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cheapseats

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Everything posted by cheapseats

  1. cheapseats
    Without looking at the numbers, I'd guess this is where the Astrodome would hurt him most.
  2. cheapseats
    Taveras is a career .284 hitter in his first two years in the majors. He did start to show some patients at the plate last year. Doesn't he have a career BABIP of like .340? Yup In 05 he had a .348 (with a 18.9% LD%) In 06 he had a .332 (with a 17.5% LD%) But he's so fast that he'll always beat his expected BABIP. Except when he doesn't, like Juan Pierre in 2005 and 2006.
  3. cheapseats
    I can imagine Taveras and Izturis hitting 1-2. Gotta have speed in the leadoff spot and gotta have someone who "handles the bat" (most inane baseball cliche ever) hitting second. Thank God Dusty's gone, or we'd have to endure that on a regular basis. If the Cubs actually do trade for Taveras, I fully expect to see him bat first and Izturis second for at least ten games. Lou loves to hit-and-run, and Izturis can really handle the bat.
  4. cheapseats
    Jay Jaffe ranks Bagwell's peak years as 3rd-best of all time for first basemen, behnd Lou Gehrig and Jimmie Foxx. Bagwell shouldn't be penalized for playing so many games in the cavernous Astrodome.
  5. cheapseats
    I can imagine Taveras and Izturis hitting 1-2. Gotta have speed in the leadoff spot and gotta have someone who "handles the bat" (most inane baseball cliche ever) hitting second.
  6. cheapseats
    Dewan, in the Fielding Bible, said Taveras should have won the gold glove in 2005, and Taveras ranks near the top of most advanced metrics. I'm not saying I want him - far from it - if the Cubs trade for him, I'm selling all my tickets again this year - but defense is the one positive he brings.
  7. cheapseats
    That's pure conjecture. And none of the rest of what you wrote has anything to do with rest in between starts. Even if pitchers really did exert themselves more per pitch in today's game (and you've presented no evidence - how about citing radar gun fluctuations corresponding to place in the order?), you still haven't presented any evidence that an extra day's rest helps recovery, and you haven't refuted Jazayerli's article that shows a slight improvement in longevity for those in a 4-man rotation.
  8. cheapseats
    Reds get: Royce Clayton, Gary Majewski, Bill Bray, and Brendan Harris. Nats get: Austin Kearns. And Felipe Lopez. Oh, and the Reds will throw in Ryan Wagner. :pig:
  9. cheapseats
    Rany Jazayerli has done research on this. The extra day of recovery does nothing to prevent likelihood of injury. In fact, those in a five-man rotation were injured slightly more often, although the difference is so slight I don't consider it significant. As has been mentioned many times on this board, the 5-man rotation was instituted not to protect pitchers' health, but because the Dodgers had 5 good pitchers and wanted each to start. And innings pitched isn't really an issue; Greg Maddux might throw 75 pitches in 9 innings, and Zambrano might throw 110 in 6 innings. Pitches per start is the relevant statistic. Fergie Jenkins, for example, threw 325 innings in 1971 and was just fine.
  10. cheapseats
    I don't know exactly what the Nats have asked for Church, but it's likely they've started with Rich Hill. They're famous for this kind of stuff. No surprise considering how they were able to fleece the Reds last year. It was almost like a lower scale Zambrano for Kazmir deal. And don't forget the ridiculous Vidro deal that Bowden just pulled off. Why not ask for too much if other GM's will oblige?
  11. cheapseats
    Are you kidding me? Without giving unproven guys jobs solely because of strong spring training performances, we wouldn't have difference makers like ANGEL PAGAN!
  12. cheapseats
    Washington's pass defense is probably the worst in the NFL: http://www.footballoutsiders.com/stats/teamdef.php
  13. cheapseats
    Computer projections. Not as accurate as PECOTA (which is probably the best at projecting position players) but pretty good.
  14. cheapseats
    Actually, using tandem starters would probably free up a bench spot. You'd have two guys ready to throw 90 pitches (ideally - with guys returning from injury you may want fewer than that), so you'd need maybe three bullpen guys, tops. Also, history shows that a guy that starts on Sunday could throw an inning or two of relief on Tuesday instead of throwing a side session. GM's and managers don't do such things not because of science but because of the scrutiny involved when one stands out. I am not a fan of that idea. The whole idea of a bullpen is for you to work on the things you didn't do well in the game. The majority of the SP's in the league don't throw a bullpen at maxium effort. For example; Tom Glavine will throw a bullpen for 10-12 minutes at 70% effort. During that time he will be working on his command. He will also work on backdooring his curveball, and he might also work on staying on top and behind his 2-seemer so it's more solid. At the end of his bullpen he will work on throwing specific pitches in various count situations. To me this sounds like a defense of the status quo because it's the status quo, not because it's a better option.
  15. cheapseats
    Is that you, Jay Marriotti? Did you know that rotations of any kind didn't exist prior to 1960? I wonder how Whitey Ford survived not knowing when his next start would be five days in advance. :twisted:
  16. cheapseats
    Pitcher ERAs: Wuertz,Michael 3.53 Howry,Bob 3.56 Zambrano,Carlos 3.60 Hill,Rich 3.89 Cotts,Neal 4.02 Dempster,Ryan 4.05 Ohman,Will 4.07 Prior,Mark 4.11 Wood,Kerry 4.12 Eyre,Scott 4.18 Guzman,Angel 4.32 Lilly,Ted 4.32 Miller,Wade 4.50 Mateo,Juan 4.50 Ryu,Jae Kuk 4.55 Novoa,Roberto 4.56 O'Malley,Ryan 4.64 Rapada,Clay 4.66 Walrond,Les 4.67 Shipman,Andy 4.69 Rusch,Glendon 4.74 Marshall,Sean 4.74 Ligtenberg,Kerry 4.82 Wells,Randy 4.86 Marmol,Carlos 5.11 Marquis,Jason 5.23 Mendez,Adalberto 5.48 Campusano,Edward 5.67 Vasquez,Carlos 6.03 Holdzkom,Lincoln 6.26 That just makes the Marquis deal look better, doesn't it?
  17. cheapseats
    I don't think Chone stands for anything. Its creator's name is Chone Smith, I think. I'd venture a guess that his name isn't Chone, but that he is an Angel fan. :wink: I'd like to hold out hope that there is more than one Chone in the world. :D
  18. cheapseats
    I don't think Chone stands for anything. Its creator's name is Chone Smith, I think.
  19. cheapseats
    I was one of them. And I'd still rather have Cedeno than Furcal. But I'd rather have Furcal than Cesear, so now I wish they'd got the contract done. It would also mean they wouldn't have signed Soriano and maybe have gone after Drew. It's the freaking butterfly effect. :spin: Furcal had a horrible start (after a surgery, fwiw) but ended up being worth his contract last year. With Furcal, the Cubs may or may not have signed Pierre, certainly wouldn't have traded for Cesar, and might have traded Ronny when his value was at its peak. Oh well. :twisted:
  20. cheapseats
    Pre-2005 that is certainly true. Sickels had Cedeno rated as the Cubs #3 prospect going into 2006. I do remember a lot of NSBBers saying they'd rather have Cedeno than Furcal during the early part of the 2006 season.
  21. cheapseats
    I really don't know what I'd do with him if I were GM. I would have traded him while he was busy putting up numbers in AAA that (I think) he can't reproduce, but since that's no longer an option, I don't know how to best use him. If the Cubs are serious about improving OBP, it needs to start at the lowest level of the minors. Oakland does a good job of teaching plate discipline throughout their system.
  22. cheapseats
    Yeah, but the eternal optimist in me says that one or two prospects will break out because of all the high ceilings.
  23. cheapseats
    Here: http://lanaheimangelfan.blogspot.com/2006/12/projections-20.html Projected OPS for: DLee .929 Aramis .898 Fons .863 Barrett .831 Murton .785 Jacque .778 Derosa .738 Pie .717 Theriot .677 Izturis .680 Pagan .651 Blanco .643
  24. cheapseats
    Actually, using tandem starters would probably free up a bench spot. You'd have two guys ready to throw 90 pitches (ideally - with guys returning from injury you may want fewer than that), so you'd need maybe three bullpen guys, tops. Also, history shows that a guy that starts on Sunday could throw an inning or two of relief on Tuesday instead of throwing a side session. GM's and managers don't do such things not because of science but because of the scrutiny involved when one stands out.
  25. cheapseats
    http://www.baseballprospectus.com/article.php?articleid=5765 Interesting article for those with a BP subscription. The Cubs have the second-youngest farm system (going by average age compared to level average) in baseball. That's got to be reason for some kind of optimism.
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