Outshined_One
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Everything posted by Outshined_One
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Nope. Teams realized that hot-shotting guys from the draft to the majors wasn't a particularly great idea, and most pitchers have already seen extensive use as is this season thanks to college coaches who don't always prioritize health. -
I'm in the like it but don't love it (yet) camp. Oddly enough, my favorite picks addressed this system's biggest non-pitching weakness with Sorrell and Bailey because they both have the sort of raw power we haven't seen in a minute, even if neither is projected to end up at a premium position. Otherwise, I said it before, but this is the sort of haul you get when you pick 23rd in a down-ish draft without a big pool. It's a good version of that draft, but it remains to be seen how good it is.
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No, you have it right. He might push his way into the 3rd/4th next season by going back to school, but he loses a year of development with a professional baseball team with the risk that he blows his arm out next year and ends up selling insurance three years from now.
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Hey guys. Bregman's doing a thing.
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Bregman has been showing signs of life lately. Let's see if he can keep that up.
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Gotta love a pitcher named Chase.
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Another player with a name that vaguely sounds like a sex act. I feel like someone is playing a joke with this year's draft.
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He's also a good pitch lab candidate whose mechanics have been jerked around. There's a lot to work with, but it might take a year or two to undo some bad habits he picked up.
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Oooooohhh, Morton's really fun. That was unexpected.
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Probably enough left in the kitty to make a run at a longshot HS guy after the tenth round (or maybe they pop two like last year with Franklin/Barnett and sign one), but yeah, they're probably targeting college seniors and easy signings from here on out.
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And now, a friendly reminder that Brooks Caple and Pierce Coppola were college senior signs over the last two years. Not all of those guys end up as fodder and minor league depth.
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Always fun when you draft a guy whose last name sounds vaguely like a sex act.
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Guessing only one of the HS kids was willing to pick up the phone last night?
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Marohn, too. 😞
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Cuvet to the Nats, darn. There goes my "Oops! All dongsmiths!" dream draft.
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Minor League Discussion & Boxes, 7-11-26
Outshined_One replied to CaliforniaRaisin's topic in Cubs Minor League Talk
Piggybacking on @Jason Ross, what's helped this season is (1) we've seen one huge breakout (Hartshorn) and multiple positive developments on the hitting side of things (Kepley, Conrad coming back healthy, Ayers coming out of nowhere as a potential Top 100 prospect, etc.); (2) the pitching depth in this system is *finally* coming around with guys like Wing, McGwire, Kipp, Caple, and Beck all making major progress; and (3) the players who boarded the struggle bus this season have been guys who are blocked or seen as redundant (Triantos, Long, etc.). Where the system was trending towards a downswing this time last season, the trajectory definitely looks much better now. They're not a Top 10 system, but that also could change if they get someone like Sorrell or Bailey in next week and they start mashing. -
I've been pondering this about Bailey. In normal years, he'd have a decent amount of leverage as a draft eligible sophomore coming back from injury. Buuuut he was the 75th pick and he's coming back from injury with a high swing and miss profile as a likely 1B. A guy like that could mash his way into the top 10 picks next season...or fall out of the Top 200, which, for all we know, might mean he goes undrafted next season because MLB owners are dumb like that with the new CBA. I expect him to get overslot, but the Cubs undoubtedly did their homework on him and knew he'd be signable with this pick. He might only get a bit of an overage, but we'll see.
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For those of you keeping an eye on such things, if you ignore the fact that this year's draft has the threat of a new CBA looming over everything, thereby throwing the signability of every non-college senior pick into question, the Cubs are likely set up to take one (maybe two) Wing/Hartshorn types.
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We're going into Day 2 with a fun mix of intriguing college guys and upside HS options on the table. In the college ranks, Jaxon Willits is still there! But keep an eye on 3B/1B Daniel Cuvet (arguably the best power hitter in the draft), 2B/3B Joe Tiroly (intriguing bat hindered by a foot injury), LHP Ryan Marohn (starter profile derailed by nagging injuries), and RHP Trevor Hansen (bulldog who gets the most out of a good-but-not-great repertoire).
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Look, ever since Edzo's closed, your options for fat/calorie bombs in Evanston are Mustard's, which always runs the risk of weight loss from food poisoning, and Stacked & Folded, which pretends to be healthy and sometimes adds lettuce and avocado when you're not looking.
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This is essentially the result of having a low pick in a down-ish year for the draft. The Cubs basically slammed down a wad of bills for a fistful of scratch-offs with these first picks. Honestly, it's not a bad strategy.
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NIL is more likely to go towards transfers than freshmen, too. Even if you're a Top 50 recruit, you likely won't be a starter on Day 1 on campus. It's a consideration, but more a "money now on MLB or money later in college and MLB" thing.
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Dibs on Stallone.
