bukie
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Everything posted by bukie
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When compiling the data for the auto bid champions thus far, I feel like there needs to be a Tier 4 somewhere.
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MSU has had all their players back since the Illinois game, just in time for what is their only "bad" loss of the year. Question is can they get it into gear by the start of the tournament. Biggest injury question going into the tourney, IMO, is Kansas' Joel Embiid.
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I've found it really strange the NCAA is allowing that. If APR is really supposed to be as important as the NCAA says, they should tell the SWAC "tough [expletive], you're having a six-team tournament if you don't get your teams to at least not completely suck in the classroom". Don't you have to have a tournament with at least 8 (presumably eligible) teams to even be granted an automatic bid? I'm guessing they got an exception for a temporary situation like this. Conference must have at least 8 teams to get an auto bid. There's one extra auto bid this year (AAC), so one fewer at large spot (so "only" 36)
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SWAC is being odd this year, and letting the 4 teams that are ineligible for the NCAA tournament play in the SWAC tourney. Thus, if an ineligible team wins it, the team that got the next farthest will go to the NCAA tourney. Ineligible seeds are 1/4/9/10.
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Yeah, I think the exercise had Wichita State come out better than I expected. Their T1 sample size is small (as expected, since this year there are no other top 100 teams in the MVC), but they beat all 3 tournament teams, one at home (Tennessee), one on the road (St. Louis), and one in a neutral location (BYU). If I had to pick the 1 seeds right now, I'd have to go with Florida-Wichita State-Arizona-Nova. Also, Louisville looks really good at KP, but they really did most of their damage against the crap of their schedule.
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Got my script working. Here's the current top 16 in KenPom, broken down by records vs. each "tier" of opponent. Tier 1: Home games vs top 25, neutral games vs top 50, road games vs top 75 (i.e. tournament level games) Tier 2: Home games vs 26-60, neutral games vs 51-100, road games vs 76-175 (i.e. losable games) Tier 3: All other games (i.e. embarrassing to lose, otherwise meaningless to win) What the rest means (taken from JohnGasaway.com): PPP - Points per possession, a way to normalize offensive efficiency on a per-possession basis. Average is around 1, generally. OPP - Opponents points per possession, normalize defensive efficiency on a per-possession basis. Average is around 1, generally. EM - Average efficiency margin (basically PPP - OPP), showing essentially how effective a team is against each tier of opponent. http://i.imgur.com/nbCrfd4.png That is a lot of data...not much of a better way to display it on the forum. EDIT: Screw code, I just quick uploaded a screenshot of the excel formatted a bit better, should make things easier to read.
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Davidson, 15-1 in the SoCon, lost in the semis today to Western Carolina. Wofford vs Western Carolina in the SoCon final. Vermont, 15-1 in the America East, lost in the semis today at Albany (tournament host). Albany vs Stony Brook in the AE final.
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BTT matchups are settled then. Thursday: 8 Indiana vs 9 Illinois 5 Ohio State vs 12 Purdue 7 Minnesota vs 10 Penn State 6 Iowa vs 11 Northwestern Friday: 1 Michigan vs 8/9 winner 4 Nebraska vs 5/12 winner 2 Wisconsin vs 7/10 winner 3 Michigan State vs 6/11 winner
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Mercer wins the Atlantic Sun.
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Wichita State wins the MVC, as bubble teams everywhere rejoice and exhale.
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All depends on the outcome of the PSU-Minnesota game. EDIT: According to KP FanMatch, there's a 70% chance that it'll be Indiana and Illinois on Thursday.
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Good article on ESPN Insider on Noah today. I particularly enjoyed the callback to Noah's draft workout interview answer as to why he'd be good in the NBA: "Honestly, I don't know how good a player I'll be in this league, but I know one thing: I am going to run the length of the floor hard on every single play because I know most bigs hate to run; I'm going to make them hate seeing us on the schedule."
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No, either Durant or LeBron will win MVP. Noah might not be first team All-NBA either, since Dwight Howard is awake out in Houston now.
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Coastal Carolina wins the Big South.
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Fifth option: who is willing to drop one of their existing draft choices to pick up Diaz? The earliest pick someone is willing to drop would get him. But then the owner would drop a player that someone else might have already wanted, and we have the same issue as the first option.
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Diaz signed with the Cardinals, and could break camp with the major league club. Draft is already going, so the way I see it there are 4 viable options for him.
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I just figure if people can't commit the time this year we could just do everything out in the thread in public during the day, and I'd just gather a list of at-large potential candidates myself that people could separate into "in, maybe, and out" categories.
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I can't believe Illinois got swept by Purdue and NW this year. What could have been...
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Due to an overall lack of interest, maybe I'll do things a little differently this year.
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I think that's always been plan A unless someone was going to grossly overpay for him. -
If projected favorites all win today for the B1G (Wisconsin over Nebraska, OSU over MSU, Minnesota over PSU, Purdue over NW), the conference tourney will be 1 Michigan vs. 8 Indiana/9 Illinois winner 4 Ohio State vs. 5 Nebraska/12 Northwestern winner 2 Wisconsin vs. 7 Minnesota/10 Penn State winner 3 Michigan State vs. 6 Iowa/11 Purdue winner
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What the hell, Illinois. 8-10 without the home loss to Purdue might have been enough. Now they'll likely have to beat Indiana, Michigan, and OSU/Iowa to have a decent shot at a bid.
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Eastern Kentucky beat both Murray State and then Belmont to win the OVC title. Neither Murray State nor Belmont is likely at-large worthy, but Belmont isn't terrible.
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First auto bid earned tonight as Harvard wins the Ivy.
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Really, if one of the four players in the deal contributes positively for more than 3 months, the trade is a win.
