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Bertz

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Everything posted by Bertz

  1. Bertz
    No, that's probably never happening for a reliever again unless it's like an Edwin Diaz situation where a guy is pre-arb. But Kimbrel will net a ton. Jeff Passan had an article yesterday and said the top 5 valuable guys this deadline are Buxton Gallo Berrios Kimbrel Bryant And it's more likely than not that the Twins hang on to their guys.
  2. Bertz
    So I agree with you broadly, but this and what happened right before the ASB are pretty clearly the team being hyper-careful IMO.
  3. Bertz
    A grade lower than "sore" I guess? Basically he'd get pulled for a hangnail given the current circumstances.
  4. Bertz
    So basically the same thing that knocked him out for a game or two before the ASB?
  5. Bertz
    *sigh*
  6. Bertz
    This is really really good
  7. Bertz
    About a third of these guys are/were stars, another third certainly would be if they were on the positive end of the defensive spectrum like Brennen, and only Diaz and Arcia were full on busts.
  8. Bertz
    Taking this instead back to June 19th to give us a full month, he's at .244/.352/.462, with an 11% walk rate, a 23.1% K rate, and a 123 wRC+. Given his age this really has to be a corner turned rather than just a hot streak, but if it is and he can get up to South Bend by the end of the season this season could go down as a pretty solid success. I didn't think that was going to be possible a month ago.
  9. Bertz
  10. Bertz
    Probably assume there's roughly half a million for rounds 11-20?
  11. Bertz
  12. Bertz
    Brennen already 2/2 with a double and a dong, OPS at AA up over .900. He's also basically stopped striking out the last two weeks.
  13. Bertz
    Brothers has pissed himself in nearly every big time situation he's been in this year, but bring him into an outing like this and he KILLS. I have zero read on how much value he has right now, because it comes down to whether you believe it's an issue between the ears or believe it's just been some bad dice rolls.
  14. Bertz
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  16. Bertz
    FWIW, as of about a month ago projections thought he was worth an extension https://blogs.fangraphs.com/the-cubs-big-three-is-back/ He's been fairly horsefeathers the last month, but he's still probably still at ~4/70 based on the numbers. I'd give it to him. I think his back issues are more concerning than a computer will properly account for, but I'd balance that out with all the team captain warm and fuzzy stuff in my mental ledger.
  17. Bertz
    No chance, the question is likely between Alfonso Rivas or Michael Hermosillo. Rivas is a tweener 1B/LF who we got for Tony Kemp, and Hermosillo was the most interesting of the minor league free agents Jed signed last winter, and is killing it at Iowa, but is 26.
  18. Bertz
    I'm getting a serious Brian Dopirak vibe reading about him. It's not a bad thing, since sometimes those guys pan out. Even if we have a Chris Davis-type outcome, that can be useful when under team control. What's more intriguing to me is this helps get a picture of the current trade market for hitters. I had resigned myself to the outcome that the Cubs wouldn't get a Top 100 prospect for any of Baez/Bryant/Rizzo, but Joc for Ball suggests that might not be the case. I think it's simply that teams aren't looking at thing as superficial as even a slash line. Joc's been kind of a dud, but his underlying skills like plate discipline, exit velocity, etc. have all been fine. So teams, or at least a team, feels reasonably confident that he's still the same guy he's been historically and paid accordingly.
  19. Bertz
  20. Bertz
    Seems odd to label Caissie a bat-only guy if some scouts think he could handle CF. I mean he's a big dude but reportedly moves quite well. I feel like everything I've seen has said he'll either be a RF or a 1B long term. And when 1B gets even a mention it's usually not the best sign for long term defensive value.
  21. Bertz
    By Fangraphs' rankings he's got the same ranking as our be somewhere between 10th to 18th guys, so he'll slide in somewhere in that range. He also joins Owen Caissie as basically our only bat-only prospects, so that's a fun change of pace.
  22. Bertz
    I'd be really curious to know how much things like xFIP mean for minor leaguers. When 8 year vet Kyle Hendricks gives up a bunch of dongs and everything else is normal, you can confidently say he's fine. When rookie MLBer Adbert Alzolay gives up a bunch of dongs and everything else is great, you shouldn't be quite as confident, but he's probably fine. But when A-Baller Ryan Jensen gives up too many dongs, how confidently can you just handwave it away? The luck portion of baseball doesn't just disappear because you're in the minors, but also the reason some of these things become truisms is because the guys that they don't apply to get weeded out on the way up the ladder.
  23. Bertz
    After the bullpen gets depleted at the deadline, I'd like to see Leeper and Manny Rodriguez up immediately, and Ethan Roberts get the Iowa closer job with the idea that he's first in line for a call up next season
  24. Bertz
    Have to think it's that much more likely Davis and Morel see AAA this year. At minimum for that few weeks after Tenn's season ends.
  25. Bertz
    I don’t know all the answers to this but I do know the 180 limit only counts guys on team’s rosters (even if they don’t get into box score games), so the 60-day IL is a way to stash a guy (but not the 7-day IL). Yeah I saw something about how this might also be part of why the Angels and Dodgers went as heavy on pitching as they did. I don't know the contours of the rules, but loading up on pitchers made it easier to skirt them.
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