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sneakypower

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Everything posted by sneakypower

  1. sneakypower
    2013 xBABIP: .300 (.235 actual) 2012 xBABIP: .303 (.260) career xBABIP: .301 (.267) league average is roughly .150 for FBs, .240 for GBs, .730 for LDs he's babip'd for his career .088 for FBs, .228 for GBs, .684 for LDs i think we can reasonably surmise from this he probably hits the ball with less authority (or placement?) than an average player does, so a 30-40 gap in xbabip/babip might be normal for him (if you're wondering what plugging his xbabip into his season line outputs, you get .288/.368/.518; oh, if only...)
  2. sneakypower
    when he hits it, it stays hit!
  3. sneakypower
    Took 4 rounds before the first Michigan player was picked. The drafts the past few seasons really tell how talent deficient UM has been since the end of the Carr era. well, chances are decent we might have actually had the #1 pick in this draft had Lewan declared...
  4. sneakypower
    how is it possible to have only 3 sacks playing opposite the line from Clowney?? i'd have liked to see Cornelius Washington or Quanterus Smith if we still wanted to go DE there
  5. sneakypower
    Buddy Garrity
  6. sneakypower
    oh man do i love the Warford pick
  7. sneakypower
    i'd have just preferred Milliner & Carradine, oh well
  8. sneakypower
    swinging strike % 2012: 9.6% 2013: 9.3% swings outside of the zone 2012: 38.5% 2013: 30.6% i'm not remotely worried about him yet; he's just been pretty cursed so far, it happens over a SSS this reminds me of last year when people were panicking over Shark's demise (in June?) when he was still pitching really well, just with unsustainable poor results
  9. sneakypower
    oh, what could have been...
  10. sneakypower
    i can see it now- "i received a tweet on my feed that i will never forget"
  11. sneakypower
    and he's (30%) currently not even in the top-15 for K frequency Colby Rasmus is striking out in 43% of his PAs, and Chris Carter's also above 40%
  12. sneakypower
    one time!
  13. sneakypower
    what was that, 600 feet?
  14. sneakypower
    yeah, they made him pretty unrealistically good; when i played with Michigan, he broke all kinds of yardage records for the winningest program in NCAA history, and broke the all-time QB rushing record too and he was able to orchestrate comeback wins going 80 yards in 20 seconds with no timeouts
  15. sneakypower
    http://media2.wxyz.com//photo/2013/04/23/Denard_covers_20130423124136_320_240.JPG makes my heart all aflutter
  16. sneakypower
    pretty disappointing start for the Tennessee pitching staff: Rhee, Zych, McNutt can't get any strikeouts, and Hendricks has lost his control
  17. sneakypower
    because we lost last night's game
  18. sneakypower
    bb-ref has him with 47 batted balls pulled: 18 (1.111 OPS) up middle: 15 (1.467 OPS) opp. field: 14 (.286 OPS) and fwiw, babip by batted ball types (approx. league average) LD: .444 (.730) GB: .105 (.240) FB: .077 (.150)
  19. sneakypower
    actually pretty amazed that wasn't a triple
  20. sneakypower
    OH HELL YES (now please hold this)
  21. sneakypower
    dammit dammit dammit
  22. sneakypower
    Votto's really spazzing out after these Ks
  23. sneakypower
    www.northsidebaseball.com/forum/viewtop ... &p=2821700 but yeah, if his babip matched his xbabip (.326), he'd have over a 1000 OPS right now
  24. sneakypower
    Are you really arguing that if a team doesn't have a decent chance to make the playoffs they shouldn't bother putting anything respectable out there in key positions? no we're arguing that if you're at very slim odds to seriously contend, you don't indiscriminately, irresponsibly throw money everywhere in the improbable hopes of defying the odds here's an exercise that'll make you feel more at peace: Travis Wood's outproduced CJ Wilson per bWAR since the start of last season; pretend to yourself that we're paying him $80M to do so and you'll feel much, much happier about management's level of devotion and effort similarly, when Rizzo produces similarly to Pujols & Fielder the next several years as he's projected to do, convince yourself that we're paying him $200-$250M to do so and you'll assuredly be pleased as punch about it
  25. sneakypower
    But every season is sacred. Of course your team has no chance of making the playoffs when you don't bother to bring in any cost certainty to highly variable spots. I HATE this logic which keeps getting repeated around here. Oh what, you wanted to sign that guy and improve by 4 wins? Whoopdee doo, now you won 65 games last year. You don't build a team by looking at your zIPS projection, and if win total < 75, don't try. ETA: And when arguing the point be sure to reference the worst contract at said position as your supporting evidence. the "cost certainty" is that you'll pay $5M-$5.5M per win, which when it could easily be argued we needed to add 30 wins to be actual contenders would have been utter lunacy to chase
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