyn Marquez, who would have had late 2021 ETAs if not for injury, as well as Chase Strumpf 2023 - Jordan Wicks is now the most relevant name here, because South Bend has been extremely disappointing. Inevitably some of the arms that have disappointed either with performance (Jensen, Bain, Carraway) or injury (Franklin, Thompson, Mcavene, Clarke) will pop and be on the radar by this point, but clearly the collective expected value from that crew is much lower than it was 4 months ago. Roederer and Velazquez have a chance as well 2024 - This is probably when we start seeing all of the current teenagers hit Wrigley, but good luck trying to accurately place them in any sort of real order this far out

Baseball America guy

Fangraphs

So the command is plus, the changeup is plus plus, and the fastball has average velo (maybe a smidge below), but the good combo of spin/shape/efficiency/whatever that allows it to play well up in the zone, and the slider is meh. Seems like a good fit for an org that has had good luck teaching guys curveballs.

Keith Law

Yeah, safe and boring. Though I'm not sure anyone else on the board was all that exciting for me so take best value and get some more wow and tools later on.

Stolen by TVB

Well, that was fun hope while it lasted. The Royals did their part in helping better names slide our way though

Do I dare let myself get excited about the possibility of Frelick?

Bednar would be fun, but my assumption was the crazy run he's been on the last month+ leapfrogged him right past us. I think him and Ford are the two guys I'm most hoping for. Unlikely we get either, but not totally unreasonable. Kind of like Ed Howard last year where it takes like two teams ahead of us going rogue and picking someone way down the board.

Interesting comments on Caissie especially

In addition to all the power, Brennen has now gone 15 PA's without a strikeout, bringing him under 30% at AA. A little further to go still, but he appears to be able to make adjustments.

Good might be strong, but I'm starting to think he's a legit 2nd division starter type. Something like .230/.310/.450 with good defense at 3B? The fact that he's getting hot again after going cold for a few weeks says a lot. The hallmark of a AAAA guy is being unable to make adjustments.

So Law says we're going high school hitter, Kiley says college bat, and BA gives us a college arm but doesn't really claim a strong stance on our preferences, and FG does similar but with a high school arm This is a really far cry from the Wilken and McLeod eras where the national guys were pretty plugged into their preferences.

Cameraman got way too excited on that one haha