DVOA (I know just one of many metrics out there) has the Jags as the 27th best team in the NFL, with the 16th best offense and 32nd best defense in the league
For reference the Panthers are 30th overall, with the 29th best offense and 30th best defense.
Bears 20th overall, 26th best offense and 7th best defense. They have played the easiest schedule in the league so far (rankings of opponents: 26th, 7th, 19th, 25th and 30th) and have the hardest remaining schedule in the league (27, 10, 21, 28, 11, 1, 5, 9, 1, 5, 8, 11)
Only some of this was responding to you, I started to go down the DVOA rabbit hole for a minute there 😄