Not sure what career numbers you're using for Kosuke. I'm going with the numbers from this site: http://japanesebaseball.com/players/player.jsp?PlayerID=1064 .305/.397/.543 Multiplying that out by those factors gives: .292/.369/.462/.831 Pretty much a Carl Crawford equivalent, but older and without the steals. Straight up, I'd rather have Carl. Given the cost of acquisition and contracts, I'm not sure. Depends on the package required to bring Crawford to the Cubs and what Kosuke would sign for. You are concluding that Fukudome's CAREER number projections are comparable to what Crawford would put up right now (last year his OPS was .821, 10 points less than Fukudome's career projected career numbers in the US) If you compare Crawford's last 3 years with Fukudome's (when reduced to US ball), there is no comparison. Plus, everyone is making it seem like Fukudome is so old at 30. Lee is 31, ARod is 32, Ramirez will be 30 this season. Again, not that Fukudome is in the level of those players, but 30 is right in their peak years. We are taking about giving a 4 year contract to a 30 year old. How much regression do you think you'll see at 34? Little to none. I'm concluding nothing of the sort. I'm merely fixing a math/reporting error. I also said nothing about regression. But if I can choose between two players with similar production & cost, one of which is 26 and one 30, I'm going to pick the 26 year old everytime. It may not be a huge factor, but it shouldn't be ignored, either. Understood...your post compared Crawford with Fukudome based on (i'm assuming) Crawford's last 2-3 years not his career numbers. With that, it seemed that you were saying that they would produce equally...but all of those projections use statistics from one Fukudome was 21-22 years old, not his peak numbers. Its not very relevant to use Fukudome's numbers from 8 years ago when projecting how he will do today. Thus, I would conclude that Fukudome would put up better numbers than Crawford, and there is no need to compare a 26 year old to a 30 year old in my mind at least.