You have to figure that even if we only had a .450 chance to win any given Cardinals game, we'd still be expected to win between four and five games of any given ten game stretch. We've won two out of ten games against the Cardinals this year. Even if that .45 winning percentage was true (it's not, it's probably slightly below .50, because in all honesty, our rosters are very evenly matched on paper - and our offense is slightly better, performance with RISP aside), the Cubs would only have a ten percent chance of winning two or fewer of ten games against the Cardinals. If our true winning percentage against the Cardinals was .40, there's still only a 16 percent chance we'd win two or fewer games in a ten game stretch. Baseball is [expletive] sometimes.