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WrigleyField 22

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Everything posted by WrigleyField 22

  1. WrigleyField 22
    Well its a rapidly changing atmosphere where some stuff is relatively new would be one reason. I'll have to think about it, but I'll try to later. But my premise is just based on what I see advertisers spend every month, and I get a little bit of reason for why spending changes when it does and its all about what the media outlets provide. And serious revenue is there, both potential (if given the right access) and in actual dollars.
  2. WrigleyField 22
    From the reader perspective, its not really emotional either. What does your written content provide me. How much is it worth to me? You have every right to collect money for content you produce, but if you want it from me, I might pull away. No harm, your business and my dollar don't match up. Thats just business, not emotion.
  3. WrigleyField 22
    Online companies that successfully pull in revenue from advertisers provide added value than something like a simple banner ad and what you see on forums like NSBB. Thats my whole point. These banners provide low yield of eventual customers. Advertisers want customers that seek the content and are loyal, both from a content perspective and from an advertising perspective. If all you are willing to provide advertisers is simple traffic and hits your advertising revenue will reflect that. And at some point, yes newspapers as we know it will die. Well not die completely, but change is big. First what you'll just see is consolidation. Smaller markets and even sub-markets will see content discontinued, and a big trend has been to discontinue service on certain days. But smart papers adapt. Even among people who get their news media from other sources, people still prefer their Sunday inserts as advertising. And every Sunday, newspapers reach more unique users than Super Bowl Sunday. There's still plenty of potential for revenue for papers who provide that value. Not as much as there once was, but its there.
  4. WrigleyField 22
    Again the comparison to places that don't pay for the content produced. You're not using your head because your emotionally tied to the fact that you were the one producing the material (I think). It doesn't matter. All that matters is the value your provide to advertisers. If you provide them with value, they provide you with money. Simple as that.
  5. WrigleyField 22
    Any context on what QBs might be on the waiver wire. If I'm him I consider biting the bullet with McCoy and a waiver QB and that offer isn't enough. You can try though. Its not a bad proposal on your end, I just don't see it being accepted.
  6. WrigleyField 22
    30 team league? Its a 16 team league with an extra RB, WR, TE, and one OP (along with the standard spots). It was auction draft and I had something come up that I couldn't make it. Needless to say autopick was not friendly and only drafted one QB for me: David Garrard, haha. The damn computer probably spent half or more of my budget on WR. Luckily its just a random league with nothing at stake, no money or anything. Edit- In case anyone wants to see the horrors of autopick auction
  7. WrigleyField 22
    And yet, they have to be banking on that occuring, otherwise they wouldn't be trying it. Check out this article about Newsday in NY's trouble in getting subscribers to their pay site: http://www.observer.com/2010/media/after-three-months-only-35-subscriptions-newsdays-web-site Although in their paywall, they let the print subscribers get access for free while DH is charging them. I'm guessing a lot of their subscribers will be print subscribers. "banking on" doesn't sound like such a great business decision. They're probably wrong. The "double" subscription is also a joke.
  8. WrigleyField 22
    And the person charging the fees shouldn't be surprised if they receive less from subscriptions than they do from the advertising hits.
  9. WrigleyField 22
    Chiming in from someone working with the industry (although a lot of this may be obvious). An overwhelming amount of revenue for the newspaper industry comes from the advertisers. The amount advertisers are willing to pay is highly tied to the number of readers and circulation. Having subscriptions will most likely decrease readership. Thus advertisers will not be willing to spend as much. Now advertisers will pay a premium to advertise to readers that they know want the ads. So the best solution, in general is to make readers subscribe for free, collect info on them, and have them opt in to certain advertising. I guess every business is unique, but I highly doubt the increase in subscription fees will outweigh the decrease in advertising revenue.
  10. WrigleyField 22
    Collins @Hou Grossman vs NYG McCown vs Ten Brandon Lloyd vs Oak Manningham @ Wash
  11. WrigleyField 22
    Agreed. Make it a 2QB League, two extra flex spots, and one extra bench.
  12. WrigleyField 22
    Yea Merriweather may not even be active the first week or two until he is acclimated in the system. By the way, Josh Moore was the one to get axed to make room. Kind of surprised, as now we have 6 safeties, but its very possible they just want to keep around an extra safety for now with Steltz and Conte having minor injuries, and things will sort out later. Still wondering if we'll get that 6th linebacker...
  13. WrigleyField 22
    I can't wait, haha.
  14. WrigleyField 22
    http://www.csnchicago.com/09/03/11/Moon-Breaking-down-Bears-53-man-roster-/landing_insider_mullin_loud3r.html?blockID=558848&feedID=626 I just can't believe what happened to our LB depth in a couple short years. It was our deepest position by far a couple of years ago. Now our 5th LB is a wannabe poor mans Urlacher.
  15. WrigleyField 22
    I'm looking at Linnenkohl, Ryan Jones, and Josh Davis as possible practice squad material. As long as they clear waivers they would be eligible, though they could be signed to an NFL roster at any time.
  16. WrigleyField 22
    For people interested in the league, but can't make the draft, any possibility you know someone who would step in and run your draft? I'm in a league with college friends and just one guy couldn't make the time. He had his girlfriend step in who knew nothing about football and she actually ended up with a pretty decent team (other than bidding $5 for a K). So basically anyone who knows how to use a computer and follow the ESPN values and such will end up with a better team than the autodraft.
  17. WrigleyField 22
    Well until he hits arbitration, at least he'll be cheap. Let him compete with Soriano a bit in LF? They're pretty similar hitters.
  18. WrigleyField 22
    Alex Brown was cut by the Saints. Especially with Wotton banged up, we could use another DE. Go get him Bears.
  19. WrigleyField 22
    I didn't think you could rework deals already under contract. So him picking up the option would mean 14M for 2012, meaning less money for Fielder/Pujols/Wilson. If its possible to sign an extension and have it shift money away from 2012, I take that back. But the basic premise remains the same, the risk of lengthening his deal is only worth it to save money now. 3/32 at 8/12/12 would free up an extra $6M, which I think could be enough to squeeze in Wilson's first year salary, leaving a lot left over to fill our offensive needs and a back end of the rotation guy.
  20. WrigleyField 22
    It shouldn't be that complicated. Scouts give grades. You can build an expectation on what those grades should translate to- using past results primarily. You track every player he grades, whether your org drafts him or not, and follow the results. Include a grade for injury risk if not there and have an adjustment if a player doesn't succeed due to injury. Position, age, draft slot... don't see why those matters (well HS vs college could matter, but you would allow for more variance with the HS draft grades as far as expected results)
  21. WrigleyField 22
    Other than locking in Garza, those aren't necessarily slam dunk assumptions. The thing is, extending Dempster doesn't make sense because it doesn't help us this offseason. So really the only way it makes sense is to decline the option and sign a new three year deal in which we can backload his years. So for that scenario we would have to decide way before we know if we even have a shot at CJ Wilson. And then in 2013 you never know who will get injured, be extended, or not look as attractive. I think there is plenty of reason to be okay extending him if we can lower his salary for 2012. If he continues to pitch well he is a tradeable asset (or Garza for that matter) if we have a good chance at another guy in 2013.
  22. WrigleyField 22
    This may be a stupid question, but for amateur scouting, isn't "old school" scouting still really important, probably even more important that stats. I mean if you are a really good H.S. player you're either going to get such terrible pitches that you walk without trying or you're so good that even the terrible ones you can hit for extra bases, that your stats wouldn't tell what type of approach you may actually have against better competition and how it will correlate. I mean high level statistical analysis relies on having a large enough set of results to base it on and ability to control variables (such as competition level). I have a hard time imagining high school statistical analysis is at that level. Maybe a bit more for D1 College, but nowhere near the level of MiLB or MLB still. All this for international amateur scouting as well.
  23. WrigleyField 22
    the directors of scouting and player development aren't exactly "lower level management". compared to the GM and Team President, yes, but these are very high-ranking people who influence what goes on on the field directly, with a lot of people that report to them. Sorry. Did not mean "lower level" in the conventional sense, just those reporting to the GM (or CEO). So if the GM was the CEO, you can bring in a new CEO and keep the CFO, COO, and Vice Presidents, and thats not too weird. What I see as possible or even likely is that the new GM comes in and most of those reporting to him, as well as those under them staying (some changes, but not big). Then our new GM is going to bring in a whole new department for statistical analysis. And we are so bare there, thats where our new GMs focus will be. Then you may see a couple new guys brought in under newly created positions, such as assistant titles or vice-pres titles. These new guys would be prepared to take over roles within a year or two if guys like Wilken and Fleita aren't meshing with the new GM.
  24. WrigleyField 22
    Granted sports aren't like all other businesses, but it doesn't seem very uncommon for a business to bring in a new head guy, whether it be CEO, CFO, President, etc and retain all the lower level management. I think if there was a large desire for Ricketts of a total overhaul, Wilken and Fleita would be gone already. Its seems when Sports Franchises have large overhauls that the initial axe cuts deep.
  25. WrigleyField 22
    Maybe its just fluff: http://espn.go.com/blog/chicago/cubs/post/_/id/6113/bush-some-front-office-staff-could-return Don't get me wrong, I have no problem with a new GM getting freedom to hire/fire whoever he wants, but there may not be a huge overhaul, especially when the owner may be happy with many of the top advisors.
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