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sneakypower

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  1. oh, i guess that's why Hairston plays against lefties
  2. Law actually rated Rizzo higher than any of the other big names (KG, BA, Sickels, Piliere, Mayo) last year KG was the only one to have him lower than 48th
  3. Castro's going to go up to the plate and have no fucken idea what to do now that he's hitting 5th
  4. they're probably right to worry about Hosmer, he seems to have real, shift/defense/power issues but there really weren't any reasons to worry about Rizzo, unless you had reason to believe his babip will always be heavily suppressed (i feel him being an all-fields hitter mitigates this concern quite a bit) but were he even carrying just a .280 babip now, he'd be exceeding .900 with his OPS; he's awesome
  5. it's worth noting that Scutaro (excluding AAA numbers) struck out at more than 3x the frequency of Torreyes in the minors, with similar power and 2 years behind in his development track his BB rate was decidedly higher though (10% to 6%)
  6. swinging strike % 2012: 9.6% 2013: 9.3% swings outside of the zone 2012: 38.5% 2013: 30.6% i'm not remotely worried about him yet; he's just been pretty cursed so far, it happens over a SSS this reminds me of last year when people were panicking over Shark's demise (in June?) when he was still pitching really well, just with unsustainable poor results his k% is up to 29%. i don't believe that you're really "not remotely worried" update: Rizzo's had 1 K in the 21 PA since this post (coinciding with a 1.630 OPS) bringing his K rate down to 24%, a couple points off his ZiPS projection of 21% now carrying an .850 OPS despite a .222 babip; he's awesome
  7. Ruiz in for the injured Pierzynski
  8. i actually wondered the same thing a while back updated: Torreyes (milb 5.5% K, .139 ISO, .333 babip) Keppinger (milb 5.7% K, .100 ISO, .332 babip) like i said in the previous post though, the big difference here is Ronald is four years ahead of Keppinger's development, so if we feel that he might have further development to do, his potential should be even better than a Keppinger career arc i still think Polanco can be the hope for him, and Pedroia* the dream - his early BB numbers are encouraging on this front *it's important to remember here Pedroia hits 2/3 more doubles at Fenway and his career .287/.358/.420 line is probably more representative of the real Pedroia
  9. even his big draft moment was intercepted. (stolen from deadspin comments)
  10. 2013 xBABIP: .300 (.235 actual) 2012 xBABIP: .303 (.260) career xBABIP: .301 (.267) league average is roughly .150 for FBs, .240 for GBs, .730 for LDs he's babip'd for his career .088 for FBs, .228 for GBs, .684 for LDs i think we can reasonably surmise from this he probably hits the ball with less authority (or placement?) than an average player does, so a 30-40 gap in xbabip/babip might be normal for him (if you're wondering what plugging his xbabip into his season line outputs, you get .288/.368/.518; oh, if only...)
  11. Took 4 rounds before the first Michigan player was picked. The drafts the past few seasons really tell how talent deficient UM has been since the end of the Carr era. well, chances are decent we might have actually had the #1 pick in this draft had Lewan declared...
  12. how is it possible to have only 3 sacks playing opposite the line from Clowney?? i'd have liked to see Cornelius Washington or Quanterus Smith if we still wanted to go DE there
  13. Buddy Garrity
  14. oh man do i love the Warford pick
  15. i'd have just preferred Milliner & Carradine, oh well
  16. swinging strike % 2012: 9.6% 2013: 9.3% swings outside of the zone 2012: 38.5% 2013: 30.6% i'm not remotely worried about him yet; he's just been pretty cursed so far, it happens over a SSS this reminds me of last year when people were panicking over Shark's demise (in June?) when he was still pitching really well, just with unsustainable poor results
  17. oh, what could have been...
  18. i can see it now- "i received a tweet on my feed that i will never forget"
  19. and he's (30%) currently not even in the top-15 for K frequency Colby Rasmus is striking out in 43% of his PAs, and Chris Carter's also above 40%
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