Do the math. Last year you needed 86 wins to get into the AL playoffs. Currently the Orioles have 15, so they need 71 more wins. They have 118 games left to play. So just to get to 86 wins they're going to have to go 71-47 the rest of the way. That's .602 ball or 98 win pace the rest of the year. Is it impossible? Absolutely not, but they're one more bad week from making it all but a certainty.