Tryptamine
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Everything posted by Tryptamine
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While I agree the poster you responded to, took things way too far, I think you're going a bit too far in the other direction as well. Yes, he's unlikely to stick at SS, but he absolutely could be an above average defender at 2B, 3B is yet to be seen. I'm not concerned with walks at this point. He simply hasn't needed to be patient so far in his time in the minors. At Maryland he had a career .319 AVG and .412 OBP, so he clearly can take walks, but when you're torching the minors to the tune of a 277 wRC+ and 197 wRC+ in your first stops, he didn't really have to. He could have some very valuable 4+ fWAR seasons, but yeah, if he's your franchise player, that's more an indication of your franchise than him.
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Value wise, absolutely, but this also means you must acquire Chapman or make a trade for a 3B, because all the internal options are gone.
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He turned down 5/150 from the Yankees and frankly I wouldn't be willing to go a whole lot higher than that. Remember, 2023 was the first time since 2018 that Snell has exceeded 128.2 ML IP. I could maybe be convinced to go 6/175, but I'm just not going any higher than that. Age and durability concerns are too much and that super inflated BB% in 2023 means there is no way he's replicating a year like that again unless he has another 86.7 LOB% which is just incredibly unlikely as most pitchers sit in the low to mid 70s.
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So how do the Bears land Maxx Crosby if he indeed demands a trade if the Raiders don't keep interim head coach Antonio Pierce on as the coach moving forward? Crosby would be pricy, but with Sweat and Crosby, a formerly weak pass rush becomes a strength. Also, is it even feasible without involving a trade back from #1 all the way to #13? I can't imagine trading back from #9 to #13 is enough to get it done.
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Is Sirianni gone if the Eagles lose this? This team has completely melted down over the last 1/3 of a season.
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There's a reason he's a top 50 guy on some lists, despite the lack of a position.
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Rizzo occurred to me as well, but then I looked back and remembered how crazy Rizzo's K% was for a guy 30 bombs a year. From 2015 to 2019 he was between 12-16 K% while averaging around a 140 wRC+. Rizzo is one of those guys that I always say is good, but when I look back at the numbers I find myself thinking, this guy was not good or very good, he was absolutely elite as a 1B.
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I do expect some regression, but even as a 120 wRC+ guy, Bellinger is a guy I want as long as he's not looking at 200M.
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yeah, it was strictly a results based comparison. They're both guys who take a lot of walks and strike out surprisingly few times given their well above average pop. As you mentioned, Bell puts the ball on the ground a lot more and also doesn't use the whole field as much as Busch has shown to do.
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Tapping onto what TT said, Busch is a guy who can become a 25HR hitter, and may even approach 30 in peak years, but he's also going to spray a lot of doubles all over the field. I'm actually expecting him to be some mish mash of 2021 and 2022 Josh Bell with upside of 2019. I think he's a guy who can post a .260/.360/460 regularly.
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Murakami's stance is weird, but that bat speed is legit.
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Then maybe they should should have actually landed the names that would have drawn all the attention in Japan. When 1 team has Ohtani and Yamamoto and the other has Seiya and Imanaga, it's obvious who kids are going to grow up watching and cheering for. It's an incredibly half ass attempt.
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I find it interesting that they're all coming from systems with pocket passing QBs. Also, I still have no idea what Coen has done to warrant this interest.
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MHJ and Nabers are definitely gone by 9. If the chargers don't take Bowers he's there at 9 and I'd frankly be pretty surprised if Odunze isn't there at nine.
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The money may be similar, the upside definitely isn't. Kopech still has actual trade value and Moncada has immense upside if you can get him interested in baseball again. If I remember correctly, he has more or less been mentally checked out for a couple years now. He's the kind of guy I'd love to see Counsell get a shot at.
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The take from that GB game for me was that GB's offensive scheme is just light years ahead of the Bears. They constantly have men wide open way down field. I mean no one within 5 yards wide open and it happens constantly.
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27 to nothing and it isn't even half.
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Never underestimate the ability of the Packers or Cardinals to ride mediocrity into deep playoff runs or championships. Between that and Dallas being a perennial playoff choker, it was destined to be.
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I'm actually expecting the opposite.
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If he somehow ends up on the Bears I will vomit.
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So I should also pay for various other services on top of that too?
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He was playing at 5 fWAR/162 pace so, to fall to 3 fWAR would require a whole lot of regression or injury. Even when he was still broken in 2022 and putting up an 83 wRC+ he still managed to put up a 1.8 fWAR.
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Not drafting Stroud might end up a Mahomes level disaster.
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It's the precedent it sets. Yes, it's $5, but if this works then it's going to happen more and more across various streaming services.
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If Bellinger is signing for 7/168, he should be a Cub right now. That's like best case scenario for the Cubs as far as a contract goes.
