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bukie

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Everything posted by bukie

  1. I would have liked to see what would have happened had Abrams been able to make that shot, though.
  2. Dayton was 2 short of the bye before the loss, so they might go to Dayton, which would be interesting. Nebraska was the last team in yesterday, so it's precarious, especially since Tennessee was on the other edge of the bubble.
  3. I mean, when the play you draw up out of a timeout with 4 seconds to play results in an open layup for your PG, I don't think the coach is at fault there.
  4. Ok, that was way more frustrating than losing by 30.
  5. I'm not sure you've seen Illinois' offense this year.
  6. Michigan has already missed more 3's than they did the entire game last week against Illinois.
  7. According to Lunardi's site at least, even with the 4 extra teams Iowa would be pretty cleanly in as they aren't even among the first four byes. I've got Iowa as a 9 seed right now, which is a stark drop from the likely protected seed they were 3 weeks ago.
  8. Illinois has a formalized agreement with NIT to play, assuming they aren't selected to NCAA tournament. So at least there'll be more basketball for this group, win or lose today.
  9. Well, a 25% chance to get into the at-large picture is better than I was expecting 10 days ago.
  10. Stanford over ASU 79-58. Good for Stanford, bad for ASU.
  11. Updated data (spoiled for long): First 8 out: http://i.imgur.com/2QbJnUC.png Utah and Green Bay are basically done, since they can't improve at all and there won't be enough teams that fall back that far to bump them up by default. NC State and LSU are the only two other teams that could potentially play their way into bubble talk...and only maybe at that.
  12. Also, the most likely bid thief (UTEP, assuming La Tech was at-large worthy) lost at home in the C-USA quarters to Southern Miss. With Louisiana Tech trouncing their opponent, that guarantees at least one team in the C-USA finals in the at-large consideration. Still could get a bid stolen if, say, Tech makes the finals and loses, but it's significantly less likely now.
  13. A - Nebraska B - Stanford C - Kansas State D - Illinois E - Tennessee F - Missouri G - St. John's H - Minnesota
  14. Still a road win against a tourney team.
  15. Hey, look at that bubble...http://sports.yahoo.com/featured/ncaab/bigboard/
  16. Huh...wasn't expecting that.
  17. Iowa may want to wake up if they don't want to find themselves in a first round NCAA matchup against a better team than them.
  18. Yeah, they are really similar, which is why they are together at the end of the bubble. :) In the name of full disclosure, Teams A and D split on the year, teams E and F split on the year, teams A and D beat team H, and team D beat team F. That info might just allow the more savvy folks to figure out who they are.
  19. For fun though, here's the current "end of the bubble", in random order. http://i.imgur.com/PZX0VsB.png Rank these 8 teams. Right now, just two of them are in.
  20. dream scenario: Rodon at 4 All that really needs to happen is for Houston to talk themselves into someone else. Counting on Florida and the WS to screw up their draft slots is almost a given.
  21. Here's a team everyone considers a lock that I'd question: Kansas State. What is their best win away from home? EDIT: Their road/neutral wins: Long Beach State in San Juan, Puerto Rico, Tulane in Brooklyn, at TCU, at Texas Tech, and vs. Gonzaga in Wichita, KS (practically a home game...)
  22. I'll post updated info once the games from today are over, since teams that haven't played yet can still add value. I'm just not sure about how Illinois is where they are right now.
  23. All I can really do is swear that I'm not building any bias into the data. EDIT: As the data goes, Illinois passed Clemson, Georgetown, Utah, Indiana, Missouri, Green Bay, Arkansas, St. John's, and Tennessee (who will re-pass Illinois if they win tonight).
  24. So, if I go just by value based on T1 wins being worth double, T2 wins normal, T3 wins half, T1 losses half, T2 losses even, T3 losses double, Illinois makes the field as the last team in. If I used my adjusted value by factoring in efficiency, Illinois is the second to last team out (ahead of Tennessee) behind Kansas State, with Stanford being the last in.
  25. Updated my data based on games thus far today and updated KP ratings. First thought...damn it, Illinois, what are you doing there?!
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