KaiserCesar
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Everything posted by KaiserCesar
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Carlos Silva Hospitalized with Heart Condition
KaiserCesar replied to Outshined_One's topic in Chicago Cubs Talk
Yeah, at this point he has 2.1 WAR, higher than all but 3 other players (Soto, Soriano, Byrd). Shutting him down would be good for him and allow the opportunity to get rotation spots to the other guys down the line. -
I remember Kiper seemed to think he was one of the guys in that draft who could become an NFL starter down the line. He ended up undrafted, but what do we really know about Hanie at this point? I don't mind stashing him on the roster if he's a developmental type guy. Is he expected to be second on the depth chart? I think either LeFevour or Hanie could end up in that spot. We could see what Mike Teel brings and maybe he pushes Hanie a bit, too.
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How does NY get him just after getting Henry? As of April you can have 3 designated players. I can't imagine being a european player and ending up on a team like Kansas City or Salt Lake City. The coastal teams/big cities definitely have an advantage in the process.
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I think you are leaving out Dempster from the rotation. Also, at least one of Zambrano/Silva will be traded this offseason in all likelihood, so then you'd end up with a choice of Cashner, Jackson, Diamond with a guy like Archer reasonably close. Whoever ends up at 1B will determine whether the 2011 team has any chance of contending. Aside from Dewitt, the lineup is full of guys who can reasonably OPS at least around .800 next year.
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I remember Kiper seemed to think he was one of the guys in that draft who could become an NFL starter down the line. He ended up undrafted, but what do we really know about Hanie at this point? I don't mind stashing him on the roster if he's a developmental type guy.
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One thing I like about this deal is that it is continuing a trend towards a younger lineup. Going into the season, Soto was the only starter under the age of 30, but now we will probably see Dewitt, Soto, Castro and Colvin in the opening day 2011 lineup with Brett Jackson waiting in the wings to take CF and the possibility of a trade for a 1B like Adrian Gonzalez. Of course, this plan all hinges on success, particularly for Colvin and Dewitt, but at least there's some cheap options for production.
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At this point he needs to be stretched out a bit, I think. He'll probably be back in the rotation by the end of the year in hopes of reclaiming some value and making him tradeable in the offseason.
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Twitter reactions
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Theriot is a trending topic on twitter
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He has much better power potential than Theriot. Between the minors and majors, Dewitt has hit a home run every 34.6 AB's. Theriot has hit a home run in the minors/majors every 206 AB's. It's all about age, too, Dewitt is 24 and had a decent season at age 22 a couple of years ago while Theriot put up a .700 ops in Daytona at 24.
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Apparently neither of those players exist. It feels like they each have a letter missing from their name. Here is Smit http://www.baseball-reference.com/minors/player.cgi?id=smit--001kyl Seems like he has cut down his walks a lot this year
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He's a better option at 2B than Fontenot, Theriot, or Baker. I'd happily take him in exchange for Theriot/Russell. I don't know that I'd want him over DeWitt, though. Is Dewitt a lot better defensively or something? The main upside I can see is more years of team control but nothing really sticks out to me to indicate Dewitt is the better player, although he is quite a bit younger.
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now look at his minor league career He made good contact in the minors and had a good walk rate, but what really has jumped in the majors is his power which wouldn't be unprecedented at age 25 or so. I'd say a career 800 ops player in the minors without strike zone issues has a good chance of being 'pretty solid' as I described.
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His strikeout rate is only around 15% and he is showing decent power that isn't inflated by a high HR/FB, so he'll probably be pretty solid even with regression.
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I don't find it laughable since pretty much the entire organization has been gushing about the WR since the middle of last year. The Devins get universal praise for obvious reasons, Bennett fulfilled expectations in his first exposure to actually playing and Johnny Knox came on real strong in his rookie year. There's not a lot of track record, but there's been glimpses from all of them for tremendous potential. There's also Iglesias who we really have no idea bout, but someone though he had the potential to be drafted as high as he was. I'm really hoping to start to see him this season, but the top 3 are almost certainly Hester, Knox, Bennett.
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Right now it's a problem trying to get Zambrano back into the rotation. Nevermind that Jackson and Cashner are sitting in AAA with no spot in the rotation in the foreseeable future. The only way I'd consider making Marshall a starter is if at least 2-3 of the 8 guys in the mix left the picture as he's not guaranteed to be a huge upgrade over anyone but is a huge asset in the bullpen.
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Regarding Fontenot, the data on fangraphs suggests Fontenot has completely changed his style to a shorter swing to make more contact and avoid strikeouts. http://www.fangraphs.com/statss.aspx?playerid=3912&position=2B First off, he's got a career ISO of .149 and is currently got that number at .093 for the season. This isn't huge news for a part-time player 1/4 of the way through the season, but all the other numbers point to a similar conclusion. He's got a career 19.5% K rate, 9.3% this year. In general he's hitting a lot more linedrives and less flyballs, increasing his BABIP in the process, but limiting his HR potential. When you look at his swing data, he is actually swinging more overall (51.2% of pitches vs. career 44.2%) which spans across both balls in and out of the zone. The real difference though is that he is making contact with 95.2% of balls that he swings at in the zone and 83.1% of them outside the zone. While I can't know for sure, my guess would be that Rudy has worked with him to change his approach and we are seeing a bit of a different player in the past who will put more balls in play and flyout a lot less. The one downside is that he's not walking as much as in the past, but his OBP could even out if his batting average increases.
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I'm not sure what you are talking about, I was just giving an example to answer your question about how something could be "not bad enough to go on the DL". If it's something that is not obviously bothering a guy to the point that a doctor can say this is what is wrong with you, you need 3 weeks rest to heal, then that could be something you can physically play through, but possibly not play well. Ah yeah, I think I just misinterpreted what you were saying. I guess right now, if there's anything seriously wrong it's undiagnosed, it's hard to say DL stint will solve anything, so the current approach is probably best.
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I doubt it has anything to do with being self conscious of his image. If it is injury related and won't go on the DL, it's probably because all signs are that it's not a big enough injury to land him on the DL. Was it Rolen that spent a season hitting like crap with a shoulder problem that wasn't bad enough to land him on the DL? What is 'bad enough' to go on the DL, though? If you can take 15 days off and feel a lot better rather than consistently struggling and needing a lot off days, then there's a choice to be made. Whether the choice is made by Aramis, Piniella, Hendry or all of the above is what we don't know, but players have gone on the DL in similar circumstances before. If you have a seperated shoulder, a doctor tells you, and you go on the DL. If your shoulder seems fine, but something is off after the healing process (something like scar tissue), you may have no idea other than the poor results. Yeah, but in this case, we aren't just talking about his separated shoulder.
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Oswalt requests trade...
KaiserCesar replied to Clem Fandango's topic in MLB Draft, International Signings, Amateur Baseball
Strasburg will be a huge addition for them, without a trade, so they are most likely going to get better this year and be in contention for a good part of the season. Not to mention Marquis who could be an improvement over the guys in the back end of the rotation. They could really use another powerful outfielder if they got serious, which would be a cheaper acquisition than Oswalt, in terms of $$ and prospects. -
I doubt it has anything to do with being self conscious of his image. If it is injury related and won't go on the DL, it's probably because all signs are that it's not a big enough injury to land him on the DL. Was it Rolen that spent a season hitting like crap with a shoulder problem that wasn't bad enough to land him on the DL? What is 'bad enough' to go on the DL, though? If you can take 15 days off and feel a lot better rather than consistently struggling and needing a lot off days, then there's a choice to be made. Whether the choice is made by Aramis, Piniella, Hendry or all of the above is what we don't know, but players have gone on the DL in similar circumstances before.
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To break 90, we're going to need to see Lee hit and some production out of 3B with some infusion of talent mid-late year in the bullpen that performs well, whether that be Cashner, Jackson, Parker or whoever. There's no easy acquisition at any position that would improve the team any more than a fraction of a game, so we just have to hope everyone performs to their abilities and we get a bit lucky.
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This feels a lot like the Soriano situation last year, where he was playing hurt but had to much pride to take any time off. Maybe Aramis is still a bit self-conscious of his injury prone label that he had moreso early in his career and wants to play through it. If this is the case, sitting him and not hitting him 4th/5th when he is in the lineup is the best move. At this point, I'm a lot more confident in Fontebaker than Aramis.
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the only thing soriano being hot this year will do is up his trade val...oh wait, his contract #-o No worries, after this year, the contract is half up! Only 4 more years to go after that! sigh...
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What I had the MLB.tv window minimized and the crowd reacted to Fukudome's shallow fly out like it was a walkoff grand slam. it was too high