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UK1679666180

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Everything posted by UK1679666180

  1. I would be against it, the difference between 75 and 95 pitches a start isn't worth the extra day of recovery or the additional bat off the bench.
  2. Having the tools to be a 5th OF'er and having the tools to be a starting CF'er (even if it's holding the spot for Pie) is quite different. Even based on tools, he has one tool that is avg. or above avg. (speed). I wouldn't classify his hitting, arm, raw power, or fielding (as a CF'er) as avg. or above average. He has a place on the team, though.
  3. From the names I know on that list as far as seen play, it's more accurate than the previous one, but much of it is based only on weekend showcase stuff (PG in Arkansas and the AC games in SD).
  4. At least there wasn't a practice kick this time.
  5. Can we end this icing the kicker crap?
  6. As bad as Grossman has been late, he has allowed the defense a get out of jail free card as far as the media is concerned. They haven't been much better than Grossman since Brown's injury.
  7. I still think the Cubs need a RH'ed bat off the bench as well as someone who can play 3B, I'm surprised once everything clears from the Marquis signing like David Bell becomes a possibility assuming the market doesn't think he can start and his agent starts looking for bench opportunities.
  8. So you're saying Soriano and DeRosa are the right guys in front of the middle of the order? At this stage, I think the Cubs would be best off going with Soriano and Murton at the top. Right guys? Not ideally, but the best of what they have. That's an improvement as far as getting runners on for the heart of the order (moreso w/Murton hitting 2nd than the OBP diff. of Pierre/Soriano). It would help score more runs than say Soriano and a lesser OBP.
  9. The Cubs also lacked pop as well in that line-up. Like OBP, that will get a boost from Lee. Getting the right guys in front of the middle of the order will help as well.
  10. I think that bridge will be crossed, both sides have to get a general concept of what the other one is trying to accomplish towards the overall goal. I can understand from where each side is coming from. If I was an area scout and I felt comfortable knowing the area, if I get a memo from a scouting director/crosschecker (orig. based on someone from the FO looking up college stats) to turn a report on a player I've already seen and didn't like b/c of his collegiate stats, I'd be upset. Likewise, if I was into the stat side and I presented info about a player and was immed. turned away b/c I never scouted or played the game, I'd be upset as well. Bruce, I don't know how familiar you are with the White Sox organization but your neck of the woods has someone who could provide more background into this merger. More from Hughes.. http://espn.go.com/community/s/2001/0308/1139077.html
  11. I think he was ridiculed beyond here, most of it was the more stat inclined, but that debate generated buzz. Obviously, the "stat/scout" debate has been a hot topic over the last 5 or so years. I believe that article from BA was geared from a stat perspective moreso than from a scout perspective.
  12. Hughes has definitely had a great career as a baseball executive. It's pretty amazing that one poorly worded statement about DIPS as well as properly defending the work of scouts could be this much of a topic. I would guess that most execs don't know much about DIPS, but someone in the staff does that has an input. If he would've BS'ed his way thru the question and gave a standard answer, this would not be an issue.
  13. I really want to see Lorenzen in this game.
  14. http://www.nj.com/news/ledger/index.ssf?/base/news-10/116556038429650.xml&coll=1&thispage=1 http://sports.espn.go.com/espn/page2/story?page=nelson/061208&lpos=spotlight&lid=tab4pos1 To those who want a job in MLB, would you consider going down there resume in hand?
  15. Okay, if you could make it Hill and Marshall or Guzman, would you? Or, if you could then spin Blanton and Jones off for Peavy (in addition to the TB deal) would you do that? Sure, you'd have to have Soriano in RF, and Pie playing CF and hitting 7th, but would it be worth it to have Crawford in the lineup with Sopriano, Lee and ARam and a rotation of Zambrano, peavy, Lilly, Marquis, Miller/Prior? If I was TB, I wouldn't do the 1st one and as much I have a soft spot for Blanton, if I was SD, I probably wouldn't do the 2nd one.
  16. Not trying to sound like a know it all, but why would TB trade an OF'er and then take on another one that is almost ML ready as part of a trade, when besides Hill, more pitching is prob. what they need more?
  17. Too hard to tell at this stage, PECOTA as well as any other predictive software can't calculate for the intangible things he'll go thru facing a team for the 3rd or 4th time in a season or twice in two weeks as well adjusting to hitter adjustments. He'll be good enough to merit keeping in the rotation, but not likely good enough to count on as anything above a 3-4 starter for now.
  18. I doubt he'll be able to maintain a line of 80IP 62H 24BB 79Ks either throughout the season. Possible? Sure. Probable? Not very likely.
  19. I think they are... I assume they'll get 2 starters back to go along with Reyes and Wainwright. Reyes and Wainwright (if healthy) will outperform Marquis and Mulder by a good margin. Offensively, pretty similar, Kennedy isn't that much of an upgrade over Belliard and Miles, Luna, etc. They'd be smart to let Duncan be the worst defensive OF'er in MLB and hide him in LF until late for his bat. I think he won't produce like he did, but will provide enough pop for the cheap to merit a platoon with him getting most of the ABs. If they improve the club with similar pieces that are currently missing I'd put them slightly ahead of the Cubs. But like most years, it'll be decided by injuries, who replaces the injured player, and unusual progression or regression over expected numbers rather than current talent difference.
  20. It doesn't work like that, though. If you allocate so much towards one area, you're taking away some from another. If you can tell me that Marquis' salary could not have been invested into another of need, then I think that has validity. But, it becomes a question does the probable production difference beween Marquis and whomever outweigh the potential improvement of another area that could've been gained thru monetary spending that can't be accomplished b/c of Marquis' salary. The Cubs have to plan for areas that will hopefully be taken over by young, cheap, potentially higher ceiling prospects compared to established veterans that might bring some improvement but nothing that will like sway the outcome of a season. I don't believe that having Marquis over Guzman, Marshall, or whomever will factor much into the Cubs getting or not getting into the players. At the same token, the freed salary might not matter depending on it used.
  21. IMO, Hill has the potential of a Randy Wolf when he was healthy and good. Not really an ace, but not really a #3.
  22. If I was in Mesa in ST, him and obviously Prior would be the 1st two I watch. To be honest, I didn't watch the 20 or IP he had w/the Cubs, but unless it was an upgrade from his later performances w/Peoria, he's going to need to improve to make the rotation. Everyone knows about his velo drop, but another concern has to be his curve, while still good enough to be a ML pitch wasn't nearly as sharp as his pre-injury days in Houston.
  23. He had a taste of it, it was such a small sample being combined with getting back to 100%, I question how much it will help him. At this stage, if he has an option left (I don't follow options too much anymore), I think he should start at Iowa (unless he does that well in AZ, it forces their hands). I expect him to do very well in ST. He'll be 100% and most likely he'll face the second tier guys and do quite well.
  24. I agree that Marquis will outperform Marshall and it's pointless to compare players based on one season (though I think Guzman has a good chance of outproducing Marquis). I have to see Guzman go thru that inital phase in the majors, it's hard to say he did last year b/c was that him getting healthy again as to why he performed poorly (espec. control) or was it the inital adjustment to the majors? I think it was him getting back into the flow. Personally, I don't think he's made that adjustment yet to the majors. When he does and he can stay healthy (if), his ceiling is higher than Marshall and what should be expected from Marquis.
  25. I think Marquis will outpitch Marshall next year, I think Marquis is a better bet to stay healthly depending on any tweak this off-season mechanically as well. Financially and length of duration, will it be worth it over someone like Marshall, Guzman, and possibly Gallagher/Veal over the length of his contract? I think that's the main debate moreso than trying to answer a question of outproducing one another next year from a limited sample. I think it can be answered better with terms like stuff, maturity, health, command, control, etc. moreso than traditional stats since Marshall has limited experience above Daytona. If you believe there's not enough of a difference between Marshall and Marquis next year, does it translate into the following year if you don't believe that? Will Marshall with a year and a half of ML starting exper. be equal or close to what you expect from Marquis that next season?
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