Obviously we still have a bit of work to do on the division, but the playoffs are a virtual lock, as is a top-2 spot in the division. I'll ignore the Reds since they have two more losses than the Brewers and fewer games left. Cubs go 7-5 (35-25), Mil has to go 15-1 to tie, which means the Cards lose 9 games and the best they could do is 31-29. Cubs go 6-6 (34-26), Mil has to go 14-2 to tie, which means the best the Cards can do is 32-28. Cubs go 5-7 (33-27), Mil has to go 13-3 to tie, so the Cards would have to go 10-0 in the non-Mil games to tie (assuming Mil only loses to StL). Cubs go 4-8 (32-28), Mil has to go 12-4 to tie, so the Cards would have to go at least 8-2 in the non-Mil games to tie. Cubs go 3-9 (31-29), Mil has to go 11-5 to tie, so the Cards have go at least 6-4 in the non-Mil games to tie. As for the division, we probably want Milwaukee to win 6 or 7 of the games. That would put them at 27 or 28 losses and the Cards at 26 or 27 losses.