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Rob

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Everything posted by Rob

  1. Rob
    He has more value to this team than another fungible middle reliever with a hefty payroll cost does. I don't want Jim to try to get anything for him... I'd rather we just hold onto him and get some production.
  2. Rob
    I can see Jimbo doing something really stupid like trading Murton for a Dannys Baez type... at which point I will be forced to lynch him.
  3. Rob
    Actually, he was comparing the standard playoff odds report with the PECOTA version. Typically, the PECOTA one works by virtue of a weighted mean between real records and the PECOTA predicted record. All he was saying was that, this late into the season, the actual record dominates most of that number.
  4. Rob
    There was an interesting article at the Hardball Times a few days ago regarding the difference between teams and their runs scored and runs allowed. http://www.hardballtimes.com/main/article/no-mirage-in-arizona/ Essentially, a bad fifth starter makes it easier to outperform a pythagorean record, while a good one makes it much harder.
  5. Rob
    Gregg Jefferies had an OBP of .408 and .391 in the two seasons he was with the Cards.
  6. Rob
    I think the Cub girl is hotter... but does she drink a beer as big as her head?
  7. Rob
    Properly = Very Sparingly
  8. Rob
    Joe Morgan: .392 OBP (.326 lgOBP) / .427 SLG (.384 lgSLG) Ryne Sandberg: .344 OBP (.337 lgOBP) / .452 SLG (.404 lgSLG) Just to make the math easier to eyeball... let's normalize those numbers by dividing the individual stats by the league stats and then multiply by 100, to get a real grasp of how far above and beyond they went... we'll call these OBP+ and SLG+ (even though we aren't bothering with park factors or anything, it should be close enough to an OPS+ format to make my point) Joe Morgan: 120 OBP+ , 112 SLG+ Ryne Sandberg: 102 OBP+ , 112 SLG+ Sandberg really didn't slug any better than Morgan did... but Morgan sure did get on base better.
  9. Rob
    Ok... let's at least get this straight. Joe Morgan was a better hitter than Sandberg (.392 career OBP vs .344) I love Ryno as much as anybody, but it's time we admit Morgan was better on offense. Defensively, however, it's not even a battle. Ryno ranks up there as one of the top defenders of all time at that position. Depending on which metric you use, Morgan rates as average to below average. I have a hard time believing any of those gold gloves were justified more than Raffy's was.
  10. Rob
    The Phillies did a pretty good job of dealing with having both Jim Thome and Ryan Howard. I'd rather have the option to deal from strength later than hope and pray the worse hitter we drafted develops into a starter at another position we haven't already filled.
  11. Rob
    Lee, Aramis, and Z are all top players for the next couple of years... though they are getting darn close to their decline phases. Soriano, Lilly, Hill, Marshall, Marmol, Gallagher, Wuertz, Pie, Murton, and Soto all have strong chances to be above-average contributors at their positions. Theriot, Fontenot, DeRosa, Moore, and Fox all have a good chance to be fairly valuable if used properly. (Still not sold on Theriot and DeRosa as hitters... at least not #1, 2, or 5 hitters) Only Marquis and perhaps Cedeno are likely to have fairly significant roles while being a drain on the pitching or offense. The trick is going to be in trusting the young guys... instead of paying for overpriced junk to fill in. (I could see us re-upping Floyd, and signing LoDuca).
  12. Rob
    Ummm... Look at the total they have listed above the teams for that season? Team name is called "TOT"
  13. Rob
    There's no harm in calling him up in case a game goes 30 innings, or we need a pinch runner. You just have to trust Lou to use him right... and... uh... well, nevermind then.
  14. Rob
    Soriano wont be the face of the franchise until he's officially become an albatross, and everybody needs something to point to as a sign of the Cubs' futility.
  15. Rob
    Jones: "Hey, we won, I'm happy." Murton: "Me too." Murton: "This guy from the interweb is stalking me." Jones: "That sucks." Murton: "You can do it, put your *** into it." Jones: "Ya know, this is why that guy gets those ideas..."
  16. Rob
    No he didn't. If Lee was traded to Baltimore then Florida wouldn't have been able to trade him to the Cubs. He was essentially traded to Baltimore, who balked at the last minute. Florida then called up Hendry hoping to dump DLee and his salary and Hendry capitalized on their impatience.
  17. Rob
    If memory serves, the Cubs (and by extension, Jim Hendry) were dead last in the majors last year as far as what they spent per marginal win. If Hendry had inherited a bunch of horrible old contracts and a bad farm system, and was still fairly new to the Cubs GM position, it would be understandable. He didn't, and it isn't. Just like any other GM, he has strengths and weaknesses. He does seem fairly good at convincing players he wants to sign contracts with us (and for hometown discounts). He's also capable of making fairly good trades. However, he completely lacks an understanding of the values that make the game tick... preferring instead to rely on the conventional "wisdom" of things like the importance of a speedy leadoff hitter, and having high batting averages. As is, Hendry's skills are not enough to outweigh his deficiencies. I do applaud the signing of Z to an extension, but it is not nearly enough to redeem him.
  18. Rob
    Also, something i didnt know: If a game is suspended before it becomes a regulation game, and is continued prior to another regularly scheduled game, the regularly scheduled game with be limited to seven innings. yea, that isn't true. I took it right off MLB.com. Games that would normally be suspended before regulation are just cancelled out and postponed now.
  19. Rob
    I'm reading the official rules right now... and unless I'm mistaken, this game would not be suspended.
  20. Rob
    This is only make-or-break for the Cards, not us.
  21. Rob
    Actually, save one inning, he had a good start today. Yea how does a run shy of a quality start qualify as sucking? It's a 6.00 ERA
  22. Rob
    Yankees: Wang Mussina Hughes Petitte Chamberlain Kennedy Red Sox: Beckett Matsuzaka Buchholz Wakefield Lester Neither one of them exactly needs help with their starting rotation.
  23. Rob
    All of a sudden, he became very hittable. Not quite sure why... though I wouldn't gamble on him during the postseason run to find out.
  24. Rob
    Tomorrow is the deadline, right? What time?
  25. Rob
    Oakland isn't going to see the postseason this year. If Beane can artificially inflate Embree's value and hope to get a nice prospect for him in the offseason, there's no reason he shouldn't. It's just being smart. If there's one thing I've learned in fantasy baseball, paying attention to which players are going to be on competing teams is perhaps the most overlooked aspect of it all. You aren't going to rest your star young players in the middle of a playoff hunt... but teams like the Marlins and Mariners last year had no reason not to rest Miguel Cabrera when he came up a bit gimpy and King Felix when his innings total for the season got up there. If you pay attention to that, and nobody else does, you're gonna be a lot better off than you would have been otherwise. That being said, nobody was really predicting the A's collapse like this... I about got burned by Street myself, til I noticed somebody left Howie Kendrick available that late in the draft.
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