Jump to content
North Side Baseball

Bertz

Old-Timey Member
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    13,531

  • Joined

  • Last visited

  • Days Won

    39

 Content Type 

Profiles

Chicago Cubs Videos

Chicago Cubs Trade & Free Agent Rumors

2026 Chicago Cubs Top Prospect Rankings

Chicago Cubs News, Rumors & Analysis

2023 Chicago Cubs Draft Picks & Signing Bonuses

Chicago Cubs Fan Guides & Resources

2024 Chicago Cubs Draft Picks & Signing Bonuses

2025 Chicago Cubs Draft Picks & Signing Bonuses

2026 Chicago Cubs Draft Picks & Signing Bonuses

Blogs

Events

Forums

Store

Gallery

Everything posted by Bertz

  1. Bertz
    Woof IIRC in '24 I believe he went down, started building back up, and then there was a "j/k we're shutting him down again." I seem to remember them alluding to some lessons learned and a better understanding of his neck and how it responds. Hopefully once he's back on the mound he's back on the mound, but yeah decent chance he's done for the year again.
  2. Bertz
    I don't know the exact number, but I think there is 3-4 days of wiggle room for adding a traded/claimed player to your active roster. So I suspect Wilson and Peterson get added to the roster Saturday/Sunday, and Velasquez/Murray will eat some innings tonight and tomorrow before getting swapped out.
  3. Bertz
    There has been way more good news than bad on the pitching front this year on the farm. The problem is that the situation was absolutely dire at the end of last year, so a stack of good news has the pitching on the farm still only up to to "solidly below average." Like OO said the draft is going to impact a lot. If they do a 2022 style draft I think we'd be back in the black. The team has four top 100 picks, add in money that can be shifted around and you can probably give out five or six million dollar bonuses? Do 1-2 hitters and the rest pitchers, plus a few more Coppola/Jerzembeck types at slot in the later rounds, and suddenly you're a bit flush with pitching.
  4. Bertz
    With the x stats I think it's part Wrigley being more neutral this year (so far, feels like August is when it got really bad last year) and part him hitting the ball up the middle less. He's not like gone full Paredes or anything, but he's gone less extreme in the other direction. In 24/25 Dansby pulled about 1/3rd of his barrels, with half going to CF and the rest oppo. This year he's had 14 barrels, 8 (57%) have been pulled and 6 (43%) have been to CF. He hasn't gone oppo with one at all.
  5. Bertz
    Shota's also got a 3.65 xERA. So even if you feel like pitchers control how loud the contact against them is (I mostly disagree, but we'll set that aside) Shota has not been getting hammered like e.g. Taillon.
  6. Bertz
    Yeah RHH 1B is just such a high bar. We've seen it play out with Long, you basically can't stop hitting even for a second. Add in Mathis' durability issues and I like him but he can't be the reason you don't address a crisis like this on the big league team.
  7. Bertz
    Looks like Peterson last pitched on Sunday in long relief. So he's naturally lined up for Saturday, though maybe they give him the extra day and have him go on Sunday given the timing of the trade? We're still going to have to bullpen game it for one of the games this weekend. I would maybe white flag tomorrow's game? Throw out Velasquez and make him just eat innings given you're probably not touching Miz anyway. Then Rea/Peterson each on an extra day of rest Saturday/Sunday and from there the rotation is back to being fairly normal.
  8. Bertz
    I liked Swanson at the time, but even my enthusiasm was "he's better than Bogaerts straight up, and has a decent chance at beating out Correa and Turner on efficiency". Being easily the best contract and arguably the best player straight up 3.5 years in was not on my bingo card.
  9. Bertz
    Dansby Swanson's at 2.1 WAR after yesterday's outburst. He's tied with Aaron Judge, Gunnar Henderson, and William Contreras.
  10. Bertz
    Wow, this is a lot better than I assumed we could do in these circumstances. Peterson's a league average / good #4 type starter. Good stop the bleeding type of move. I would think unless he bombs or by some miracle we get everyone healthy (plus another trade) he's in the rotation for the long haul this year. I like Mathis, and there's probably some level of desperation premium here, but I find it hard to sweat losing our ~15th ranked prospect too much.
  11. Bertz
  12. Bertz
    These two (and Ayers) are so fun
  13. Bertz
    It was a super rough start, but Jostin Florentino appears to have gotten his footing at SB
  14. Bertz
    In his last two months of minor league games, Kevin Alcantara has a 26.8% K rate, 13.7% BB rate, wRC+ in the 140s, and is swatting dongs at a 39 per season pace He's still 23, I don't understand why we've completely written him off.
  15. Bertz
    Bryse Wilson *probably* sucks, but I do find it interesting that both Stuff models love the four seam fastball he threw with the Phillies and hate his cutter. The Phillies are a good pitching dev org so I doubt it's this simple but there appears to be a relatively simple "way more 4s + way fewer Cutters = profit" story just from perusing his Fangraphs page?
  16. Bertz
    I'll say even as someone who has A) generally been pro-Dansby and B) thinks much of this fanbase is whiny petulant children, it's worth noting that this was the worst slump of Dansby's Cubs career. And it's not close, and unlike some of the others there wasn't a "but his xwOBA!" excuse I don't blame people for thinking "oh he mighy actually be cooked this time."
  17. Bertz
    So the situation at Iowa is definitely not good, but it's worth noting that the International League has about a 4.85 collectively and Iowa's park is a hitters park on top of that. An ERA starting eith a 4 at Iowa is solid and anything starting with a 3 is frankly doing great.
  18. Bertz
    I would kick Thornton to the curb, continue allocating one spot to the Murray/Ferguson optionable types, and give the Thornton spot to Wicks or Sanders for long relief. We're going to have to white knuckle it with the pen a bit until Palencia is back, but in the meantime I'd like to at least bet on guys who can miss bats.
  19. Bertz
    There's a 27th man in play today in addition to a move for Cabrera, so tbd which this is
  20. Bertz
    Not going to pretend he was good but 9 whiffs in a single inning from Murray is pretty wild. There might be something there.
  21. Bertz
    Will Sanders splitter has a 34% Zone Rate (40% outside of 2-strike counts) 37% Chase rate 52% Whiff Rate Overall 48% Whiff Rate In Zone Open question of whether the splitter is thrown out of the zone so much *because* it's such a good chase pitch or because it's hard to harness, but it's a legit plus pitch. And I bet it'd play up even more with the extra fastball velo (Will averaged 95.2 in the spring breakout game, which feels like a fair expectation for him in relief).
  22. Bertz
    Another good outing today and I'm definitely going to start wondering about Sanders as a big league bullpen option
  23. Bertz
    Tyler Schlaffer is apparently in the. bullpen now? He was not my top choice among mediocre Tenn SPs but I could definitely see it working out. He's exactly the sort of fringey SP that sometimes takes off with a bit of extra juice and a pared down repertoire.
  24. Bertz
    Jose Escobar with two doubles, a single, and a dong. Probably won't get another PA tonight but what a game.
  25. Bertz
×
×
  • Create New...