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bukie

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Everything posted by bukie

  1. bukie
    This reads a little weird until you realize it should say there were 11 25 and under MLB pitchers Yeah, edited to clarify.
  2. bukie
    An article on Fangraphs looks to find a current MLB equivalent to Yu Darvish. Darvish: 25 years old, 10.7 K/9, 57% groundball rate, 94 MPH fastball velocity. There were 11 25 year old major league pitchers last year who pitched at least 150 innings. Four (Wade Davis, Dillon Gee, Jair Jurrjens, Josh Collmenter) are soft tossers, and three others (David Price, Gio Gonzalez, Matt Harrison) are lefty. That leaves four potential comparables: Felix Hernandez, Jordan Zimmerman, Johnny Cueto and Yovani Gallardo. How much would you pay to get one of those four players, if all it took was cash?
  3. bukie
    Peyton Hillis may actually be your best option there.
  4. bukie
    By calling it Theogate, I hereby revoke your pass.
  5. bukie
    Retweeted by Ace So like 120%? Someone should ask him the chances of getting Varitek and Wakefield to come to Chicago, so we can get a baseline.
  6. bukie
    I don't believe his birthdate any more than I believe Aramis Ramirez'. Why on earth wouldn't you believe Aramis's? I don't believe his birthdate any more than I believe my own.
  7. bukie
    It seems so weird to me that Zambrano is 6 months younger than CJ Wilson.
  8. bukie
    Other than the fluke run in 2002, the last time they made it past the second round is 1994.
  9. bukie
    So...they're starting Billups as the SG then?
  10. bukie
    That wasn't credible. This time it is. I'd say I'd at least want to see an ESPN article on it before buying into it too much, but said article would probably be written by Rogers anyway.
  11. bukie
    Of course, this is the same Phil Rogers that said just 8 hours ago the Cubs were looking at Varitek and Wakefield, just because.
  12. bukie
    Out of curiosity, what does that look like if you normalize his 2010 where he was hurt like half the year? His 2009, you mean? If you extrapolate his 2009 production to his normal service time (130 games), the sum total was 4.5 WAR over the past 3 years.
  13. bukie
    What, you wouldn't want to be paying a slower, worse fielding Carlos Pena 25 mil a year for the next five? :)
  14. bukie
    Soriano's contract is a sunk cost, so whether he's getting 200 AB or 600 AB is irrelevant. Maximizing his value is what's relevant.
  15. bukie
    Ramirez thought he could do better than 1 year and 16 million in free agency. He got 2/20 with an option for 3/32, so I guess he was right? the mutual option is for a 4th year. he got 3 for 32 with a mutual option for a 4th year that doesn't appear to be disclosed, but if it's declined by the team he gets an additional $4M Ahh, well then it's not quite as ridiculously cheap as I thought it was.
  16. bukie
    To be fair, I'm not sure the Cubs wanted him to pick up his option. They could have easily just been capitalizing on the fact that they knew he wanted a multi-year deal. By making Aramis decline both his option and arbitration, they saved 2 million and picked up a draft pick. Which is one thing the prior regime failed to do repeatedly with outgoing free agents.
  17. bukie
    Ramirez thought he could do better than 1 year and 16 million in free agency. He got 2/20 with an option for 3/32, so I guess he was right?
  18. bukie
    Or, you know, it could be that the Cubs were interested in trying to bring him back for a one year deal, and Ramirez didn't want anything less than 3 years. Or Ramirez hates cute nicknames for his front office.
  19. bukie
    Hey, let's not let facts get in the way of trying to point out everybody else's hypocrisy.
  20. bukie
    So...the current iteration of the Atlanta Hawks.
  21. bukie
    San Diego State shifting 14 sports to Big West Granted, the football team will be in the Big East, but...this is going to really kill their basketball program.
  22. bukie
    Using some very rough estimates of the cost of a failure to advance each base based on Run Expectancy charts, I get 8(0.18) + 6(0.5) + 1(0.6) = 5 runs per year. Throw in other baserunning situations for another run per year. Yeah, seems very plausible to me. Running it against other 1B only (minimum 10 games. Why 10? Because it's the fantasy limit too, and someone is hardly a 1B if they play the 18th inning at 1B because the manager ran out of players), Prince comes in the 38th percentile among baserunners (51st of 87 overall, 23rd of 37 qualified). Not great, of course, but not awful. Oddly enough, the one qualified that came out the best was Carlos Pena. Other high end offensive 1B (wOBA .350+) that came in ahead of Fielder: Miguel Cabrera, Albert Pujols, Joey Votto, Michael Cuddyer, Mark Teixeira, Mike Morse Other high end offensive 1B that came in behind Fielder: Paul Konerko, Ryan Howard, Adrian Gonzalez
  23. bukie
    If one looks at that list, and favors not signing Fielder, it seems to me one resigns the Cubs to small-marketdom. At the same time, he's even more valuable to an AL team because his negatives can be hidden so much more easily. So if Seattle/Texas/whoever values him highly enough to offer him an 8-year deal upwards of $200 million, I wouldn't want the Cubs to match. I would agree with that. He has more long-term value to an AL team than the Cubs. Which also unfortunately means that the Cubs are going to have to blow him out of the water with AAV to be competitive in the contract negotiations.
  24. bukie
    Because offensively the player is far more individually responsible for being out/not out, while defensively the player is a lot less individually responsible for preventing runs.
  25. bukie
    If one looks at that list, and favors not signing Fielder, it seems to me one resigns the Cubs to small-marketdom. At the same time, he's even more valuable to an AL team because his negatives can be hidden so much more easily. So if Seattle/Texas/whoever values him highly enough to offer him an 8-year deal upwards of $200 million, I wouldn't want the Cubs to match.
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