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Outshined_One

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Everything posted by Outshined_One

  1. It also helps to remember that, over the last 20 years, there have been massive advances in the Science of Baseball (for lack of a better term), particularly when it comes to hitting. It's not just things like advanced stats (although those helped), where teams have figured out things like optimal swing paths and launch angles, and have also invested heavily in technological advances for developing hitters and gaining a competitive edge. We've apparently gotten to the point where you can feed data about any pitcher in baseball into a pitching machine and have it mimic that pitcher reasonably well. Velocity appears to be the only thing that consistently generates swing and miss.
  2. Some people think he has some projection left in him, and he's been getting results despite the lack of velo. The system is still light when it comes to pitching, so it's unsurprising to see guys like him pop up every now and again.
  3. I love how we've gone from "DFA Dansby!" to "MVP Dansby!" in the course of a week.
  4. Everyone who engages in prospecturbation has That Guy. You know the one, where you fell in love because of plus-plus power or a 98 mph fastball with movement, and you became convinced he was a future perennial All Star, only for the guy to either never reach the majors, or fall flat on his face and never recover. Who's your That Guy, and why is it Juan Cruz or Brian Dopirak?
  5. I liked his post-game interview, where he kept his response measured because he knew the mics picked up what Cavalli said and everyone within earshot (except the umps) heard it. Contreras can be a putz, but he deserves kudos for not laying Cavalli out.
  6. It's not, but a lot of factors are not on his side for him flipping his WAR into the positives. You might luck out and get a few games out of him with 5+ IP and minimal damage down the stretch, but all signs point to falling off the regression cliff for Jamo.
  7. I have to imagine they play it very, very cautiously with him. Being in the ACL means he has immediate access to high quality trainers, facilities, and medical staff, and with a back injury like he had, they'll likely want to be extremely careful with him. He'll get promoted in due time, but I wouldn't be surprised to see him in the ACL for a few weeks.
  8. I retract my retraction of this statement.
  9. Ethan Conrad just made his season debut in the ACL and hit a 105 mph single in his first plate appearance.
  10. Side note, it's nice to see the Doom Squad being positive! I've wanted to strangle a handful of you over the last two months and it's good to see you're not all the types who come out of the woodwork when this team sucks, only to go back to ground when the Cubs hit a random ten game winning streak or 15-5 stretch.
  11. You just get the feeling we're going to end up with Pomeranz-Hendriks-Wicks as our 7-8-9 come September, and we'll all feel oddly okay with it.
  12. I know it's a getaway day, but Wednesday is supposedly going to be the hottest day of the heat wave, and after last year's Bataan Death March Game against Seattle, I wouldn't be surprised if MLB announced a delayed start to that one.
  13. It's also worth pointing out in this discussion that anyone who is a prospect or is prospect-adjacent in the Cubs' organization shouldn't be untouchable in a trade. The Cubs have a gaggle of young guys who should be quality everyday starters who might see an ASG or two in their respective careers (Shaw, Mo, Ramirez, Rojas, Alcantara), guys who probably would be really good if they weren't injured (Horton, Wiggins, Birdsell, Conrad), and guys who have something to prove before being classified as untouchable (Kepley, Hartshorn, Ayers). They don't have someone like Kris Bryant or Mark Prior right now. It probably means the Cubs are going to have to put together a quantity over quality package like the Orioles did for Baz if they want to get a guy like Detmers.
  14. It's actually not a bad approach. I'll grant that it's one thing if you're talking about a guy like Schwarber who has the kind of bat that will play anywhere, who was not seriously considered a catcher when drafted, and would have been worth the #4 overall pick even if he were a 1B/OF, but catchers are just...weird. I've been amateurishly following Cubs prospects for 20+ years now and, while I have a vague grasp on a lot of other stuff, catching development has just been a complete enigma for me to understand. It's the one position that doesn't make much sense to me because there are so many variables that go into the position, because catchers tend to be complete weirdos compared to other positions on the diamond (in a good way, usually), and because even the freaking rules applicable to catchers seem to be constantly evolving. I can't even tell you what the Cubs' model is when it comes to developing catchers other than "middling dude who's old for A-ball starts hitting the holy crap out of the ball," and it seems to work! It's why someone like Owen Ayers is both a complete shock to me and also completely unsurprising, because *of course* an older 19th round catcher would do something like this! Occasionally you see a high draft pick at catcher work out, but yeah, maybe there's something to that approach that's worked for the Cubs.
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