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Rob

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Everything posted by Rob

  1. BABIP is batting average on balls in play. ISO is Isolated Power. I'm not a huge saber guy, so I'm not really familiar with ISO or RC/27 I explained ISO below, but RC/27 probably needs some explanation as well. RC stands for Runs Created. There are much simpler formulas, but the best one commonly used is RC = [(H+BB-CS+HBP-GIDP) x (TB+(.26 x (BB-IBB+HBP)) + (.52 (SH+SF+SB)))] / (AB+BB+SH+SF+HBP). That's pretty complicated though, so just for fun, the basic formula is. RC = [(H+BB)xTB] / (AB+BB) Essentially, RC/27 is runs created per 27 outs. In other words, if you had an offense entirely comprised of that one player, how many runs would that team score per 9 innings on average?
  2. BABIP is Batting Average on Balls In Play. Basically, it's when you put the ball in play (i.e. not a home run or a strikeout), whether that ball falls in for a hit or not. Generally speaking, it runs around LD% + .110 or .120, depending on who you ask. ISO is isolated power. Slugging percentage minus batting average. It's a basic measure of how much power somebody hits for, since slugging percentage is fairly dependant on how many singles somebody hits.
  3. I'd been saying for quite a while that the best moves we could make at the deadline would be simply to fill in our holes from our system. If we start Cedeno, Murton, and Soto from here on out, it'd be about the same as trading for three new starters. This is a step in the right direction, with Cedeno coming up and now Murton. Now we just need to bring Soto up and make all three of them the regulars.
  4. I wouldn't be willing to give up Pie for Hunter, but I'd be willing to give up EPatt and a decent reliever or something.
  5. He wrote this at 1:15 am, well after the Iowa game was over. I take it we should probably just assume Will is mistaken here...? :) Why? Well, I was half-joking. If we take Carroll's word as truth, the thread explodes another 10 pages, whether he actually knows more than we do or not. It's a pretty bold contradiction to what the Iowa manager said, so it's probably not true... until Will updates and mentions Bailey's comment, and still claims injuries weren't behind it. Or another source picks it up. Again, I know I'm at least part of the source saying they weren't injured. I'm not sure if he looked further into it after that or not, but given his prior work on the rumor mill, I wouldn't be surprised at all if my comment alone is what he was working off of.
  6. He wrote this at 1:15 am, well after the Iowa game was over. That might be my bad. I sent him an email around 11 pm central telling him what was going on, and that there had been no indications of an injury to that point.
  7. If memory serves, I want to say Ty Cobb and Tris Speaker were caught throwing games. Ban Johnson just gave them a slap on the wrist and sent them on their way, though... and both are now in the Hall. Just throwing that out there.
  8. Yeah, but their 3rd order winning percentage places them behind the Mets, Braves, and Dodgers. What's the difference between the two? Essentially, you substitute predicted runs based on how everybody is hitting, ballpark, pitching staffs faced, etc... instead of actual runs and runs allowed. It pretty much takes Aramis's .325/.438/.600/1.038 line with 2 outs and RISP and adjusts it down to his normal line and sees what we would have hit against a neutral staff in a neutral park... and then does the same for pitchers that have been unlucky or lucky based on their numbers with 2 outs.
  9. I'm not even gonna watch it, cause I know you're making a bad joke of some sort. Grow up.
  10. Also perhaps worth noting is that Matt Craig and Joseph Simonkaitis had not had ABs at AAA this year. Maybe the manager just thought a 7-1 game was a good time to start getting these guys some PT?
  11. Well, Jacque wasn't pulled tonight... so I have a hard time believing they traded him. As if they were close, they would have pulled him.
  12. Could be a trade, too.
  13. We're looking into a modbot for you, since it's a 24-hour job. Are you making fun of my insomnia? It's a medical condition, and I think it's extremely inappropriate to single me out because of it. What's next, ripping into me for my gimp leg? You should be ashamed of yourself. :lol:
  14. Or Edward K. from Indianapolis. :D Does anybody still have those Edward K ones? I can't even remember what was so funny about it at this point.
  15. Yeah, but their 3rd order winning percentage places them behind the Mets, Braves, and Dodgers.
  16. So now that there's an extra mod in the mix, which one of you is gonna be assigned to personally follow me around and fix the situations I create?
  17. IT WAS IN AAA DUH At a hitter's haven known as Colorado Springs. I'm not saying it should be discounted but that has to be taken into consideration. Even if we were to adjust for the park factors, his OPS from tonight's game would be off the charts.
  18. Sean Casey begs to differ. He's only worth 18 this year, but you knew darn well going in that you had nothing to be worried about with him.
  19. This is why Kevin Towers is a good GM. Most GMs wouldn't have the balls to trade a proven, solid contributor in the midst of a playoff race, but he got good value for Linebrink and made the deal. I don't hate the deal from the Brewers' perspective; they haven't made the playoffs in 24 years, so it's hard to blame them for going all-out now. Inman is certainly not a can't-miss prospect, but they still paid a steep price for a moderate upgrade. I thought Unfiltered posts were available to everybody, not just members.
  20. Same boat for me, IIRC.
  21. Are you seriously using win/loss as a basis to your argument? Hill gets no run support, and win/loss is a terrible stat to judge a pitcher The man thinks Don Kessinger was good. What did you expect? Nice, attack someone without provocation. Good for you. I was being sarcastic since I assumed you were too. The good news is that now that I know you were expressing your honest opinion, my comment still works... even sans sarcasm.
  22. I was against the signing. If he helps take us to postseason glory, I'll conceed the point. But it's important to remember that there's still 3 1/2 more years on this contract at a pretty high price. That all being said, I'm really loving the way he's pitching right now. He's exceeded my expectations to this point by quite a bit.
  23. Someone brought it up when he was raking at AA, and I wanted to wait and see how he handled AAA since AA had never been the problem with him. After tonight his OPS is now north of .950 at AAA, with 15/20 BB/K in ~130 PA's. I'm really curious to see if he could handle a big league spot in some capacity, but the circumstances just don't seem to be right with the 40 man roster as it is. Hendry's 40 man roster management this season has been pretty horrible. Does anybody remember who all is eligible for the Rule 5 next year?
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