Maybe I'm an NFL nerd, but that's a pretty easy quiz. And to your point, pretty crazy how many starting QB's are relatively recent draft picks. There was a dearth of QB talent, sans Brady and Manning, in the early-mid 2000's. Let's take a look at those 15 QBs who will start, who were drafted '10 or later: Newton Griffin *Ponder *Manuel *Gabbert Kaepernick *Pryor Bradford *Weeden Luck *Tannehill Dalton *Locker *Smith Wilson The ones with * by them are those who I'm guessing will fail in the NFL, ultimately. I'd say that 50% failure rate is going to continue. edit: forgot Bradford.