sneakypower
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Everything posted by sneakypower
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and if you want to include his start to the season, you still get a .294/.339/.440 line Symborski ran his ZiPS before last season: Year BA/OBP/SLG WAR 2012 301/343/432 3.5 2013 308/352/464 4.4 2014 310/356/475 4.8 2015 311/359/479 5.0 2016 310/359/487 5.2 2017 309/360/483 5.1 2018 304/357/479 4.8 2019 304/357/479 4.7 2020 302/354/471 4.3 2021 300/351/466 3.9 that 2012 line was almost right on the dot; his sluggish start makes it a little more of an uphill battle to keep up with his path for this year, but it's not a huge unlikelihood he'll do it either 8 years averaging 5.6 bWAR, fwiw
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the list of SS who've hit better than Castro to this point? i just see 2 hall of famers, a guy on a HOF track until injuries derailed his career, and another guy with a moderately productive 14-year career those were the only four names...maybe the page didn't load right for you, or something
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http://www.fangraphs.com/leaders.aspx?pos=ss&stats=bat&lg=all&qual=1000&type=8&season=2012&month=0&season1=1953&ind=0&team=0&rost=0&age=14,22&filter=&players=0&sort=17,d yup Dave Cameron puts it pretty well: "History suggests that the leap probably is coming. Most guys who are above average players from 20-22 become excellent players in their mid-20s, and Castro certainly has the physical tools to become an excellent player. If Castro follows a normal development curve, he could easily be a +4 or +5 win player by the time he would have reached free agency"
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long-time personal favorite of mine Carlos Gomez is leading baseball in WAR, with a .368/.417/.642 line in his last 112 games, he's hitting .298/.342/.536 with a 32 HR, 53 SB pace stud.
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ignoring the OP's insufferable, self-congratulatory, smug tone for a minute... when Robin Yount was Castro's age, he had over 3500 career PAs of .270/.308/.364 hitting (for reference, Castro's sitting at .295/.333/.423 now) when Alan Trammell was Castro's age, he held a career .275/.347/.356 line when Rod Carew was Castro's age, he held a career .299/.346/.408 line when Barry Larkin was Castro's age, he held a career .254/.310/.380 line when Roberto Alomar was Castro's age, he held a career .286/.343/.394 line when Pete Rose was Castro's age, he held a career .271/.327/.350 line when Miguel Tejada was Castro's age, he hadn't had a single MLB AB yet and was still working on his .271/.346/.442 career MiLB line i know a whole month seems like a real long time but i'm going to go with "it's still too early"
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http://i0.kym-cdn.com/entries/icons/original/000/004/702/Nancy_Kerrigan_Biography_2.jpg -
this is just cruel
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sooner or later our RISP fortunes have to change, right?
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that bothered me too; he must have gotten mixed up there with pitches i wonder what the cumulative effect of his bad framing is...i'm reminded of the Jose Molina study
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something close to .283/.364/.601 (excluding today's stats)
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that flopping SOB
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i love it when RFs try getting the assist at 1B on hits like that
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well ok then
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WHAT THE [expletive] MAN
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oh, i guess that's why Hairston plays against lefties
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this guy's a little...off-key
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rizzomg
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Law actually rated Rizzo higher than any of the other big names (KG, BA, Sickels, Piliere, Mayo) last year KG was the only one to have him lower than 48th
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Castro's going to go up to the plate and have no fucken idea what to do now that he's hitting 5th
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they're probably right to worry about Hosmer, he seems to have real, shift/defense/power issues but there really weren't any reasons to worry about Rizzo, unless you had reason to believe his babip will always be heavily suppressed (i feel him being an all-fields hitter mitigates this concern quite a bit) but were he even carrying just a .280 babip now, he'd be exceeding .900 with his OPS; he's awesome
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it's worth noting that Scutaro (excluding AAA numbers) struck out at more than 3x the frequency of Torreyes in the minors, with similar power and 2 years behind in his development track his BB rate was decidedly higher though (10% to 6%)
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swinging strike % 2012: 9.6% 2013: 9.3% swings outside of the zone 2012: 38.5% 2013: 30.6% i'm not remotely worried about him yet; he's just been pretty cursed so far, it happens over a SSS this reminds me of last year when people were panicking over Shark's demise (in June?) when he was still pitching really well, just with unsustainable poor results his k% is up to 29%. i don't believe that you're really "not remotely worried" update: Rizzo's had 1 K in the 21 PA since this post (coinciding with a 1.630 OPS) bringing his K rate down to 24%, a couple points off his ZiPS projection of 21% now carrying an .850 OPS despite a .222 babip; he's awesome
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Ruiz in for the injured Pierzynski
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Minor League Discussion & Boxes 4-29-13
sneakypower replied to CaliforniaRaisin's topic in Cubs Minor League Talk
i actually wondered the same thing a while back updated: Torreyes (milb 5.5% K, .139 ISO, .333 babip) Keppinger (milb 5.7% K, .100 ISO, .332 babip) like i said in the previous post though, the big difference here is Ronald is four years ahead of Keppinger's development, so if we feel that he might have further development to do, his potential should be even better than a Keppinger career arc i still think Polanco can be the hope for him, and Pedroia* the dream - his early BB numbers are encouraging on this front *it's important to remember here Pedroia hits 2/3 more doubles at Fenway and his career .287/.358/.420 line is probably more representative of the real Pedroia -
even his big draft moment was intercepted. (stolen from deadspin comments)
