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Jason Ross

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Everything posted by Jason Ross

  1. That's somewhat promising, compared the alternatives could be worse, like the elbow or shoulder.
  2. Not excited about those walks, but yeah, Porter's a dude. I wrote about him in...uh...January? December? As a guy I really liked coming into the season based on his secondaries. But his fastball jumping too is huge. Just throw enough strikes and he's a true leverage guy.
  3. Yeah it looks bad. Best case would be like a pinched nerve/hyperextension... But I'm guessing it won't be good. It looked bad.
  4. Love this. Hodge has been a personal favorite of mine dating back to 2021. Last year was rough with the control but he's throwing much better this year. His slider is very much like Brown; unicorn shape, release point and movement. A one of one. If he can throw just enough strikes, there's an MLB leverage type there.
  5. The velo drop has been in Triple A. As was the spin rate. Yes, both have been down all year. This isn't 2023 to 2022, it's his 2022 to...well...yesterday. The Cutter RPM and the fastball velo has been down all five appearances in Triple A. He's also lost movement. His velocity was sitting 92-94 last night. He's been around 91 to 92 prior. Why the velo was up last night is an interesting question. And if the velo bump is real (and not adrenaline, max effort, etc) than my opinion on his ability to have success would change a bit. His control issues were due to a release point problem (all of this can be found in my article btw) that has been cleaned up. But I'm not making this up. This is all from baseball savant. He was presenting as a player who had issues. Why those issues vanished last night is an interesting data point, however.
  6. Flip side; they're running a skeleton rotation of two rookies (Brown and Wicks) and someone deemed the sixth best SP at the star of the season (Assad) without their Cy Young contending arm. Could you expect many six inning outings?
  7. Wicks just hasn't been super economical lately. The whiffs are up but he's now working through a bit of strike throwing. Young pitchers...I guess. Damn.
  8. Bummer. That 3-2 pitch was real good. Behind the plate umpire has been *real* good. There's been plenty of games we have played that's a strikeout. Julio makes you pay.
  9. Busch with a double. Really, really like him.
  10. All I'm saying is this: Koen Moreno: on my cold list. Ballesteros: on my cold list Who you want to do well next week, good sir? I'm taking requests.
  11. If that's the case, then he's robbing Peter to pay Paul (though there's nothing but speculation there). The reality is, at 91-92 mph with less spin, he's likely going to be hit real hard. Throwing more hittable strikes isn't a recipe for success. He already had a weirdly homogenous arsenal between fastball, slider and cutter. With lower velocity and less spin/tilt from the cutter, he's in no-mans-land with the differentiation of pitches. As a Cub fan I'm rooting for him, but nothing he's doing is a recipe for MLB success currently.
  12. His velo drop is combined with a spin rate and tilt rate loss. That's not normal. We usually see these major drops preceding injury, or simply, decline.
  13. Think Gomes messed up a wee bit that inning. Can't believe there wasn't a single changeup tossed with 2 strikes to Urias. That change played well to Raliegh (RHH). Still, on Wicks to not hit him; not an excuse.
  14. Yeah, there seems to be a slight uptick in velo here from Wicks. Had been sitting 92-94 (though much more 93 than 94) previously and now seems to sit 92-95 and more regularly in the 94 spot
  15. In his defense...that's the first batter he's hit since he's come up. Damn.
  16. Great job on Raleigh! back to back beautiful changeups.
  17. I'm sure the folks in Chicago know everything x100 over me. I'd guess this is a temporary few day thing and they're hoping as much as we are hoping that Keegan is only needed to be used in mop up duty based on game flow. He's someone you can easily return to Iowa in a few days while keeping a "break glass in emergency" starter in Wesneski ready. The drop off from Wes to Keegan right now probably isn't huge considering the mop up nature he will likely serve and the lack of important moments he would see. And then he becomes a pretty clear DFA guy if he tanks (replaceable by a CJ Edwards?). Or a simple shuttle to Iowa guy if he's not horrid.
  18. Well...if you didn't see my article today on his struggles...it's prescient now 😆 But for real, I hope he does well. He's had some struggles and I'd love to see him succeed.
  19. Yeah, Keegan. I'd add Riley into the 12% would with the other "non-40-man" group. Keegan is on the 40-man, and you could make the argument that he'd come up, eat a few innings this weekend and then immediately get DFA'd opening up another 40-man for like an Edwards after if you really wanted to keep Wesneski down in Triple-A to stay stretched out. But I think Keegan is toasted right now. Wrote about him in an article on the front page. Velo is down. Spin is down. He's fixed his release point issues which I think caused his walk problems, but the stuff is just so down. Whether it's an injury or decline, not entirely sure, but I don't trust him at all right now.
  20. Yep. I'd handicap it at: 70% Wesneski 15% Thompson 12% McWilliams/Pannone/Edwards group 3% Hodge
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