Going 3-10 in a September callup is far from a huge success. The other teams and GM's who passed on Brown were correct. Beane was the one who was wrong. No offense to Beane, it happens to everybody. Sorry, but I'm still inclined to think the fact that Beane's longshot gave even a modicum of production to the big league club and the fact that Cincinatti and Montreal's sure things at #3 and #5 still haven't made it out of A ball makes this a notch in the win column for Beane. Even had Brown never made it past AAA, it still does show that performance analysis can be just as valuable as conventional tools-oriented scouting... making Moneyball a success. How is that a success at all? Brown was never good, and the only reason he ever made it to the majors was, most likely, because he was a former first round pick. And the only reason Grueler and Everts aren't in the MLB is because of injuries; it happens to every team. I'm not sure how Brown's failure equals a success for performance-based analysis. People before the draft said he sucked, Beane took him and, sure enough, he sucked. Surprisingly, the two legitimate first round talents he took (Swisher and Blanton) ended up being productive players. All the Moneyball draft shows is that, no matter what approach you take, the draft is a crap-shoot, and you shouldn't use one approach at the expense of all others. If you call Brown's draft selection a success, we better keep you away from the Cubs before you give Hendry an extension. I'll go ahead and admit I may have jumped the gun, but I think everybody expects far too much from the #35 overall pick, sooo... Since 1970, people taken with the #35 pick. Ron Kinner Dennis DeBarr George Lusic Eddie McMahon Gary Harqis Mitch Lukevics Tom Hawk Linvel Mosby Edwin Hook Scott Glanz Jim Weaver Mark Langston Jim Opie Mickey Brantley Matt Kinzer Mike Schooler Cliff Brantley Terry Jorgensen Wynn Beck Brian Hunter Stan Spencer Jeff Ware Johnny Damon Todd Dunn Sean Johnston Mark Bellhorn Jason Marquis Mark Fischer Aaron Rowand Brian West Tyrell Godwin J.D. Martin Luis Atilano Matt Fox Cesar Ramos Kylar Burke Only Langston, Damon, Bellhorn, Marquis, and Rowand have any success drafted from that spot in the last 36 years. While it's too early to tell on the most recent draft picks, none are looking too strong. So yeah, it's possible to find a valuable major leaguer at that point, but it's the exception rather than the rule. Even getting a guy to the majors is a success of sorts, is what I guess I was trying to say, and the further you get from the top five picks, the faster your chances of getting anything from them fall off a cliff.