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Bertz

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Everything posted by Bertz

  1. Bertz
    I think it's good perspective to go back to what the Cubs got back for their guys in '21. Or what they gave up for Candelario two years ago when he was the top bat on the market. You can get impact talent a million years from the big leagues, or you can get boring stuff with much better proximity. But even with the leverage the deadline provides it's still an either/or sort of deal. Even in a package deal for both guys I still wouldn't be especially worried about having to give up a Horton/Wiggins/Brown. Wicks/Assad/Birdsell with a strong second piece (as much as I'd hate it, Cristian Hernandez?) is closer to what we're talking IMO.
  2. Bertz
    Cubs are pretty good at coaxing out velo. Get Reid living more up towards the top end of his current range and he's probably very suddenly a guy.
  3. Bertz
    Statcast has been live for a decade, there's 2400 MLB games a year, and your typical game has 40-50 balls in play. There are A LOT of comps for nearly any given batted ball.
  4. Bertz
    FG and ESPN don't have him ranked. I'd assume an underslot pick
  5. Bertz
    Kiley had Kepley #54 on his board
  6. Bertz
    High End 4th outfielder is the most likely scenario, but it's not impossible to end up witb a Steven Kwan type
  7. Bertz
  8. Bertz
    AJ Russell's been my round 2 guy for weeks, so hoping to go that direction obviously Quentin Young would be extremely fun though, and would be consistent with Conrad being an underslot
  9. Bertz
  10. Bertz
    If Wood makes it past the Phillies enough pitching smart teams will have passed on him that I'll feel comfortable that it wasn't poor decision making to let him go (even if he ultimately ends up awesome).
  11. Bertz
    I know I shouldn't think like this but the Brewers not taking Wood does a lot to alleviate my concern there.
  12. Bertz
    Conrad's solid (potentially very solid depending on his cap hit), but I would have definitely preferred Wood
  13. Bertz
    Ariel Armas has been roughly a league average hitter in the Midwest League going back to the start of June. Definitely a guy to keep an eye on if his defensive reputation is at all accurate.
  14. Bertz
    If you take someone underslot at 17 I wonder how feasible it is to float a Quentin young down to 56
  15. Bertz
    This question comes up a lot: "Where does this guy rank in our system now?" I think barring something shocking, our 1st rounder will slot 7th. And then assuming neither is a money saver pick, both the other guys today will land in the 10-12 range.
  16. Bertz
    Conrad seems to have a little more juice athletically than some of the other bats in the Cubs range. And if the Cubs are sniffing around him then clearly the data is sterling too. I'd be down. That said it feels I'd be shocked if there's not at least two pitchers I'd rather have on the board at our pick.
  17. Bertz
    Warren is much much better than his ERA indicates, and the Yankees are good enough that they should be favored in most home games.
  18. Bertz
    I had obviously noticed the uptick in Jonny Long's production but not in his contact. He's got his K rate at 20% and his contact rates back that up. Gun to my head I think he ends up the best hitter out of the Iowa guys.
  19. Bertz
    Brown didn't start, presumably he'll go tomorrow? Little did the opener thing and struggled horribly with control (boo!) Lumpuy is on base a couple more times tonight. He's also slowed way down on the strikeouts the last two weeks or so. Fingers crossed this is a breakout not just a hot streak. Gallagher's got a no hitter through 4
  20. Bertz
  21. Bertz
    - Ken Rosenthal
  22. Bertz
    It's less about the heat of their current heaters (we shouldn't let a few weeks move us too far on any prospect) and more that Rojas is a middle infielder who only strikes out half as often. Caissie being pretty clearly MLB ready is a big deal, but he's got enough warts that I personally don't think he's ahead of the rest of the pack in the system, and definitely don't think that if he is it's by a super wide margin.
  23. Bertz
  24. Bertz
    The Cespedes BBQ guys wrote up the draft. Obviously not as insightful as a lot of other sources but they're good writers so it's also not as dry if you're just jumping in this weekend and trying to catch up.
  25. Bertz
    The Cubs are a half game out of the #1 seed in the NL. This fanbase is deeply deeply dumb
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