Purdue is 0-1 at home this year against major conference opponents. Illinois is 1-0 on the road this year against major conference opponenets. Ok you played Missouri....and we played Duke....my point is made Actually, Illinois played at Vanderbilt. Missouri was on a neutral site, along with the Kent State and Tulsa victories. My point is there's a context and relevance to everything. Sure, Purdue won over 90% of their home games the past 2 years. Which means nothing for this year. Sure, they beat a lot of patsies at home this year. Means nothing. The only good team they've played at home, they lost big. This, too, means nothing. All that really means something is how good of a team Purdue is vs. how good of a team Illinois is. According to Ken Pomeroy's stat ratings, they're almost dead even, with a slight edge to Purdue. He projects Purdue to have a 66% chance of winning, and predicts a 66-62 final score. According to Jeff Sagarin, Purdue is about 1.6 points better than Illinois on a neutral court. Home court is a 4-point bump, so he projects a 5-6 point Purdue victory. Both projections sound about right. The only disappointing result tonight for Illinois would be a double-digit loss.