sneakypower
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Everything posted by sneakypower
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you figure they'll likely get the pick back when somebody else signs Madson but obviously the smart move was just installing Bastardo as closer instead of signing either -
who wouldn't?
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well there goes your chances for winning
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when Teixeira hit FA, he was 28 and had averaged 35 batting runs for his previous 5 years when Fielder hit FA, he was 27 and had averaged 43.4 batting runs for his previous 5 years you're signing a much better hitter with Prince than you did with Teixeira
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Value and predictiveness are not the same thing. Strikeouts and other outs are fairly close in value. They are not fairly close in predictiveness. There's almost no predictive value for these guys though. Like I said, that theory applies to minor leaguers or really young/raw guys. you can't honestly be serious with this insane nonsense
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http://cdn.bleacherreport.net/images_root/slides/photos/001/367/982/52970385_display_image.jpg?1317496762 timeless.
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bring back the jersey shirts http://cdn.bleacherreport.net/images_root/slides/photos/000/540/114/1402796_display_image.jpg?1291310448
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camdendepot had a pretty good analysis of Fielder vs. Pujols and what type of contracts they'd be worth http://4.bp.blogspot.com/-ZXnNmes7sIE/TqwbauUN60I/AAAAAAAAAmo/H6Iw-lZr4dw/s400/pujols+fielder+predicted+money+worth.jpg
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a good cause, if i ever knew one http://www.change.org/petitions/the-detroit-lions-replace-nickelback-as-the-halftime-show-for-the-thanksgiving-game
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Best has already been ruled out for this game
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i'll never understand the superstar thing if his pitch selection and contact ability improve enough to approaching "just dreadful" levels, he can be José Hernández plus some steals; if not, he can become Ronny Cedeno
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man, that was a snoozer of a game
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damn.
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there's been contact by the DBs all day, and not a single call going our way; real aggravating
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you guys are awful
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i hate to agree with Spielman, but these Gardner gimmicks are starting to infuriate me
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you're daft, these guys just lost to Minnesota
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Complete list of Free Agents
sneakypower replied to Tim's topic in MLB Draft, International Signings, Amateur Baseball
i'm aware of that, but you have to wonder if a significant raise would change his mind, or maybe he's soured on closing some after having just put the final nail in his team's playoff chances this season -
Beltre, Andrus, Kinsler, Moreland totaled +34 runs per UZR last season Ramirez, Castro, Barney, Pena totaled -12 runs, and we can't reasonably expect to be much better than average in IF defense next year unless Castro makes massive strides much of what makes CJ Wilson so attractive is his terrific GB rate, which wouldn't benefit him nearly as much here as it did in Texas; he'd certainly underperform his FIP by noticeable amounts signing Wilson at the price he's going to demand doesn't make much sense for us, and even much, much more so especially in conjunction with a Fielder or Ramirez signing
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yup
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Complete list of Free Agents
sneakypower replied to Tim's topic in MLB Draft, International Signings, Amateur Baseball
I like the concept of converting the guy, but you'd have to figure 2012 would be an experimental year, limiting his innings and potentially piggybacking him with other pitchers. You'd be spending a lot of money on that experiment. He's only gone past 50 pitches three times in his career. What could you really expect out of him, 25 starts for 100 innings? Guys might prefer to be starters, but if you can make big time money as a reliever and have been a successful reliever for many years, I'm not sure there's enough incentive to take the risk. i'm not so sure about that; Texas has done a great job of this recently, with Ogando jumping from 41 to 169 IP and Wilson jumping from 73 to 204 with no ill effects - the conventional wisdom that pitchers need to be gradually eased into the role of a full-time starter seems to be becoming outdated -
Complete list of Free Agents
sneakypower replied to Tim's topic in MLB Draft, International Signings, Amateur Baseball
on the topic of relievers, i had a somewhat asinine idea looking through the FA stats: sign Papelbon to be a starter you have to figure he's going to max out at about $11M AAV in this closer-rich FA market. could he be bought out of closing (3 years, $47M)? he's got relatively little wear on his arm, is just 30, with his pitches he profiles similar to Rich Harden (bad health aside) and his stats are sensational: 12.17 K/9, 1.40 BB/9 (this season). he could be even better than CJ Wilson at a fraction of the cost like i said, it's probably a terrible idea, but it's still got me wondering a little bit. if the experiment totally failed somehow, you're still just left overpaying your closer by a couple million bucks -
You are expecting a lot of .822 OPS seasons out of Jackson? MiLB career: Brett Jackson (20-22) - .884 OPS Nick Swisher (21-23) - .857 OPS
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Complete list of Free Agents
sneakypower replied to Tim's topic in MLB Draft, International Signings, Amateur Baseball
Other stats for Wood are pretty bad. ERA+ is only another version of looking at his ERA, not great. Fangraphs have him worth less than his contract. He's way down the list of relievers and was not pretty darn good. And Pena's decent season doesn't not equate to excellence. WAR and the dollar value that it assigns undervalues late-inning relievers. It's not a good metric to use for them. What other stats of Wood's are pretty bad? He struck out a ton of guys, gave up an average amount of home runs, and walked a few too many. right, WAR looks at relievers like every other player from a purely runs standpoint, which is flawed in trying to assign value to them in my opinion Tyler Clippard had the 2nd highest WPA amongst all pitchers, behind only Verlander; i don't think we really know of a good way to place value on RPs yet
