bukie
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Everything posted by bukie
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Committee like: Kansas, Colorado, Dayton Committee don't like: Pitt
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MSU had a good week, not sure how the committee will respond to it.
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Florida wins the SEC in a mess of a final game, when they missed the front ends of two one and ones, got an O-Reb on the first and Kentucky got the second and failed to get a shot off before time expired.
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MSU could be a team that gets a seed bump due to the team being healthy now. Kansas the other way, to the point where you could probably just swap them in the bracket.
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Here's a bracket. Not sure if I'll tweak it after the SEC/Big Ten champs, but I think it's legal right now. http://i.imgur.com/4vkWiHw.png
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Louisiana-Lafayette wins the Sun Belt.
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Sun Belt is in OT, just because.
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Virginia wins the ACC, St. Joe's wins the A-10.
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Updated with data from today, simple S-curve for now, will finish bracket later: First four out: St. John's Colorado Utah Dayton
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Those two are the worst kind of prognosticators. Wrong frequently and yet always indignant when anyone tries to call them on it.
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Cal Poly wins the Big West at 13-19, and New Mexico St. wins the WAC. Only bid in play today for teams not in the at-large pool already is the Sun Belt.
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Iowa State wins the Big 12.
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Also, UCLA wins the Pac-12 and Louisville wins the American.
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Weber State wins the Big Sky, Stephen F. Austin wins the Southland, and Providence makes sure they get in by winning the Big East.
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Western Michigan wins the MAC, North Carolina Central wins the MEAC, and New Mexico wins the MWC.
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Texas Southern wins the SWAC, and even get the auto bid since they were one of the eligible teams. St. Joe's beat St. Bonnies, and Duke beat NC State, so I think that will prevent any Sunday bid thefts.
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Tulsa may have just stolen a bid by winning CUSA.
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And because it took me so long to put together, it's already wrong, as Albany beat Stony Brook to win the America East.
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First attempt at a bracket, straight S-curve, not worrying about bracket rules yet. http://i.imgur.com/UmeymX8.png
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In one model (the first one), they would have been the last team in. In the second model, they would have been the first team out.
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If I tweak the data to make KP worth more and tier game data worth less (making it closer to 50/50), I get: Safely in: SMU Tennessee Xavier Providence Last four byes: Florida St. Stanford Arizona St. BYU Last four in: Nebraska Kansas St. St. John's Colorado First four out: Utah Dayton St. Joe's Southern Miss Next four out: Illinois Green Bay NC State Missouri
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If I had to guess, I'd have Nebraska and Tennessee in, and Southern Miss and Dayton out.
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Because I hate myself, I ran the data assuming Abrams' shot had gone in, and Illinois would have been the last team in. With the correct data, it's Kansas State. Last four byes: Florida St. Stanford BYU Saint Joseph's Last four in: Southern Miss Dayton Arizona St. Kansas St. First four out: Tennessee Nebraska Missouri St. John's Next four out: Green Bay Illinois Utah North Carolina St.
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I'll update the data as soon as looking at college basketball stuff doesn't anger me.
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Note for future: 10 rounds is probably enough.
