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Andy

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Everything posted by Andy

  1. Yeah, I legitimately can't believe JD stayed. Hopefully that Twitter theory about customer feedback is accurate. Boog is Boog, rock-solid, and I'm glad he's sticking around too.
  2. I find myself very amused by the choice to put the logo on the smokestack.
  3. I would imagine that it would be in addition to, not instead of. As always, the Ricketts timing is impeccable. Correct, this is an attempt to suck in people who don't want to pay for all of cable but would still like to pay a sizable fraction of that for basically one sports team. The only market for this would be within the Cubs' blackout zone as MLB.TV, as of now, barely costs any more than Marquee as proposed would by itself.
  4. Dolphins hired Mike McDaniel, who I had never heard of until nuDeadspin ran an article trashing the idea of hiring him because he was "another white guy" even though he is biracial and has been quite open about it
  5. It's pretty damn sickening. We all know this stuff happens everywhere but for whatever reason seeing it play out so obviously in real time makes it even more infuriating. The MLBPA rejected mediation, as they should have.
  6. Absolutely no one at Auburn would care about this if they had been able to stop Bryce Young's final drive 2 months ago.
  7. Certainly 1 is at least true in part. Evan Drellich tweeted yesterday that MLB did not make any kind of counter-offer yesterday even though they said earlier this week that they would.
  8. Given that a 14 team playoff was and is on the table I can categorically state that 12 is not the worst. It's not good by any means but it's not the worst.
  9. Like 3 minutes later reports started pouring in that they picked the Rams OC, but I'm sure that was just a coincidence
  10. There's some Matt Rhule smoke out there. That would probably be the safest move. (I actually still like Rhule, or at least want to like him, but that would also kinda solve a problem for my pro team.) Beyond him it's a big question mark.
  11. Joe Schad reporting it was Brady, not Watson, that Ross was trying to arrange a meeting with, so another swing and a miss for me
  12. was dusty really fired/let go from the giants or did his contract expire and they didn't re-sign him? feel like those are two different things. He was technically not renewed, although it seems reasonable to assume he'd have stayed in SF if they'd wanted him to.
  13. It has to be Watson, it's been heavily reported that the Dolphins ownership wanted him and Flores wanted no part of it. Ownership also wanted Tua when others wanted Justin Herbert.
  14. I'm getting extremely sick of all these proposals offering advantages to "small-market" teams when everyone is treating the CBT like a salary cap anyway so the big-market teams (and really, I mean big-market fan bases) aren't really getting any of the advantages they're supposed to be getting by being big-market teams.
  15. I'm guessing this person probably threw down 20 bones on a whole bunch of different potential scores, but still, insane.
  16. His challenge on that spot early in the 3rd quarter was breathtakingly stupid, as was the timeout he had to piss away because he couldn't get the play in a little later. Luckily for him it didn't matter, but between this game and Belichick eating his lunch in the Super Bowl a few years back I can't say I'm super impressed with him.
  17. Oh God here we go again
  18. If Clemens isn't getting votes because he's (allegedly) a child rapist, that's one thing, but as I mentioned above, Omar Vizquel getting more votes than Sammy Sosa would seem to imply that actual crime doesn't matter to the voters nearly as much as steroid use does.
  19. My point isn't that the coin toss winner doesn't have any advantage at all. My point is that no overtime system is going to create the perfect 50/50 split of outcomes people seem to want out of this. And college football overtime, the system many people are pointing to as, at minimum, a terrific starting point for an NFL system, has a win rate by the coin toss winner that's pretty damn close to the same as the NFL overtime system. And that's because the team that goes on offense 2nd has the advantage of knowing what's needed to win/tie. A lot like baseball teams batting last have an advantage. But again, you are cherry-picking for your argument. That "similar gap" (which is still only 8%) only exists for DECISIVE overtime college periods. The team that wins the initial coin toss in college games only goes on to win the game 50.94% of the time. College rules are much more fair, and it isn't even close. https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/frai.2020.00061/full Well, well-put. I concede I did not realize those stats only applied to decisive overtime periods, as where I'd read that didn't mention it. I still think there's more cyber-ink spilled on the issue than it deserves, but your point is taken.
  20. So it's your position that a 6.6% difference in who wins an NFL overtime game with a sample size of 65 games or whatever it is is entirely due to the coin toss? That's your take? 1) You don't seem to know what statistical significance is. 2) You're omitting 11 games from your already small sample size that make the "gap" significantly greater. The "gap" is actually 11%. If you throw out the ties (which can't happen in the playoffs) the "gap" increases to 13%. 3) The team that wins the coin toss has been a -130 favorite. If you don't think that's "statistically significant" then you and I can make a bet from here on forward. I'll back the coin toss winner. I'll give you +110. What do you say? My point isn't that the coin toss winner doesn't have any advantage at all. My point is that no overtime system is going to create the perfect 50/50 split of outcomes people seem to want out of this. And college football overtime, the system many people are pointing to as, at minimum, a terrific starting point for an NFL system, has a win rate by the coin toss winner that's pretty damn close to the same as the NFL overtime system.
  21. Just under 55 percent of college football overtime games are won by the coin-toss winner, higher than NFL regular season. Does that need to be stripped to its roots too? I'm just trying to figure out what the acceptable percentage is.
  22. Lol So it's your position that a 6.6% difference in who wins an NFL overtime game with a sample size of 65 games or whatever it is is entirely due to the coin toss? That's your take?
  23. He got fewer votes than Omar Vizquel, so I guess domestic abuse and sexual harassment are less problematic than steroid use.
  24. I'm bringing this back up since you referenced it a second time. It may be technically true that the coin toss winner team wins exactly half the time if you take out the playoff numbers and include the ties as "non-wins", but it's pretty misleading. Because if you do exactly the same for the non-coin toss winner teams, the non-coin toss winner teams only win 43.4% of the time even when taking out the playoff numbers (with the other 6.7% being those ties). That's still a pretty healthy advantage for the coin toss winner. I don't consider 50-43.4 a statistically significant difference. There are a million potential reasons for that. If the end goal is an OT that produces an exact 50/50 split, good luck. Your best chance for that is probably literally deciding it with a coin toss.
  25. The fact that we're still a few weeks from the original ST report date and there's already been movement (albeit minor) strikes me as a good sign.
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