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cheapseats

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Everything posted by cheapseats

  1. cheapseats
    Don't doubt you, but source? I have a friend who is being discussed in the trade. A Florida pitching prospect. That narrows it down to about 50 players :lol:
  2. cheapseats
    Don't doubt you, but source? I haven't heard a report that says Florida is interested, but it's widely known that they're looking for a young CF. They feel like they already have everything else they need in their system.
  3. cheapseats
    Yep, hitters are more likely to sustain BABIP, but that's almost always connected to their abilities to hit line drives. As someone else pointed out, Ichiro's BABIP is usually quite high, but it's because he hits a lot of line drives and beats out infield hits. Minor league BABIP is generally higher - partly because of poorer defense at that level. But all that said, maybe Baldelli has some very rare or unique ability to influence batted balls. As someone else has already said, he's fast enough to get some infield hits, but that wouldn't account for the extreme discrepancy. Anyway, even if his batting average (and OBP) comes back to earth - and I really think it will - he'd still be a useful player. I just don't think he'll be worth what Tampa's asking. And we already have Pie.
  4. cheapseats
    I would think the Phils would be more willing to trade Burrell. What if Hendry packaged a deal of Jones, Eyre, Marmol for Lieber, Burrell. Cubs take all of Burrell's money. The Phils would love to trade Burrell, but he's already said he'll only approve a trade to the Yankees, the Red Sox, or a west coast team.
  5. cheapseats
    Sigh. There goes one option for a lefthanded bat.
  6. cheapseats
    Gomes needed shoulder surgery early in the season but tried to play through it. He also carries nitro pills with him because he once had a heart attack.
  7. cheapseats
    Yeah, unfortunately, judging by Sweet Lou's recent comments, it looks like you're right. Pencil in Pagan for some .700 OPS off the bench shenanigans next season.
  8. cheapseats
    Sometimes, it's not luck Exactly. BABIP is far from a statistic that one can draw concrete inferences from. By itself, it's not very useful. But with other batted ball data, it is very, very useful for predicting future performance.
  9. cheapseats
    Sometimes, it's not luck But Ichiro only had one year (2004) in which his BABIP significantly outperformed his LD%. Baldelli's done it his whole career. I just don't see how he can sustain it.
  10. cheapseats
    Maybe his speed? He does have tremendous speed and possibly beats out a high percentage of ground balls? No doubt the speed helps, but not even Juan Pierre (speed never slumps) has sustained such a difference between LD% and BABIP. In fact, Pierre might put up slightly better numbers next year because he's underperformed his LD% in the past two years. I don't think Baldelli is a guaranteed bust - his #1 comp in PECOTA is Vernon Wells - but his peripherals don't look so good to me.
  11. cheapseats
    I really hope the White Sox win out on Baldelli, then. http://www.fangraphs.com/statss.aspx?playerid=1656&position=OF He's the type of player Hendry swoons for. Little plate discipline, very toolsy, history of injury trouble, coming off a performance he's unlikely to repeat. For some reason, he's had very good luck with BABIP in his short career. If his BABIP was more reasonable for his line drive percentage last year, though, his stats would have looked like this: .255/.295/.486 Maybe there's some reason he's able to keep his BABIP so high, but I don't know what it would be. If he becomes a Cub, I hope he does well, but we already have Felix Pie in the minors, who projects to have a career like Baldelli's (without, we hope, the injury problems).
  12. cheapseats
    Oh man, I hope not. ](*,)
  13. cheapseats
    Soul Plane is the worst movie I've ever seen.
  14. cheapseats
    Piniella is white?
  15. cheapseats
    I'm afraid he'd seduce me the way he did Hendry. :oops:
  16. cheapseats
    If Mark Prior were to but touch the hem of Kent's uniform, his arm would be healed.
  17. cheapseats
    well then ESPN 1000 must be like 100 times more reliable, right? *dusts off abacus :lol:
  18. cheapseats
    Yep, I think you're right. IIRC, he had more IBB last year than in his previous years combined.
  19. cheapseats
    no. Yes. Bonds VORP: 46.6 Aramis: 44.5 Bonds WARP: 6.0 Aramis: 5.8 Bonds EQA: .335 Aramis: .294 Bonds Win Shares: 27 Aramis: 23 How does Ramirez have 26 more runs created than Bonds? I'm confused. My first notion is that RC doesn't account for park factors. Wrigley was one of the most hitter-friendly parks in baseball last year (which makes our offensive output in 2006 look that much worse).
  20. cheapseats
    Third base coaches for Dodgers' opponents will have nothing to do with Gonzalez and Pierre in the outfield. They might as well just put up a green light at third base.
  21. cheapseats
    Wasn't his ERA+ just 95 in 2004? according to baseball reference it was 100/99/100/127/103 in the past five years Hardballtimes has his ERA+ at 95 in 2004. Really, especially when dealing with a pitcher like Garland, defensive independent ERA would be a better way of calculating value.
  22. cheapseats
    no. Yes. Bonds VORP: 46.6 Aramis: 44.5 Bonds WARP: 6.0 Aramis: 5.8 Bonds EQA: .335 Aramis: .294 Bonds Win Shares: 27 Aramis: 23
  23. cheapseats
    You would have to avert your eyes or risk death. No one can behold the full glory of Kent and live.
  24. cheapseats
    The thing is, if you look at his stats, he was pretty much the same pitcher in 2006 that he was in 2005. He gave up more flyballs in 2006 than he did in 2005, but his linedrive rate was actually lower than it was in 2005. He didn't walk guys as often in 2006. Dempster is what he is. He was lucky in 2005 and unlucky in 2006. I'd rather he pitch for someone else next year when we see how his luck goes in 2007.
  25. cheapseats
    Well, the honeymoon is over. :twisted: Izturis should never hit higher than eighth and should probably hit ninth when Z is pitching. No one should be excited about having the offensively useless Angel Pagan on the bench.
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