Mephistopheles

actual the pictures are uploaded onto their site. Vitters is the bigger one, so hes the #1. All the other nine are the same size so theyre the 2-10. Pattersons bat makes up for his defense IMO. He isnt Ryan Braun bricklike.

neat anyways, voters are idiots and don't look at anything you look at, so your point is null and void. voters look at "what have you done for me lately". voters put South Florida #2. we both know LSU played a harder schedule. and we both know it wouldn't matter at all if OSU happened to lose in Week 5 while LSU lost their last regular season game. South Florida got that ranking due to beating some good teams. Funny how Ohio State got the #1 ranking by playing a by far worse schedule but that was ok since they have a big time name. It looks to me that the Big 12 will have a rep in the BCS Champ game no matter how it falls. It's going to take WV to keep winning and a LSU loss for them to get a shot. yeah, OSU got some "we know who they are" votes for sure. I'm not arguing that Meph is wrong in his observations, only that his observations are not how the voting works right now. Saying LSU deserves to be #1 over OSU because the have a statistical x% chance of running the table with their schedule is analogous to saying Troy Tulowitzki deserved ROY over Ryan Braun because he had a higher WARP3. it's true, but it's not in any way what the idiot voters are basing their highly subjective opinions on If meph's way were always right we wouldn't watch the games like we do. Did he have Arizona beating Oregon? Is Oregon a better team? Yes. That to me is the best part of this game is that the teams that do the best, should be the ones on top. Granted, playing 4 patsies and then having a conference that is down gives a lesser team an advantage but I think some teams have been trying to rectify that but you get the surprise teams like Rutgers last year and Kansas this year that played a poor OOC schedule but they still had/have to win their conferences, Rutgers didn't and we'll see how Kansas does. I have no problem with Kansas going to the big game if they win over Iowa St, Mizzou, and Oklahoma (if they are the team that wins the south) It's a probability. It's not saying who wins in one game. In respect to the Arizona Oregon game.....Dixon was out after the first quarter, of course we're not projecting that so you can throw the probabilities out the door when Dixon gets hurt (and rightfully so)

BA's is: #1 Josh Vitters Then these nine guys in an unknown order ? J Ceda ? J Samardzija ? G Soto ? T Colvin ? T Thomas ? D Veal ? S Gallagher ? J Donaldson ? K Hart

ill throw my hat in the ring 1. Soto 2. Patterson 3. Vitters 4. Colvin 5. Donaldson 6. Veal 7. Ceda 8. Huseby 9. Gallagher 10. Samardzija BAs will probably go something like this: 1. Vitters 2. Soto 3. Colvin 4. Samardzija 5. Patterson 6. Donaldson 7. Gallagher 8. Veal 9. Huseby 10. Burke

His AA splits are too sample size dependent to get worried. We can throw them out. His GB% at all the other levels was over fifty percent. He's fine there....of course he can't strike guys out but he can get them to hit the ball on the ground, thank God for players like Neifi.

I seem to recall a few years ago Choi doing well in his winter league. I seem to recall a few years ago Choi doing well in the major leagues.

Tebow won the Heisman tonight. I think it's either him or McFadden. Superman has 7 more TD passes than McFadden funny. crap i meant Superman has 7 more rushing TDs than McFadden

Tebow won the Heisman tonight. I think it's either him or McFadden. Superman has 7 more TD passes than McFadden

Um, no they don't. I am not surprised that Ohio State and Michigan is at the top, even though it isn't the correct answer. Up until about ten years ago the biggest rivalry for OU was easily Nebraska. I'd rank them: 1. Texas - Texas A&M 2. Army - Navy 3. Yale - Harvard 4. Auburn - Alabama 5. Michigan - Ohio State 6. Grambling - Southern 7. Oxbridge 8. Florida - Florida State 9. UCLA - USC 10. Florida - Georgia

Tebow won the Heisman tonight.

A 3 loss team in the National Title game? :-) Nah, the Big XII winner is going to get in, deservingly so.

Tell that to 2003 USC Tell that to 2001 Oregon If LSU was undefeated going into the SEC Championship game and lost to a top ten team (either UF or UGA) they'd still be in, and rightfully so. LSU had a 12.44% chance of going through its schedule unscathed (with UGA in the SEC-C) OSU had a 18.76% chance of going through its schedule unscathed. The six percent difference is about the same when looking at two losses. LSU would have THREE victories against opponents that were better than ANY opponents that OSU faced.

LSU will play for the NC because they lost to Kentucky and beat Florida, Georgia, Auburn, Arkansas, Virginia Tech and won the toughest conference in the land. OSU won't play for the NC because they lost a game in the weakest BCS conference that has three loses to {1AA , Duke}. I'll run the probabilities comparing the two schedules momentarily.

Isnt Sean Casey available? He's a much cheaper (and better) option than Lowell for the Yankees. Great clubhouse guy too.

<3

Remember when Meph had Zambrano at number five on his cy young ballot and the majority of you laughed at him saying there's no chance in hell that actually happened? I do. The shocking news is that this is the first year since 2003 that Roy Oswalt did not finish top five in the voting.

Because more times than not the player is going to improve from season n-1 to season n when hes under 30...any accurate projection model is going to have this happen. Obviously there is regression to the means that cancels this out in crawfords case

dernier AGE YEAR TEAM G AB H 2B 3B HR R RBI SB CS SO BB HBP SH SF IBB GDP BA OBA SLG 23 1980 PHI-N 10 7 4 0 0 0 5 1 3 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 .571 .625 .571 24 1981 PHI-N 10 4 3 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .750 .750 .750 25 1982 PHI-N 122 370 92 10 2 4 56 21 42 12 69 36 1 3 2 0 6 .249 .315 .319 26 1983 PHI-N 122 221 51 10 0 1 41 15 35 7 21 18 0 5 1 0 2 .231 .287 .290 27 1984 CHI-N 143 536 149 26 5 3 94 32 45 17 60 63 2 11 0 0 5 .278 .356 .362 28 1985 CHI-N 121 469 119 20 3 1 63 21 31 8 44 40 3 7 2 1 7 .254 .315 .316 29 1986 CHI-N 108 324 73 14 1 4 32 18 27 2 41 22 0 5 0 1 7 .225 .275 .312 30 1987 CHI-N 93 199 63 4 4 8 38 21 16 7 19 19 1 1 0 0 4 .317 .379 .497 31 1988 PHI-N 68 166 48 3 1 1 19 10 13 6 19 9 1 3 0 0 2 .289 .330 .337 32 1989 PHI-N 107 187 32 5 0 1 26 13 4 3 28 14 0 1 3 0 1 .171 .225 .214 904 2483 634 92 16 23 374 152 218 63 301 222 8 36 8 2 34 .255 .318 .333

Or, you are wrong. Yeah because the dodgers, angels, dbacks, rays, yanks, redsox, etc are all just pining for a SS and there are about 84 3B on the market. Its just the cubs and the cards who need SS and to a lesser extent the astros. No, they don't have to trade Tejada now, but the team is taking a different direction, and his value may not be higher. Excluding Hill does not necessarily mean that the offer would just be made up of prospects, there are a couple other guys on the team that Hendry hasn't given NTCs to. Based on MacPhail's quotes, I think Marmol could be the centerpiece, not Hill. This is an interesting read. i can think of five teams off the top of my head who would be interested in acquiring tejada - all of which have better young talent than the cubs if we exclude hill.

Here's some 2008 projections James J.Loney .302 /.359/.465 /.823 CHONE J.Loney .284/.347/.431/.778 James M.Kemp .322/.365/.508/.873 CHONE M.Kemp .289/.337/.467/.804 Yeah, it'd totally suck to have those two hitting 3 and 5. Absolutely awful. James M. Murton .305/.373/.468/.841 James D. Lee .297/.386/.515/.901 Let's see. We want a higher OBP no? Both Murton and Lee are better than Kemp and Loney in that department. Lee's considerably better than Kemp and Murton's considerably better than Loney. Yeah, it'd totally suck to have those two hitting 3 and 5. Absolutely awful. The point is that you don't lose all that much offensively and you save a ton of cash. Cash is then applied to A-Rod. Also, D-Lee is on the downswing of his career and is only going to get worse, while Kemp and Loney are young and going to improve. Which would you rather have? Lee, Muton, and Theriot or Loney, Kemp, and A-Rod I'd go with the second option. Never going to happen, but that would probably be the best scenario for this team. Patterson, D-Lee, and Marshall for Loney and Kemp? Save a ton of cash? you'd save what? 15 mil? arod isnt signing for 15 mil We already have about 15M to spend. You save 15M or more by trading Lee. 15+15=30. I think we could have got A-Rod to sign to 25-30. None of this really matters, because there isn't any chance of it happening. I'm just saying that we'd be better off if we could trade Lee and others for two young players like Kemp and Loney, who have a good chance to be good for a long time. and we could keep lee and murton and acquire tejada instead. arod cant play SS anymore kids

Here's some 2008 projections James J.Loney .302 /.359/.465 /.823 CHONE J.Loney .284/.347/.431/.778 James M.Kemp .322/.365/.508/.873 CHONE M.Kemp .289/.337/.467/.804 Yeah, it'd totally suck to have those two hitting 3 and 5. Absolutely awful. James M. Murton .305/.373/.468/.841 James D. Lee .297/.386/.515/.901 Let's see. We want a higher OBP no? Both Murton and Lee are better than Kemp and Loney in that department. Lee's considerably better than Kemp and Murton's considerably better than Loney. Yeah, it'd totally suck to have those two hitting 3 and 5. Absolutely awful. The point is that you don't lose all that much offensively and you save a ton of cash. Cash is then applied to A-Rod. Also, D-Lee is on the downswing of his career and is only going to get worse, while Kemp and Loney are young and going to improve. Which would you rather have? Lee, Muton, and Theriot or Loney, Kemp, and A-Rod I'd go with the second option. Never going to happen, but that would probably be the best scenario for this team. Patterson, D-Lee, and Marshall for Loney and Kemp? Save a ton of cash? you'd save what? 15 mil? arod isnt signing for 15 mil

Take them with a grain of salt. I have no idea how accurate his 2007 ones were. In decreasing OPS OF .278/.328/.517 Alfonso Soriano 35 HR .305/.373/.468 Matt Murton .283/.333/.456 Felix Pie CI .297/.386/.515 Derrek Lee 25 HR .296/.355/.532 Aramis Ramirez 31 HR MI .279/.348/.405 Mark DeRosa .269/.321/.400 Omar Infante .283/.348/.371 Ryan Theriot Cedeno not listed C .291/.362/.487 Geovany Soto SP 14-9 3.50 223:69 K:BB in 206 IP Rich Hill 14-10 3.51 189:89 K:BB in 215 IP Carlos Zambrano 12-11 3.98 174:77 K:BB in 208 IP Ted Lilly 9-12 4.66 109:74 K:BB in 191 IP Jason Marquis Notables .278/.332/.433 Jacque Jones .299/.339/.452 Carl Crawford (um = Pie) 13-11 3.69 ERA 207:78 K:BB in 210 IP Erik Bedard (um < Hill) .301/.359/.479 Miguel Tejada

Here's some 2008 projections James J.Loney .302 /.359/.465 /.823 CHONE J.Loney .284/.347/.431/.778 James M.Kemp .322/.365/.508/.873 CHONE M.Kemp .289/.337/.467/.804 Yeah, it'd totally suck to have those two hitting 3 and 5. Absolutely awful. James M. Murton .305/.373/.468/.841 James D. Lee .297/.386/.515/.901 Let's see. We want a higher OBP no? Both Murton and Lee are better than Kemp and Loney in that department. Lee's considerably better than Kemp and Murton's considerably better than Loney. Yeah, it'd totally suck to have those two hitting 3 and 5. Absolutely awful.

When Kemp's strikeout rate catches up to his ability to sustain a high average (it's only a matter of time) his value as offensive player is going to deteriorate. He doesn't walk. He has 25 HR power, but he's not any better than Matt Murton. Loney's Mark Grace at best.

That's because you're wrong. The Orioles don't have to trade Tejada. They're not going to trade him for prospects when he has two years left. Maybe next off season or in the middle of the 2009 season. Not this offseason, no chance in hell. Even if they did, our systems lack of talent would get blown out of the water by about 25 other organizations. We have to include Hill or we're getting trumped.