I figure Robertson is going to be around 12M, Neris should be in that neighborhood too. Based on that Stephenson got 11/M a year, you're probably looking at 7-10m for a good setup man.
He's not great, but he's a solid reliever. In 2022 he posted a 3.18 ERA and 3.89 xERA and in 2023 a 3.99ERA 3.33 xERA. I doubt he only has a 65.6% strand rate again in 2024, so he's probably a pretty solid bet for a mid 3's ERA.
I'd be shocked if they fought against this at all. This gives them the legal reason they need to let their star athlete play despite what is going on. I'd expect him to be playing immediately.
That's in a bubble where moving 1 space is a set non varying value. Some teams may have 1 QB significantly ahead of the rest. I'm certainly not advocating that there's any realism to the Infante tweet, but I also think you can get more than what you list as the high end.
I actually think that's a pretty good deal for Hader. it didn't really fit what the Cubs need to do, but it's not bad. Maybe that means Robertson can be had at like 1/12.
It blows my mind that we have less than a month until pitchers and catchers report and yet 5 of the top 10 FA remain unsigned and around 25 of the top 50.
I may be the only one, but outside of Hader and Robertson, Ryan Brasier is my pick. I'd very much like Stephenson, but for cost and performance, Brasier is definitely my guy. I also really really wanted Staumont, but that didn't happen unfortunately.
Perhaps I am remembering incorrectly, but wasn't Marty Schottenheimer pretty close to this when he got canned? Granted that was like 15 years ago and the only similar instance I can think of.
Random thought, but if Jaylon doesn't drop those pick 6s in back to back weeks, is he a dpoy candidate? If I remember correctly, PFF had him as the #1 coverage corner. Those 2 int would put him in a tie for 3rd with 6; the 2td would put him into 2nd with 3 tds. I wonder how much money those 2 drops saved the Bears.
Toronto snagged Yariel Rodriguez in a 4/32 deal and I am incredibly jealous. I don't know that he's a starter, but I do believe he's a lock down reliever.
I'd love to have JRam, but if Cleveland traded him, after he gave them a huge huge home team discount, that would drastically harm their relationship with the players and agents going forward. That's just assuming he doesn't have a full NTC which he likely does.
I'm all in favor of bullpen help, but dropping 20 million of the remaining 55m on Hader isn't the way. At that point, if they signed Bellinger the money is nearly all gone when you figure they're probably going to save 5ish million for the deadline. I think it's much more prudent to shop in the Stephenson range with the high end being Robertson.
Alcantara is as high up the prospect list as I'm willing to go for a reliever. Anything involving PCA, Horton, Shaw and even Caissie, I could be somewhere becomes irate and unhappy.
In a bullpen that already had significant walk issues, adding the nearly 6.5 BB/9 of Karinchak is probably not the way to go. His stuff is very good though.
In full agreement on the top 7. I just can't see it on Wicks and Triantos. Triantos will hit, I have little doubt of it, but I sincerely doubt he hits enough to provide value at 1B and right now I'm not sure he can play anywhere else without it being a disaster. Also, I'd have Brown over Wicks all day. Brown has significantly more reliever risk, but also has significantly better stuff. Wicks is a 4 or 5 if things work out.
The tools are all there, but my biggest concern is the same one I had on the day he was drafted. The Cub lab seems to excel at improving the stuff of pitchability guys. Finding them more velocity, better spin and shape, etc. Thus far, I don't recall anyone with severe control issues who they've managed to fix. In fact it was a major issue in the pen last year.
He is moving quickly and of course this is a good thing. Part of the reason he's moving so quickly is that he's a very high floor college bat. If he also had superstar ceiling while having a high floor he'd have been up there with Dylan Crews. With that said, he still has a nice ceiling and could be a guy who sees some all star games and posts some 20/20 seasons. He might end up being Pedroia but a tier down.