Just thought it was apt to compare the 2005 defense and this one to see how plausible it is for the Bears to be successful if Hanie's QBR is under 60. 2005: 281.8 ypg (2nd of 32) 179.5 pypg (5th) 102.3 rypg (10th) 202 pts allowed (1st - 2nd place team had 247 PA) 12.6 pts/game (1st - 2nd place had 15.4 p/g) 259 1st downs allowed (4th - only 5 behind leader) 31.9% 3rd down percentage (2nd) 30.0% 4th down percentage (3rd) 10 passing TD allowed (1st - 2nd place team had 15 allowed) 24 INT (2nd) 41 sacks (9th) 61.2 opposing QBR (1st - 2nd place was 68.0) 9 rushing TD allowed (4th) 10 fumbles caused (6th) 34 TOs caused (4th) 2011: 371.9 ypg (25th of 32) 270.7 pypg (30th) 101.2 rypg (10th) 207 pts allowed (13th - 5 more than all of 2005, 331 projected over 16 games) 20.7 pts/game (13th) 188 1st downs allowed (13th - 301 projected) 37.2% 3rd down percentage (13th) 36.4% 4th down percentage (10th) 14 passing TD allowed (14th - 22 projected) 15 INT (3rd - 24 projected) 18 sacks (26th - 29 projected) 78.5 opposing QBR (9th) 6 rushing TD allowed (6th - 10 projected) 6 fumbles caused (8th - 10 projected) 23 TOs caused (2nd - 37 projected) In a lot of categories, the 2005 defense destroys this years. In terms of yardage given up, points allowed, 3rd down percentage, theres no contest, this defense is quite a bit worse. But a couple of things to point out to support this team: 1) This defense started off really poorly and has progressively gotten better after the safeties were switched. First 5 games this year we averaged 419.6 yards allowed per game, which I believe was dead last in the NFL or close, and allowed 24.4 points per game. In the 5 games since then, we've allowed 324.2 yards allowed per game and 17.0 points per game. My guess is the defense will be closer to that one than the one at the start of the season. 2) We are looking to predict how the defense will perform only under the last 6 games, a schedule that is significantly easier than the teams we've faced so far this year. The Bears were the worse ranked offensive team in 9 of their first 10 games (Offensive rating by week (Bears are 17th): 12th, 1st, 4th, 5th, 11th, 19th, 16th, 3rd, 11th, 8th - average 9th ). The Bears are the higher ranked offensive team in 4 of the last 6 games (rating by week: 10th, 26th, 27th, 28th, 4th, 19th - average 19th). In summary, Calib Hanie has to end up performing better than a sub-60 QBR for the Bears to succeed. Unlike 2005, we can't expect to score 14 points and feel good about winning. I think most people hope/expect that he will perform better than that. But he doesn't have to perform a LOT better than that, as the defense is solid and improving and is facing a much easier schedule in these last 6 games.