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Bertz

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Everything posted by Bertz

  1. Bertz
    I don't think they pitch Holmes yesterday if this wasn't real.
  2. Bertz
    Wow wow wow
  3. Bertz
    Also a shame for Lindor that Ohtani is having the season he's having. That dong would absolutely have moved some MVP votes if it was a closer race.
  4. Bertz
    9 minutes later
  5. Bertz
    Padres and Brewers watching these bullpens get gassed
  6. Bertz
    Explicit confirmation. They don't necessarily have to move Gray to lower payroll, their payroll is already down ~$60M year over year as the offseason opens. So if they do move him it's going to be a sign things are really getting taken down to the studs down there.
  7. Bertz
    With roster limits there is only so much the Mets can pull their foot off the gas in game 2. It would be very funny if the offense kept piling on in game two and the Braves missed the playoffs entirely after not wanting to reschedule these games to a less obnoxious time last week.
  8. Bertz
    Should have checked Twitter and THEN posted rather than vice versa
  9. Bertz
    I wonder if, whether paired with a commensurate title or not, Chaim Bloom doesn't get a major increase in responsibility. He built a great farm for the Sox. He has not proven he can build a winner, but he has proven he can manage a rebuild.
  10. Bertz
    I would be very surprised if this happened and it was not step 1 of a full scale rebuild.
  11. Bertz
    I had not gotten to that part of the news yet! That seems....very ill advised to put it lightly.
  12. Bertz
    The Giants dumped Farhan Zaidi. SFG is going to be an interesting team to follow. Farhan and Jed are basically the same guy, both teams are pretty reticent to cross the LT to a meaningful degree, and both teams end the 2024 season within a few games of each other. The Cubs have more young talent on hand, while the Giants have more money on hand, but overall I'd put their respective org health in a similar place? SFG will presumably get the top GM on the market this winter, so if you want a glimpse at the alternate reality where PTR dumps Jed it's a pretty good analogue to track the next year or two.
  13. Bertz
    I guess just to double up, Corbin Burnes gives me very strong 2016 Jake Arrieta vibes. The velo is still there, the ERA is still sparkling, and the uber-dominance isn't that far in the rear view mirror. But you pop the hood open and damn near everything else is going in the wrong direction. He's still good, after all even with the decline he's coming off an extremely high perch. But when you consider likely salary I don't want to touch him and even setting salary aside I don't think it takes crazy mental gymnastics to take some other guys ahead of him.
  14. Bertz
    I would guess Burnes gets something approximating Strasburg money (7/$245M), Fried and Snell get something like Aaron Nola money (7/$172M), and Kikuchi/Flahery both get something like Kevin Gausman money (5/$110M). I don't know that I want to go there for any of these guys, but Fried's the one I would be most into, and Burnes the one I would be least into.
  15. Bertz
    This is really interesting. I *think* this is just this year's weird anomaly, like not being able to win on Sundays or the comical number of first inning runs. If weather or wind was a more obvious culprit I'd be more convinced it's permanent given A) global warming and B) all the new developments around Wrigley, particularly the place across the street on Addison that's taller than the park itself. Reading this I got curious about prior years. So I pulled Flyballs + Line Drives by venue, and then what proportion of those were official Barrels. It's a bit different than what you did, but mainly because it's less work rather than because I would quibble with your process. But by this definition Wrigley ranks 19th, 16th, and 24th year by year from '22 to '24. I'll also note that some very good hitters parks tend to rank consistently towards the bottom here. GABP in Cincinnati, probably the #2 hitters park in the league, ranks 30th, 28th, and 25th the last three years. It might be a situation where hitters come out of their approach when the conditions are too favorable. We see this at Wrigley sometimes when the wind is howling out and we still get like a 2-1 game.
  16. Bertz
  17. Bertz
    Good efficient game from Caleb. Even though he didn't get a lot of bulk yardage feels like he still got a good number of first downs and kept the chains moving and drives alive.
  18. Bertz
    We're currently still in line for this, though the Braves game is only a 2 run game so not on lock yet
  19. Bertz
    Caleb should go somewhere that can give him two months uninterrupted to see if he can get over the hump at the MLB level. He wouldn't be the worst guy to stash in long relief, but I'd MUCH rather pencil Wesneski in for that role. My guess is he's the 4th piece in a big trade or the 2nd piece in a small to medium trade.
  20. Bertz
    Long is a year younger, has better contact numbers, and did most of his dominating at AA instead of A+. So I do think he's a better prospect. That said McGeary is definitely someone to keep in the back of our minds as to the perils of a popup guy who needs to be pretty much completely carried by his bat to succeed.
  21. Bertz
    He's probably got a decent argument for the best Cubs pitcher since Maddux, right? Zambrano is ahead of him WAR-wise, but feels like not by enough to outweigh the postseason heroics? And honestly when you add in the playoff stuff Kyle's probably not *that* far behind Maddux (purely as a Cub obviously).
  22. Bertz
    Some of it is a run of matchups that theoretically were in his favor. The other part though is likely getting some last looks to make sure they do in fact want to cut him this winter.
  23. Bertz
    It's wild how this fanbase is so braindead saying you like the best player on your favorite team basically makes you this guy
  24. Bertz
    Bullpen Day tomorrow in the finale
  25. Bertz
    I know Alcantara's place on the roster was explicitly as a Suzuki injury backfill, but he's also faced Lowder 3 or 4 times this year at AA so it seems silly not to have him starting.
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