soccer10k

So you lose interest before the season starts because Michigan loses to OSU every year? Sorry, couldn’t resist.

Justin Turner is a silver slugger award finalist at 2B. Justin Turner didn’t play a single game at 2B this year and has played 1 total game at 2B in the last 6 seasons. I would say they meant Trea Turner and someone made a mistake but Trea is on the list as a SS.

[tweet] [/tweet] Nightengale is so dumb.

If Ole wasn’t a club legend, he wouldn’t probably wouldn’t have gotten the job in the first place. But if he did get the job and wasn’t a club legend, he would have been fired a while ago.

But why did the starter get injured during the series? It could be that it was going to happen no matter what, but it could have also been a result of pitching on short rest and/or in relief. I'm not going to absolve the Dodgers of all blame and just chalk everything up to bad luck. We'll never know for sure but I feel like it's unlikely that Scherzer throwing 13 pitches on two days rest destroyed his arm. And even if Scherzer goes down anyway, if Kershaw doesn't get hurt, they're probably not in this situation. They wouldn't have had to start Buehler on short rest in Game 4 of the NLDS and (assuming they win that game), they don't have to do a bullpen game in Game 5 making it less likely they need Scherzer out of the pen in Game 5. Then you've got a rested Scherzer on normal rest in Game 1 of the NLCS, your Game 4 NLDS starter on normal rest in Game 2, etc. So even if you ignore May and Bauer, Kershaw getting hurt right before the playoffs played a huge role in this.

Running didn’t work well either. The pass Illinois threw in the 6th OT looked like the QB thought there was a second end zone behind the end zone. That thing was at least 5 feet over the WRs head. EDIT: Worked in the 8th OT. Yeah the thing is Illinois has ~350 rushing yards today and 30 passing yards. and they made 4 straight passing attempts in consecutive OTs Illinois now with another chance to win this Didn’t realize the stats disparity. I didn’t start watching until late 4th quarter.

Running didn’t work well either. The pass Illinois threw in the 6th OT looked like the QB thought there was a second end zone behind the end zone. That thing was at least 5 feet over the WRs head. EDIT: Worked in the 8th OT.

This is now I think. I thought they showed that 5 or 6 other games had gone 7 OT and none had gone 8.

I didn’t realize before this that they just do 2 point conversions starting in the 3rd OT.

Oklahoma reminds me of the Florida State team the year after they won the title. FSU went undefeated but was seeded behind a couple 1 loss teams and then Oregon just slaughtered them in the playoff. If feel like that’s their destiny this year. They’ll go undefeated, be seeded 2nd or 3rd (at least behind whoever wins the SEC, whether that’s a 1 loss Bama or undefeated Georgia) and just get blasted in the semis.

That’s what happens when you have one starter get hurt literally right before the playoffs and a second starter get hurt during a series. Not to mention Dustin May blew his arm out in May and Trevor Bauer can’t have sex without choking a woman unconscious.

Scherzer out for Game 6. Will be interesting to see what LA does. Could start Buehler on short rest in Game 6. But then you either have to go Urias in Game 7 on short rest or a pen game then anyway. I can't imagine one extra day of rest will make Scherzer's arm feel better all of a sudden.

Laz Diaz everybody. [tweet] [/tweet] Oh and he missed at least two more after that (Passan tweeted an update that he was up to 23 missed calls. Also relevant, only three umpires were worse this year at calling balls and strikes than Laz Diaz. If they're not going to give us robot umps, at least give us the best umps at calling balls and strikes. If an ump sucks at calling plays in the field, at least those can be reviewed and corrected. Balls and strikes can't.

I’m not sure if I’m more tired of Ben Simmons or Kyrie Irving. I can’t stand either one of them.

So what's going on with Clemson this year? They've been held under 20 points four times in six games. Before the opener this year, they'd scored 20+ in 42 straight. Last time they didn't was the 2018 CFP semi's against Alabama. In their previous 90 games they'd been held under 20 only 4 times total. It's got to be more than just Lawrence leaving, right?

650000 emails reviewed in an inquiry into the Washington Football Team and the only person to face consequences is a coach who has no ties to the Washington Football Team. Totally legit investigation, NFL.

This would have given the Giants 1st and 2nd no outs also.

Cards either got lazy or they really didn’t like Shildt. No mention of the playoff appearances and no positive statements from anyone about Shildt’s tenure there. [tweet] [/tweet]

I'm usually going for what's required for 3rd place. In the Hex, it took an average of 15.2 points for third and 13.2 for 4th, which is 21.2 and 18.4 for the 14 game round. I was kind of figuring it might be on the higher end of those since we're bringing in two worse teams into the qualifying that the better teams would theoretically be able to pick up more points against. UMFan also posted the chart, don't know how legitimate it is, a couple days back that showed our chances for auto qualification based on point totals. 23 points was a 95.6% chance, 22 points was 82.2%, 21 points was 61.4% and 20 was 53.5%. So I've kind of stuck with the 22-23 point range as where we need to get to so we're probably good for 3rd. Sorry if I wasn't clear, but I was talking about aiming for 3rd place too. Yes, extrapolating the hex will get you to 21 and there was that table that said 23 was needed for absolute confidence, but thus far it looks like that was underselling the lack of stratification in the central american teams that are keeping any of them from pushing that high. Panama is the only central american team above a point per game and they've had The US, Mexico, and Costa Rica all at home, while getting smacked @Canada and being the only team to lose @El Salvador. This can go the other way, for example if Jamaica can get their full team in future windows they've already gone to Mexico, US, and Costa Rica, but the US also has a 6 point head start there. All that said, another caveat would be that the US hasn't played any of their 3 most difficult games(home/away v. Mexico and @Canada) and if you like Costa Rica you can extend that to 4 with that away game too. However, two of those 4 are in the last window and if they take care of business in the next couple windows those are likely to be low stakes. Got it. 4 years ago has me a little skittish which is why I’m aiming a bit higher with the point total.

I'm usually going for what's required for 3rd place. In the Hex, it took an average of 15.2 points for third and 13.2 for 4th, which is 21.2 and 18.4 for the 14 game round. I was kind of figuring it might be on the higher end of those since we're bringing in two worse teams into the qualifying that the better teams would theoretically be able to pick up more points against. UMFan also posted the chart, don't know how legitimate it is, a couple days back that showed our chances for auto qualification based on point totals. 23 points was a 95.6% chance, 22 points was 82.2%, 21 points was 61.4% and 20 was 53.5%. So I've kind of stuck with the 22-23 point range as where we need to get to so we're probably good for 3rd.

I think we would be happy with 4 points from the next window right? (Mexico and at Jamaica) 4 would be just fine with me. But if we beat Mexico, we should get 6. Even 3 wouldn’t be the end of the world. The window in Jan/Feb is the big one. Home to El Salvador, at Canada, home to Honduras. That’s another where 6 is the bare minimum and 7 or 9 is the goal. 3 the next window, 6 the second one and 3 in the final one puts us at 23. If we get 4 or 6 in the next one and 7 or 9 in the Jan/Feb, we’re basically in.

I thought it was pretty damn good - need to be better in the final third - so many poor crosses / runs. Maybe all the giveaways are coloring my view of it. It wasn’t bad by any means. Way way better than Panama. Just thought we could have played better. Like you said, need to be better in the final third. Too many attacks halted by poor passing.

Glad we got the 3 points but not the best of performances. We give the ball away way too much. So many bad passes. Just keep winning the home matches and we’ll get enough points to qualify. Get another win and a draw on the road and we qualify easily. Our last round of qualifying in March goes at Mexico, home Panama and at Costa Rica. Would be nice to not need more than 3 points out of that run.

Well that’s not an ideal start.

Took a risk not starting Burnes on short rest and it didn't pay off. Craig Counsell, always the smartest guy at the stadium. You could convince me either way on whether or not it was a good decision. Lauer had a 3.19 ERA this year so he wasn’t bad, though he wasn’t Burnes either. And we don’t know how Burnes would do on short rest, especially since the Brewers were pretty conservative with their pitchers this year. Ultimately, I say you go with your best. This was definitely the higher risk but higher reward choice. Brewers would be looking good right now had they won today and had a rested Burnes waiting for Game 5.