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Rob

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Everything posted by Rob

  1. Joe Morgan: .392 OBP (.326 lgOBP) / .427 SLG (.384 lgSLG) Ryne Sandberg: .344 OBP (.337 lgOBP) / .452 SLG (.404 lgSLG) Just to make the math easier to eyeball... let's normalize those numbers by dividing the individual stats by the league stats and then multiply by 100, to get a real grasp of how far above and beyond they went... we'll call these OBP+ and SLG+ (even though we aren't bothering with park factors or anything, it should be close enough to an OPS+ format to make my point) Joe Morgan: 120 OBP+ , 112 SLG+ Ryne Sandberg: 102 OBP+ , 112 SLG+ Sandberg really didn't slug any better than Morgan did... but Morgan sure did get on base better.
  2. Ok... let's at least get this straight. Joe Morgan was a better hitter than Sandberg (.392 career OBP vs .344) I love Ryno as much as anybody, but it's time we admit Morgan was better on offense. Defensively, however, it's not even a battle. Ryno ranks up there as one of the top defenders of all time at that position. Depending on which metric you use, Morgan rates as average to below average. I have a hard time believing any of those gold gloves were justified more than Raffy's was.
  3. The Phillies did a pretty good job of dealing with having both Jim Thome and Ryan Howard. I'd rather have the option to deal from strength later than hope and pray the worse hitter we drafted develops into a starter at another position we haven't already filled.
  4. Lee, Aramis, and Z are all top players for the next couple of years... though they are getting darn close to their decline phases. Soriano, Lilly, Hill, Marshall, Marmol, Gallagher, Wuertz, Pie, Murton, and Soto all have strong chances to be above-average contributors at their positions. Theriot, Fontenot, DeRosa, Moore, and Fox all have a good chance to be fairly valuable if used properly. (Still not sold on Theriot and DeRosa as hitters... at least not #1, 2, or 5 hitters) Only Marquis and perhaps Cedeno are likely to have fairly significant roles while being a drain on the pitching or offense. The trick is going to be in trusting the young guys... instead of paying for overpriced junk to fill in. (I could see us re-upping Floyd, and signing LoDuca).
  5. Ummm... Look at the total they have listed above the teams for that season? Team name is called "TOT"
  6. There's no harm in calling him up in case a game goes 30 innings, or we need a pinch runner. You just have to trust Lou to use him right... and... uh... well, nevermind then.
  7. Soriano wont be the face of the franchise until he's officially become an albatross, and everybody needs something to point to as a sign of the Cubs' futility.
  8. Jones: "Hey, we won, I'm happy." Murton: "Me too." Murton: "This guy from the interweb is stalking me." Jones: "That sucks." Murton: "You can do it, put your *** into it." Jones: "Ya know, this is why that guy gets those ideas..."
  9. No he didn't. If Lee was traded to Baltimore then Florida wouldn't have been able to trade him to the Cubs. He was essentially traded to Baltimore, who balked at the last minute. Florida then called up Hendry hoping to dump DLee and his salary and Hendry capitalized on their impatience.
  10. If memory serves, the Cubs (and by extension, Jim Hendry) were dead last in the majors last year as far as what they spent per marginal win. If Hendry had inherited a bunch of horrible old contracts and a bad farm system, and was still fairly new to the Cubs GM position, it would be understandable. He didn't, and it isn't. Just like any other GM, he has strengths and weaknesses. He does seem fairly good at convincing players he wants to sign contracts with us (and for hometown discounts). He's also capable of making fairly good trades. However, he completely lacks an understanding of the values that make the game tick... preferring instead to rely on the conventional "wisdom" of things like the importance of a speedy leadoff hitter, and having high batting averages. As is, Hendry's skills are not enough to outweigh his deficiencies. I do applaud the signing of Z to an extension, but it is not nearly enough to redeem him.
  11. Also, something i didnt know: If a game is suspended before it becomes a regulation game, and is continued prior to another regularly scheduled game, the regularly scheduled game with be limited to seven innings. yea, that isn't true. I took it right off MLB.com. Games that would normally be suspended before regulation are just cancelled out and postponed now.
  12. I'm reading the official rules right now... and unless I'm mistaken, this game would not be suspended.
  13. This is only make-or-break for the Cards, not us.
  14. Actually, save one inning, he had a good start today. Yea how does a run shy of a quality start qualify as sucking? It's a 6.00 ERA
  15. Yankees: Wang Mussina Hughes Petitte Chamberlain Kennedy Red Sox: Beckett Matsuzaka Buchholz Wakefield Lester Neither one of them exactly needs help with their starting rotation.
  16. All of a sudden, he became very hittable. Not quite sure why... though I wouldn't gamble on him during the postseason run to find out.
  17. Tomorrow is the deadline, right? What time?
  18. Oakland isn't going to see the postseason this year. If Beane can artificially inflate Embree's value and hope to get a nice prospect for him in the offseason, there's no reason he shouldn't. It's just being smart. If there's one thing I've learned in fantasy baseball, paying attention to which players are going to be on competing teams is perhaps the most overlooked aspect of it all. You aren't going to rest your star young players in the middle of a playoff hunt... but teams like the Marlins and Mariners last year had no reason not to rest Miguel Cabrera when he came up a bit gimpy and King Felix when his innings total for the season got up there. If you pay attention to that, and nobody else does, you're gonna be a lot better off than you would have been otherwise. That being said, nobody was really predicting the A's collapse like this... I about got burned by Street myself, til I noticed somebody left Howie Kendrick available that late in the draft.
  19. Maybe John Lennon, but the avi is Sean Lennon I believe, whose in the same boat as the 97 Marley kids who somehow continue to multiply and whore off their fathers name. you're right, you're right, it's the second generation musicians who are REALLY to blame for the Cubs weaknesses EDIT: while we're on the subject of avatars, how can Little Lord Fontenot bag on mine when he has the walking Cub logo getting backdoored by some other creature? Board rules? Board rules? You do as The Scorpions have done before you. That is the only rule that must be abided.
  20. I can't believe I went to all the trouble of proving Marshall is a fantastic fifth starter even for a playoff team, and all I got back was a "He is OK." All this to be followed by two pages of goofiness. I'm not gonna waste my time looking up the numbers for Pie and everybody else I'd need to make a comparison.
  21. 1%??? Those dirty racists. Get em outta here.
  22. if the worst case scenario has him putting up a .786 ops during a slump, where do i sign up? Combined with being one of the worst regular OF's in the game? I guess I have higher standards for $14M. I'm not saying I wouldn't want him under any circumstances and he is a pretty good bet to get you around an .850 OPS. However there are things that make me hesitant and I would want them to eat some of that money. If not, I'd rather go with Murton (and Jones if necessary) and allocate that $10-$13M to Z and a possible shot at A-Rod. again, defense is not our problem, our problem is OPS. burrell provides that. i'd take him in a second. You're right, defense isn't our problem. But awful defense changes a player's worth. I think there's a very reasonable chance that we can come up with an in-house option(s) that provides an .800 OPS for a low cost. Is Burrell going to be able to produce enough offensively to make up that $10-$13M AND the defensive drop off? The marginal wins between 86-90 (IIRC) are worth more than any others. If Burrell could help us win a net of two games from here on out, the 10-13 mil would be greatly reduced.
  23. That's a bit too broad. Soriano had plenty of cold streaks/slumps/whatever you want to call them during the two months the Cubs were dominating because he is and always has been a very streaky hitter. Yes, he's missed now, but his injury combined with Lee's slump and Aramis being hurt/out is the much larger issue. If the latter two weren't happening, or even just one of them was mashing, Soriano's absence wouldn't be nearly as obvious. Yeah - that's terrible analysis Soul and you know it. There were a lot of factors that went into our terrible start. Soriano didn't help but Z was crap too. And Soriano isn't the only player hurt or not playing well now. Mojo mentioned Lee and ARam, but our SP has been suspect recently (Marquis was good in his last outing, bad the one before it, Marshall's had 2 bad turns in a row, Z and Hill both got rocked this week - all hail Ted Lilly, eh?). When Soriano finally got hot, he wasn't the only one. Lee and ARam have been consistent basically all year, but DeRosa had a great June and good July, Jones had a good July, Fontenot had a great June, Theriot was great in July (our SS position was pathetic for 3 months). There's a lot more analysis needed. "As Soriano goes, so go the Cubs" is far, far, far from accurate. There's no other analysis needed in terms of Soriano being important to this team. Or didn't you realize there are people lurking around here who think losing Soriano meant nothing? Hell, if Murton keeps hitting like he has in August, we make a big gain by losing Soriano... providing that's what it took to get him into the lineup (assuming we weren't gonna pull the plug on Floyd anyway)
  24. Not having looked yet, I have to agree that the spin on Pie probably wont be near so positive. I'm praying for a BABIP discrepancy, otherwise I'll have to resort to preseason projections. Though I don't imagine I'll have a hard time making a case for him over our other options we'd bring up.
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