Andy
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Everything posted by Andy
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I'm guessing this person probably threw down 20 bones on a whole bunch of different potential scores, but still, insane.
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His challenge on that spot early in the 3rd quarter was breathtakingly stupid, as was the timeout he had to piss away because he couldn't get the play in a little later. Luckily for him it didn't matter, but between this game and Belichick eating his lunch in the Super Bowl a few years back I can't say I'm super impressed with him.
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Oh God here we go again
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If Clemens isn't getting votes because he's (allegedly) a child rapist, that's one thing, but as I mentioned above, Omar Vizquel getting more votes than Sammy Sosa would seem to imply that actual crime doesn't matter to the voters nearly as much as steroid use does.
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My point isn't that the coin toss winner doesn't have any advantage at all. My point is that no overtime system is going to create the perfect 50/50 split of outcomes people seem to want out of this. And college football overtime, the system many people are pointing to as, at minimum, a terrific starting point for an NFL system, has a win rate by the coin toss winner that's pretty damn close to the same as the NFL overtime system. And that's because the team that goes on offense 2nd has the advantage of knowing what's needed to win/tie. A lot like baseball teams batting last have an advantage. But again, you are cherry-picking for your argument. That "similar gap" (which is still only 8%) only exists for DECISIVE overtime college periods. The team that wins the initial coin toss in college games only goes on to win the game 50.94% of the time. College rules are much more fair, and it isn't even close. https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/frai.2020.00061/full Well, well-put. I concede I did not realize those stats only applied to decisive overtime periods, as where I'd read that didn't mention it. I still think there's more cyber-ink spilled on the issue than it deserves, but your point is taken.
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So it's your position that a 6.6% difference in who wins an NFL overtime game with a sample size of 65 games or whatever it is is entirely due to the coin toss? That's your take? 1) You don't seem to know what statistical significance is. 2) You're omitting 11 games from your already small sample size that make the "gap" significantly greater. The "gap" is actually 11%. If you throw out the ties (which can't happen in the playoffs) the "gap" increases to 13%. 3) The team that wins the coin toss has been a -130 favorite. If you don't think that's "statistically significant" then you and I can make a bet from here on forward. I'll back the coin toss winner. I'll give you +110. What do you say? My point isn't that the coin toss winner doesn't have any advantage at all. My point is that no overtime system is going to create the perfect 50/50 split of outcomes people seem to want out of this. And college football overtime, the system many people are pointing to as, at minimum, a terrific starting point for an NFL system, has a win rate by the coin toss winner that's pretty damn close to the same as the NFL overtime system.
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Just under 55 percent of college football overtime games are won by the coin-toss winner, higher than NFL regular season. Does that need to be stripped to its roots too? I'm just trying to figure out what the acceptable percentage is.
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Lol So it's your position that a 6.6% difference in who wins an NFL overtime game with a sample size of 65 games or whatever it is is entirely due to the coin toss? That's your take?
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He got fewer votes than Omar Vizquel, so I guess domestic abuse and sexual harassment are less problematic than steroid use.
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I'm bringing this back up since you referenced it a second time. It may be technically true that the coin toss winner team wins exactly half the time if you take out the playoff numbers and include the ties as "non-wins", but it's pretty misleading. Because if you do exactly the same for the non-coin toss winner teams, the non-coin toss winner teams only win 43.4% of the time even when taking out the playoff numbers (with the other 6.7% being those ties). That's still a pretty healthy advantage for the coin toss winner. I don't consider 50-43.4 a statistically significant difference. There are a million potential reasons for that. If the end goal is an OT that produces an exact 50/50 split, good luck. Your best chance for that is probably literally deciding it with a coin toss.
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The fact that we're still a few weeks from the original ST report date and there's already been movement (albeit minor) strikes me as a good sign.
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That's something that will be figured out when they're closer to a deal, but I'd read the opposite and that it's unlikely to continue, at least in the 10th inning. I think the last thing I saw was that it might happen later than the 10th inning. I think both that and the 7-inning doubleheaders (also said to not be continuing) are abominations, but if forced to only eliminate one I think I'd eliminate the doubleheaders.
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Teams that win the coinflip in playoff OT are 10-1. Again, regular-season results, with a much bigger sample size, are that the coin-flip winner wins exactly half the time.
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Early reports are the players dropped their push to get players to free agency before 6 years. Seems like they'll focus more on trying to get players to arbitration sooner instead.
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If that first number includes the playoffs, interestingly enough, that means in the regular season it's 76-66-10, or the coin-toss winner wins the game exactly half the time.
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I think the OT rules are fine as is and this is all a tempest in a teapot, but the best suggestion I've seen so far was to not change anything except the first team can only walk it off with 8 points instead of 6. Then they have to weigh the 2-point conversion against the possibility of losing if the other team scores a TD too, and that gives the defense another chance to not fail and extend the game.
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I don't think the FCC can do anything in this case. They don't regulate profanities on cable. People can file complaints, but the FCC will just toss them. I thought you can only say so much before 9 or 10 PM, then it’s more free reign That's correct, but only over the air. The FCC has no jurisdiction on cable. To whatever extent cable networks limit profanities and any other obscene material, it's only because they want to.
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Wow, Fields had to be practically decapitated to get a roughing call. It's not just Fields. No QB in the league is treated like Brady except maybe Rodgers.
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Dunno the specifics of this proposal, but MLB owners could very easily continue manipulating service time and just dispense bonus draft picks when those guys place highly in the Rookie of the Year voting, which many of those prospects would obviously do
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To your point, Mike Tomlin is literally the only black HC in the whole league right now. Brian Flores will probably get another HC job, but that's such a bad look. The 2020 Texans went 4-12 with Deshaun Watson, the fact that Culley went 4-13 without him is a legitimate accomplishment.
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The Dolphins fired Flores? What the hell? Unless he's the reason they picked Tua over Herbert that seems completely unjustifiable to me.
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That was probably the most disappointing result in the history of NFL overtime.
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I am a huge Athletic fan, have subscribed for over 4 years and because of a promo deal this summer am locked in another 18 months. I guess there's a reason it seemed too good to be true, I just hope things don't change too much for the worse.
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By many accounts the players are pretty zeroed in on making sure they don't get railroaded, although your look at things makes sense. The push for a 14-team playoffs is the big thing; I hold basically no illusions that that won't happen, even though it shouldn't, but I am optimistic the players will make the owners pay up a bit for it.
