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sneakypower

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Everything posted by sneakypower

  1. it's awesome that he does that; it helps make him un-shiftable
  2. well, more specifically, his power spike
  3. for me, it's easily Valbuena
  4. i'd like to know his home-to-1B time; i can't remember ever seeing a play like this actually go for an out: http://mlb.mlb.com/video/play.jsp?content_id=26341027&c_id=mlb that coupled with the way he's pulling the ball, i'd play him in triple play defense if the situation warranted it
  5. i found a picture of GammonsPocketTweets http://thecia.com.au/reviews/s/images/saving-silverman-8.jpg
  6. this game's been kind of a snooze-fest
  7. He's matched his career high in bWAR which is another way of saying he hadn't topped 2.4 bWAR in a season by age 26, which doesn't really seem like a huge damnation and you could also say this is the third straight year he's been an above-average player but what does FG think? 11: 1.9 WAR in 258 PA 12: 3.2 WAR in 452 PA 13: 2.3 WAR in 115 PA 7.4 WAR in his last 825 PA - basically 1.5 seasons worth of games
  8. which reminds me, Soriano never did move to 1B, did he
  9. per UZR, only Alexei Ramirez, Elvis Andrus and Brendan Ryan have saved more runs with their range (amongst SS) than Castro has since the start of his career; his problem has always been errors, which are frankly to be expected for a SS his age, but have improved each year in the league i can't really see a legitimate reason he'll need to move off short unless injuries become a factor
  10. and if you want to include his start to the season, you still get a .294/.339/.440 line Symborski ran his ZiPS before last season: Year BA/OBP/SLG WAR 2012 301/343/432 3.5 2013 308/352/464 4.4 2014 310/356/475 4.8 2015 311/359/479 5.0 2016 310/359/487 5.2 2017 309/360/483 5.1 2018 304/357/479 4.8 2019 304/357/479 4.7 2020 302/354/471 4.3 2021 300/351/466 3.9 that 2012 line was almost right on the dot; his sluggish start makes it a little more of an uphill battle to keep up with his path for this year, but it's not a huge unlikelihood he'll do it either 8 years averaging 5.6 bWAR, fwiw
  11. the list of SS who've hit better than Castro to this point? i just see 2 hall of famers, a guy on a HOF track until injuries derailed his career, and another guy with a moderately productive 14-year career those were the only four names...maybe the page didn't load right for you, or something
  12. http://www.fangraphs.com/leaders.aspx?pos=ss&stats=bat&lg=all&qual=1000&type=8&season=2012&month=0&season1=1953&ind=0&team=0&rost=0&age=14,22&filter=&players=0&sort=17,d yup Dave Cameron puts it pretty well: "History suggests that the leap probably is coming. Most guys who are above average players from 20-22 become excellent players in their mid-20s, and Castro certainly has the physical tools to become an excellent player. If Castro follows a normal development curve, he could easily be a +4 or +5 win player by the time he would have reached free agency"
  13. long-time personal favorite of mine Carlos Gomez is leading baseball in WAR, with a .368/.417/.642 line in his last 112 games, he's hitting .298/.342/.536 with a 32 HR, 53 SB pace stud.
  14. ignoring the OP's insufferable, self-congratulatory, smug tone for a minute... when Robin Yount was Castro's age, he had over 3500 career PAs of .270/.308/.364 hitting (for reference, Castro's sitting at .295/.333/.423 now) when Alan Trammell was Castro's age, he held a career .275/.347/.356 line when Rod Carew was Castro's age, he held a career .299/.346/.408 line when Barry Larkin was Castro's age, he held a career .254/.310/.380 line when Roberto Alomar was Castro's age, he held a career .286/.343/.394 line when Pete Rose was Castro's age, he held a career .271/.327/.350 line when Miguel Tejada was Castro's age, he hadn't had a single MLB AB yet and was still working on his .271/.346/.442 career MiLB line i know a whole month seems like a real long time but i'm going to go with "it's still too early"
  15. http://i0.kym-cdn.com/entries/icons/original/000/004/702/Nancy_Kerrigan_Biography_2.jpg
  16. sooner or later our RISP fortunes have to change, right?
  17. that bothered me too; he must have gotten mixed up there with pitches i wonder what the cumulative effect of his bad framing is...i'm reminded of the Jose Molina study
  18. something close to .283/.364/.601 (excluding today's stats)
  19. i love it when RFs try getting the assist at 1B on hits like that
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