KaiserCesar
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Everything posted by KaiserCesar
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Soriano -.273 WPA today, worse than Rodrigo
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If the lineup gets around to Soto, Sveum is going to jump for joy thinking about making another double switch.
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1 more inning for Wells against the bottom of the Reds order? 84 pitches right now and a lot in high pressure situations.
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3 on the 40 man rosters: Junior Lake, Deunte Heath and Donnie Veal
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Standard double switch? Dolis now has pitched 6 innings and has recorded 1 strikeout.
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Marlon Byrd listed weight: 215 Marlon Byrd OPS: .194
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I get the feeling that a lot of the national types who like to talk about Castro's work ethic and defense are probably just not aware how young he came into the league and how limited his minor league experience was.
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It's been mentioned in this thread that his trade value would be reduced since most contending teams have 1B all locked up. One thing to remember is that there is an additional wild card spot in the playoffs, meaning more teams will be in the hunt and there is a greater chance a team will be looking for a first baseman (Derrek Lee and the Pirates in 2011 as an example). If some of these fringe contenders are also small to mid market teams, a cheap option like Bryan Lahair who could also be a stop gap for a year or two may be more attractive. Still, the haul won't be too great, but a trade partner won't be too hard to come by with the expansion of the playoffs.
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Minor League Discussion & Boxes 4-13-12
KaiserCesar replied to Outshined_One's topic in Cubs Minor League Talk
I believe some have theorized that it makes him take pitches and have a selective approach since he is more likely to be pitched around. -
Lahair also has value given his lack of major league service time - he'll be cheap for a long awhile and can be used as an injury replacement or stop-gap potentially through the rest of his productive years. I have to think he'll be considered fairly valuable if he puts up a good half season nearing a .800 ops
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Signing DeJesus adds talent which can be turned into wins or later traded for longer term talent. For a team with a lot of payroll space, it's a way to add to the overall talent pool in the organization, whether you choose to keep the players or not. This move wasn't a salary dump even though two Reed Johnsons worth of money was saved. Getting Volstad increases the overall value of the players in the organization - especially after 2012.
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Ryan Madson?
KaiserCesar replied to KingCubsFan's topic in MLB Draft, International Signings, Amateur Baseball
Nobody is an ideal use of resources. Or maybe better said, the Cubs have a lot of resources and very little in the way of ideal targets to spend those resources on. Right. What I was going to say is, the Cubs' ideal use of (monetary) resources just got torpedoed by the new CBA. This would be finding another, albeit less efficient, way to turn cash into prospects. Well, with the cubs free payroll space, they can almost turn into a venture capital firm and diversify amongst a bunch of low cost players. The only real limiting factor is the roster space and starting spots which makes now the ideal time to do it given the lack of Major league and upper minor league talent. -
My only concern is that he'll continue to get worse, to the point where teams won't even want to waste a guaranteed roster spot on him. If you can trade him now with a few million in salary relief for the next three years, I say do it. I highly doubt his value is going to rise much. But if your only upside to trading now is a few million bucks, then it makes more sense to keep him since he could have a good year, making it possible to unload even more money, if needed, or possibly get a prospect. As a big market team with room in the payroll you can afford to gamble a few million dollars on the chance you'll get more in the future.
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I'd say prospects and young major league talent with years of team control left like Wood.
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Could this set up soriano being shipped off? With Sappelt, you got a guy who could get a lot of use from the available plate appearances at the positions.
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The only way I see it being necessary is if the Ricketts value the renovations and more peripheral improvements right now more than putting a good product on the field. If they're pouring enough money into all of that, it may sap enough of the available funds that they can't put a $130 million payroll on the field in the short term. If that's the case, I'll begrudgingly be ok with it because I do have faith in Ricketts/Theo, but if that's not the case then there's absolutely no reason why we should be in complete rebuild mode. It seems to me that a far more likely (and obvious) reason to enter a rebuild mode is because the talent on the roster is not very good. Even if they aren't explicitly in 'rebuild mode' and are just trying to make good moves, the value of wins 73-78 is less than 88-93, so it just won't make sense to pay a premium for an elite player, meaning the Cubs will lose out on free agents. The player getting moved who would most indicate a complete rebuilding would be Geovany Soto since he is the only tradeable talent in his age range and has a couple years left of team control.
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The only way I see it being necessary is if the Ricketts value the renovations and more peripheral improvements right now more than putting a good product on the field. If they're pouring enough money into all of that, it may sap enough of the available funds that they can't put a $130 million payroll on the field in the short term. If that's the case, I'll begrudgingly be ok with it because I do have faith in Ricketts/Theo, but if that's not the case then there's absolutely no reason why we should be in complete rebuild mode. I can't really see them evaluating large capital expenditures on a cash-flow basis and letting it impact the payroll. While the draft and international signings probably dip into what's available at the major league level, I don't think we can put a Wrigley renovation in the same boat.
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Misc. Free Agent News
KaiserCesar replied to Clem Fandango's topic in MLB Draft, International Signings, Amateur Baseball
Probably able to say the same thing for the Cubs at the end of the offseason, or probably for most teams besides Houston -
Re: Darvish
KaiserCesar replied to SouthSideRyan's topic in MLB Draft, International Signings, Amateur Baseball
I think Daisuke's struggles along with the economics of the last 5 years kept the market from going way over and taking that kind of a risk. -
The fact that third basemen aren't hitting just means that Ramirez's bat is even more valuable compared to years past. I think we need to ask if the drop from Ramirez-Baker/Flaherty is bigger than Fielder-Pena or whatever other big bat possibilities there are out there, along with any other considerations such as cost and durability.
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Ravech: Doesnt expect to see Hendry next year
KaiserCesar replied to Dallas Green's topic in Chicago Cubs Talk
Are you kidding me? He gets credit for the Cubs having needs? It's not been a Gar Forman level of excellence in clearing salary, but the concurrence in salary coming off the books shows at least some sort of plan in the spending binge of 07-08 (the main exception being Soriano) -
Is any trade partner going to value him as if he will play 140+ games every year? Prior comments on this thread show that Soto is still a valuable player despite his hurt years (I'm assuming we are talking chronic injuries and not something that will put him out for an entire year). It's an extremely good chance to get a great bang for the buck with Soto over the next few years and any injury uncertainty is matched by performance uncertainty by any of the young catchers in the system.
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Wow, he did say that. Not sure how I missed it. If they were going to build another park elsewhere in the city, I would like to see in in the Logan Square area. Would extend the culture from Wicker Park/Bucktown and bring the area up quite a bit, would have blue line access and there is a ton of empty space out there. Some parking, too. Living in Logan Square, I gotta say that there's not many open lots within a fair shot of the blue line here, either. The entire atmosphere of Wicker Park/Logan is completely different from the neighborhoods on the north side around Wrigleyville, it doesn't really seem like a fit. Any move within the city would probably involve some 'dead' area around a transit line, not something that would displace a bunch of people and create a lot of opposition.
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You mean the "Jim Hendry Special"? The same. There has to be another player out there whose on a similarly bad contract, but an all around inferior player that we can trade him for. Oliver Perez?
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Could we attribute the recent uptick in performance partially to having time off due to Colvin's playing time? There's a lot of focus on who will be the starting 3 outfielders, but aside from injury protection, I think having 4 outfielders who can produce could help increase the production of everybody.