Run expectancy with runners on 1st and 2nd, no out: 1.5065 Run expectancy with runners on 2nd and 3rd, one out: 1.44753 Yeah, a successful bunt would decrease run expectancy by a bit, but not by a whole lot. I didn't like the bunt call, and wouldn't have made it myself... but it's at least defendable. The steal, though... it was a horrid call. Kendall has a whopping total of 7 GIDP on the season (zero since he became a Cub) compared to 37 strikeouts on the season (10 since he became a Cub). If Lou (or anybody else here for that matter) was truly more concerned about him hitting into a DP than striking out, then a head check needs to be done. Kendall was more than FIVE TIMES more likely to strikeout than to GIDP. Calling the steal wasn't "what needed to be done." It wasn't "rolling the dice." It was ugly, stupid, and misguided... and no amount of wishcasting is going to make it otherwise. Lou screwed up. Badly.