Jump to content
North Side Baseball

Mephistopheles

Verified Member
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    8,724

  • Joined

  • Last visited

 Content Type 

Profiles

Joomla Posts 1

Chicago Cubs Videos

Chicago Cubs Free Agent & Trade Rumors, Notes, & Tidbits

2026 Chicago Cubs Top Prospects Ranking

News

2023 Chicago Cubs Draft Picks

Guides & Resources

2024 Chicago Cubs Draft Picks

The Chicago Cubs Players Project

2025 Chicago Cubs Draft Pick Tracker

2026 Chicago Cubs Draft Pick Tracker

Blogs

Events

Forums

Store

Gallery

Everything posted by Mephistopheles

  1. Mephistopheles
    Did Alex Rodriguez play LF/RF/DH most of his career? I'm pretty sure that he played a little position called shortstop for about nine seasons.
  2. Mephistopheles
    Mannys a butcher in the OF. I think someone who is obsessed with pitching and defense like yourself would take that into account.
  3. Mephistopheles
    Thank God You're Not Jim Hendry
  4. Mephistopheles
    Furcal? Hendry wanted him or Pierre and wound up with one. Last season he said he would get Soriano and he did. If he wants Fukudome just as bad, I can only hope he would be able to get it done. I would guess. And this is just me guessing here. That since Hendry got rid of Jones, he either already has a handshake (or bow), or is extremely confident he has Fukudome pretty much signed at this point (per talks with him I suppose). I don't think its necessarily that close. I think Fukudome is his first option and there have been talks, but I think Hendry sees the market for the type of OF's he is looking for and between Fukudome, Guillen, Cameron, etc he is confident in getting one of them. I'm sorry if this has been asked before but is Fukudome a CF? I just don't see the love for him as a corner OF. If he is I'd package Pie, Murton and a slew of young pitchers for Cabrera and plug Theriot and Infante at SS. For the three hundred and thirtieth time, yes he can be more than passable in center, although he played right this year for Chunichi. I appreciate you being a prick about it, thanks for the info. Thats my job isn't it?
  5. Mephistopheles
    Maybe that would be enough to get Peavy? The Yankees offered Melky Cabrera and Phil Hughes. Our package is most certainly better than that package. Cabrera = Fourth Outfielder. Hughes = 06-07 Mark Prior
  6. Mephistopheles
    Furcal? Hendry wanted him or Pierre and wound up with one. Last season he said he would get Soriano and he did. If he wants Fukudome just as bad, I can only hope he would be able to get it done. I would guess. And this is just me guessing here. That since Hendry got rid of Jones, he either already has a handshake (or bow), or is extremely confident he has Fukudome pretty much signed at this point (per talks with him I suppose). I don't think its necessarily that close. I think Fukudome is his first option and there have been talks, but I think Hendry sees the market for the type of OF's he is looking for and between Fukudome, Guillen, Cameron, etc he is confident in getting one of them. I'm sorry if this has been asked before but is Fukudome a CF? I just don't see the love for him as a corner OF. If he is I'd package Pie, Murton and a slew of young pitchers for Cabrera and plug Theriot and Infante at SS. For the three hundred and thirtieth time, yes he can be more than passable in center, although he played right this year for Chunichi.
  7. Mephistopheles
    Matt Murton, Felix Pie and Sean Gallagher to Oakland for Dan Haren. Not going to happen, but it's worth mentioning just to torment the Cardinal fans that frequent Cubs message boards (I am looking at you Wolf and Haltz).
  8. Mephistopheles
    I am convinced that the Cubs are run by martians trying to take over the world. It's the only explanation. No organization can be this dumb on accident.
  9. Mephistopheles
    Ah, ok. That makes sense now. I don't necessarily agree with what you're saying but I get your point. footballs just like baseball, the best team doesnt always win....although the better team wins a lot more in football than in baseball.
  10. Mephistopheles
    if you flip a coin and it lands on heads does that mean heads is better than tails? no. sure it would settle something....but it wouldnt tell us which team was better.
  11. Mephistopheles
    To those who are voting Dixon: Dixon has just one more passing touchdown than Tebow has rushing touchdowns. 19 for a QB! Hes going to set the record and wind up with about 30 TD passes.
  12. Mephistopheles
    the Yankees can afford incredibly dumb contracts. money should have been spent on rodriguez...
  13. Mephistopheles
    incredibly dumb
  14. Mephistopheles
    i didnt even account for that. that makes it pretty much 50-50
  15. Mephistopheles
    I think Oregon, but I think we'll get to see it settled on the field. thats the problem....its a 45-55 split game. it wont be settled on the field...
  16. Mephistopheles
    no one said that. although lsu is probably the best team in the country
  17. Mephistopheles
    Purdue has Oregon, Northern Colorado, Notre Dame and Central Michigan N'western has Syracuse, Duke, Southern Illinois and Ohio Indiana has Ball State, dunno the rest They go to Oregon in 09. Oregon wont be very next year though.
  18. Mephistopheles
    At least 2008 won't be the third consecutive year a crappy Ohio State team is in the BCS driver seat when November rolls around. I suspect USC will kick their butts easily to end their title run to open up the season. They also have the 13th SEC team making a trip there, Troy. Nice... Yeah the 06 OSU team was deserving and i know it. they did beat a defending NC team in Texas.
  19. Mephistopheles
    thats the number 20 team in the country whose most likely outcome playing ufs schedule is 6-4 What a joke, you act like thats cut and dry. God i hope the Illini play Florida like its being speculated really its better than any lame thing you come up with other than "omg im a illini fan so theyre the best and the big ten rocks and the sec sucks and the sec is overrated because they kick everyones ass" which is better? a NON BIASED APPROACHED....or the homer approach? the system doesnt give out cookies to SEC teams. There's no SEC bonus. The SEC is just that good, plain and simple. Imnot saying these probabilities are exact, but they give a DAMN good idea of how well such and such would play in a game. If Florida plays Illinois in a nuetral site, Florida would win about 80 percent of the time. Dont blame me if you for the fact that if a team has a 90% chance to win each game and they play 5 games then there is over a 40 percent chance for them to lose at least one of those five games. I
  20. Mephistopheles
    not really. the computers have the gators top ten iirc Computer rankings for Florida: 15th, 11th, 9th, 10th, 11th, 13th. So most have Florida just outside the top 10, although slightly higher than their 14th ranking in the human polls. Theyre 11th overall in the computers and they dont take in account margin of victory at all (and doing it at the slightest amount is certainly fine and would push them in the top ten) there SHOULD be no doubt in your mind theyre top ten.
  21. Mephistopheles
    florida plays fsu every year. arkansas and texas get their old rivalry back together for games in 08 and 09, with Arkansas going to UT in 08. 2008 Schedules vs BCS schools or big name mid major schools: Arkansas at Texas Ole Miss at Wake Forest Auburn at West Virginia Tennessee at UCLA South Carolina at Clemson Kentucky at Louisville Georgia vs Georgia Tech Georgia at Arizona State Florida vs Hawaii Florida vs Miami (Fl) Florida at Florida State Mississippi State at Georgia Tech Alabama is trying to get Clemson to play opening week next season. The SEC doesn't play anyone out of conference argument isn't going to work next year. Not to mention they're on the road a lot.
  22. Mephistopheles
    not really. the computers have the gators top ten iirc
  23. Mephistopheles
    thats the number 20 team in the country whose most likely outcome playing ufs schedule is 6-4
  24. Mephistopheles
    For kicks and giggles, if the Illini had UF's schedule: Team H/A Opponent A_P H_P P(10-0) P(9-1) P(8-2) P(7-3) or less Illinois H Western Kentucky 58.26 80.60 94.7% 1 0.15% 5.5% 7.98% 86.39% Illinois H Troy 71.53 80.60 79.4% 1 Illinois H Tennesse 80.17 80.60 58.7% 1 Most Likely Illinois A Ole Miss 80.60 65.88 80.1% 1 W L Illinois H Auburn 81.57 80.60 54.8% 1 6 4 Illinois A LSU 80.60 93.36 14.5% 0 Illinois A Kentucky 80.60 82.36 37.6% 0 Illinois N Georgia 83.25 80.60 42.4% 0 Illinois H Vanderbilt 73.65 80.60 75.1% 1 Illinois A South Carolina 80.60 79.64 45.2% 0
  25. Mephistopheles
    Using Saragan it's possible to breakdown a matchup between any two teams into probabilities of one team beating the other. Running a regression on a for this typical distribution function: f(2.64 + H - A) f(x) = 1/(1+exp(-ax) The probability that Florida would have run the table up to this point is a whopping 8.46%. The probability of Florida going 9-1 to this point is 35.4%. The probability of Florida going 8-2 is 31.67%. The probability of Florida going 7-3 or worse is 24.44%. So, assuming Florida is the number six team in the country, they have a 1 in 4 chance of losing 3 games up to this point. I can't even begin to describe the ramifications of this. Im going to sit here and spell out this. If you assume Florida is the number 6 team in the country and LSU is the number 2 team in the country, in a game at LSU Florida's will win about 39% of the time. If that same caliber Florida team plays Kansas' schedule, they're going to go 10-0 about 40% of the time. The ramifications of this should be quite clear. No one should ever use the OMG LOSS argument again. It's too erroneous. Note: I have all the data in a spreadsheet. if you want to know the probability of team x doing whatever in their schedule thus far, just ask
×
×
  • Create New...