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Outshined_One

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Everything posted by Outshined_One

  1. Outshined_One
    It'd be hilarious if Bruin Agbayani were a Southern Cal commit, but alas, only Michigan.
  2. Outshined_One
    Athletic high upside HS arm with limited mileage, promising offspeed stuff, and comes from a baseball family. All good things!
  3. Outshined_One
    That's more like it.
  4. Outshined_One
    Turley off the board. The A's have had a low key really good draft so far.
  5. Outshined_One
    The short answer is, there is a lot of fuzzy accounting that happens in the MLB Draft. Teams have bonus pools which they can allocate, and MLB places penalties on teams on a sliding scale based on how far over a team goes. On the flipside of the equation, HS players now have a fair amount of leverage thanks to NIL, so there's not a lot of risk for guys to ask for significant signing bonuses. Make no mistake, the overwhelming majority of HS guys rated as first round picks will get drafted in the first round and will sign. However, where things get squishy is when you start seeing guys making first round demands who maybe aren't rated that high. So, what a team might end up doing is draft a bunch of guys who'll sign underslot, and then take one of those guys with, say, a 6th round pick and offer him a substantial bonus. If he signs, awesome. If he doesn't, it's not as big of a loss compared with drafting him with a 2nd rounder and losing that pick. There's a good crop of high ceiling HS pitching still available, including Chicago area pitchers LHP Jack Bauer (Lincoln Way East) and LHP Cameron Appenzeller (Glenwood HS).
  6. Outshined_One
    A healthy Conrad is probably around 7 for me, behind Alcantara and Long, but as is, I'd probably slide him back around 9 due to his injury and surgery. He apparently is making good progress with his recovery, but shoulder injuries have a nasty tendency to linger, and I'm curious as to whether he'll see any action in fall/winter ball.
  7. Outshined_One
    I agree, this is about the Big Picture, but in the moment, it's disappointing.
  8. Outshined_One
    So. I like these picks in a vacuum. If you told me the Cubs took these three guys individually, I'd be okay with each one. Conrad, Kepler, and Reid all make sense as Cubs picks. But, together? It doesn't look fantastic on paper.
  9. Outshined_One
    I have a hard time bagging on drafts. I'm sure I could turn the clock back to threads from the last 20 years where I was praying the Cubs wouldn't take future HOFers and hoping beyond hope they'd take guys who flamed out in AA. Except Hayden Simpson. horsefeathers that pick.
  10. Outshined_One
    Seems to have a better eye at the plate from the reports. He sounds like the CF version James Triantos or Nico Hoerner, which is, fine, I guess? A profile like that should be a quality 4th OF as a realistic outcome, but it's the sort of pick you'd expect after taking an overslot in the 1st.
  11. Outshined_One
    I'm underwhelmed, but will wait for The Model to tell me why I'm wrong.
  12. Outshined_One
    horsefeathers horsefeathers horsefeathers horsefeathers Stop taking all the fun ones other teams!!!
  13. Outshined_One
    After Cole Mathis being a bit of a mess post-injury recovery, I really hope this team did their homework on his medicals.
  14. Outshined_One
    Chaos is fun, but no one's gone completely off board yet. Hall and Bremner were still potential picks in the 10-15 range in early mocks. It mostly feels.like a reshuffling of the top 15 picks so far.
  15. Outshined_One
    Devin Taylor also makes sense as an underslot if you buy the Schwarber Lite comps.
  16. Outshined_One
    Woohoo, it's finally here! Late rumors have Wehiwa Aloy and Marek Houston slipping, with Devin Taylor and Ethan Conrad getting attention as possible underslot candidates in the Cubs' range. This is also the first draft in awhile where the #1 pick hasn't been sussed out yet, from what I remember. Bazzana came close, but I believe the Guardians made their intentions known around this point last year.
  17. Outshined_One
    Closing up shop here, it's draft day!
  18. Outshined_One
    ESPN just posted an article about the betting odds for a celebrity golf tournament. I know this isn't the low point when it comes to gambling and ESPN, but there's something really warped about this article. I feel like anyone who pays serious attention to it should sign up for Gam-Anon meetings.
  19. Outshined_One
    Link And just because:
  20. Outshined_One
    If you really think about it, if you work a 9-5 and drink at 8:55 AM, that counts as drinking after work. Granted, it's drinking the next day after work, but time is relative.
  21. Outshined_One
    My only hope it's of the "Y U TRADE BALLY HE SO GOOD?!?!" variety rather than the usual PTR and Only the Cubs dreck.
  22. Outshined_One
    You good, fam. I like your data and analysis, and you bring a lot of positivity to the table. It's the frustration of the results in game, and I get it, but I feel like every game thread for the last week or two has devolved into the exact same Shaw and Happ arguments.
  23. Outshined_One
    Oh look, it's this argument again. And it's during a drubbing by the Cubs. Cripes, I can't wait for this team to make a trade.
  24. Outshined_One
    He's one of the few guys in this draft who fits their 1st round hitter profile, who makes sense at 17, and who should be available. Up the middle position player who should stick, good production in college and the Cape, enough power potential to be a middle of the order type, but enough present production that he'd still be useful even if the home runs don't pan out. It makes a ton of sense from an outside perspective. But I'm also waiting patiently for the Friday/Saturday rumors to start coming out, since we normally start to hear about underslot deals and guys who are making huge demands. Aloy seems like an easy overslot candidate for a team in the Top 10.
  25. Outshined_One
    USA Today mock, for what it's worth. I can't complain, but I'm getting kind of tired of seeing this pick again and again and again and again.
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