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sneakypower

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Everything posted by sneakypower

  1. texas tech isn't a very good football team
  2. good, our coverage units have been pretty poor this season and we're probably going with a punter we just picked up off the street
  3. you figure they'll likely get the pick back when somebody else signs Madson but obviously the smart move was just installing Bastardo as closer instead of signing either
  4. who wouldn't?
  5. well there goes your chances for winning
  6. when Teixeira hit FA, he was 28 and had averaged 35 batting runs for his previous 5 years when Fielder hit FA, he was 27 and had averaged 43.4 batting runs for his previous 5 years you're signing a much better hitter with Prince than you did with Teixeira
  7. Value and predictiveness are not the same thing. Strikeouts and other outs are fairly close in value. They are not fairly close in predictiveness. There's almost no predictive value for these guys though. Like I said, that theory applies to minor leaguers or really young/raw guys. you can't honestly be serious with this insane nonsense
  8. http://cdn.bleacherreport.net/images_root/slides/photos/001/367/982/52970385_display_image.jpg?1317496762 timeless.
  9. bring back the jersey shirts http://cdn.bleacherreport.net/images_root/slides/photos/000/540/114/1402796_display_image.jpg?1291310448
  10. camdendepot had a pretty good analysis of Fielder vs. Pujols and what type of contracts they'd be worth http://4.bp.blogspot.com/-ZXnNmes7sIE/TqwbauUN60I/AAAAAAAAAmo/H6Iw-lZr4dw/s400/pujols+fielder+predicted+money+worth.jpg
  11. a good cause, if i ever knew one http://www.change.org/petitions/the-detroit-lions-replace-nickelback-as-the-halftime-show-for-the-thanksgiving-game
  12. Best has already been ruled out for this game
  13. i'll never understand the superstar thing if his pitch selection and contact ability improve enough to approaching "just dreadful" levels, he can be José Hernández plus some steals; if not, he can become Ronny Cedeno
  14. man, that was a snoozer of a game
  15. there's been contact by the DBs all day, and not a single call going our way; real aggravating
  16. you guys are awful
  17. i hate to agree with Spielman, but these Gardner gimmicks are starting to infuriate me
  18. you're daft, these guys just lost to Minnesota
  19. i'm aware of that, but you have to wonder if a significant raise would change his mind, or maybe he's soured on closing some after having just put the final nail in his team's playoff chances this season
  20. Beltre, Andrus, Kinsler, Moreland totaled +34 runs per UZR last season Ramirez, Castro, Barney, Pena totaled -12 runs, and we can't reasonably expect to be much better than average in IF defense next year unless Castro makes massive strides much of what makes CJ Wilson so attractive is his terrific GB rate, which wouldn't benefit him nearly as much here as it did in Texas; he'd certainly underperform his FIP by noticeable amounts signing Wilson at the price he's going to demand doesn't make much sense for us, and even much, much more so especially in conjunction with a Fielder or Ramirez signing
  21. I like the concept of converting the guy, but you'd have to figure 2012 would be an experimental year, limiting his innings and potentially piggybacking him with other pitchers. You'd be spending a lot of money on that experiment. He's only gone past 50 pitches three times in his career. What could you really expect out of him, 25 starts for 100 innings? Guys might prefer to be starters, but if you can make big time money as a reliever and have been a successful reliever for many years, I'm not sure there's enough incentive to take the risk. i'm not so sure about that; Texas has done a great job of this recently, with Ogando jumping from 41 to 169 IP and Wilson jumping from 73 to 204 with no ill effects - the conventional wisdom that pitchers need to be gradually eased into the role of a full-time starter seems to be becoming outdated
  22. on the topic of relievers, i had a somewhat asinine idea looking through the FA stats: sign Papelbon to be a starter you have to figure he's going to max out at about $11M AAV in this closer-rich FA market. could he be bought out of closing (3 years, $47M)? he's got relatively little wear on his arm, is just 30, with his pitches he profiles similar to Rich Harden (bad health aside) and his stats are sensational: 12.17 K/9, 1.40 BB/9 (this season). he could be even better than CJ Wilson at a fraction of the cost like i said, it's probably a terrible idea, but it's still got me wondering a little bit. if the experiment totally failed somehow, you're still just left overpaying your closer by a couple million bucks
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