Rob
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Everything posted by Rob
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Cedeno hasn't been hitting for as much power recently, I'll grant... but he's still batting .310 in his last 10 games. And why on earth are you using errors to judge a player's defense? I thought the world was past that archaic mode of thought. -
Shortstop III
Rob replied to Mephistopheles's topic in MLB Draft, International Signings, Amateur Baseball
Oh, you crazy broad. :wink: I'm not sold on Lopez having anything resembling real power, even for a SS. 2005 seems likely to be his career year, and it's mostly park-driven. That being said, perhaps a move to a contender would help him focus a bit more, and if he could, he could be a slight upgrade over Theriot at short. He'd cost us more on defense, but he'd be pretty likely to sustain a higher enough OBP to be a net positive for us, production wise. I would question the deal based on how much talent and how much money we'd be on the hook for, though. The problem in my eyes is that Cedeno has the potential to put up comparable offensive numbers overall (a bit more slugging, a bit less OBP), while being a large boost to us defensively. And since he was just called up according to ESPN, I'd rather take my chances with Cedeno. -
Side note: Given how ridiculously non-agressive Quade has been at third base, how on earth do we know it wasn't him holding Murton up? Even forgetting the Murton stuff for a moment, Quade has been a huge failure as 3B coach, IMHO. I'd say it's pretty likely he had some part in the screwups there.
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Teixeira has played RF previously, so it's hardly a stretch to put him out there, sign him to an extension, and have him move to first in three years when DLee's contract runs out. Hard to do, but much more logical than signing ARod and moving him to a position where his defense isn't near as valuable, then trading off one of our best hitters.
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Right now, I'm in a standard 12 team h2h league with OBP and IP added. As of this week, I am in first place with a 114-61-17 record, good for a .638 winning percentage. The guy in second place is 14.5 games back at the moment. He's actually closer to the guy in 9th place than he is to me. I guess that's just the benefit of a nine week winning streak, though. 2/3 of the way through the season, how is your team holding up?
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Minor League 1B coach hit by line drive pronounced Dead
Rob replied to RammyFanny's topic in Chicago Cubs Talk
This is horrible. Hopefully MLB steps up and helps take care of that poor family. -
I don't think EPatt would be too terribly extended in CF, especially since all I keep hearing about him is that he's gonna have to move into the OF anyways. And Botts slots in nicely at the 1B vacancy.
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Personally, while I think they'll go straight after Pie, I think they'd fold on that demand if we held off and offered extra prospects. And since I still feel Marshall is outperforming what we can reasonably expect of him by a decent margin, I'd be willing to put him in the deal and see what a guy like Gallagher or Holliman could do as our fifth starter until Guzman gets healthy. Veal, Marshall, EPatt, Huseby, and Soto might bankrupt our farm system, but I think it would be worthwhile to get Teixeira.
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It's definitely going to cost more than Soto, EPatt, and Veal to get Tex, but I would absolutely love to have him on the team. Could you imagine a lineup like this: 1. Soriano LF 2. Derosa 2b 3. Lee 1b 4. Aram 3b 5. Teixeira RF 6. Jones CF 7. Cedeno/Theriot SS 8. Hill/Kendall 9. pitcher =P~ 1. Soriano LF 2. Lee 1b 3. Teixeira RF 4. Aram 3b 5. DeRosa 2B 6. Jones CF 7. Cedeno/Theriot SS 8. Hill/Kendall 9. pitcher Much better Soriano LF Lee 1B Teixeira RF Ramirez 3B DeRosa 2B Jones CF Cedeno/Theriot SS P Hill/Kendall Even better still. :wink:
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It's definitely going to cost more than Soto, EPatt, and Veal to get Tex, but I would absolutely love to have him on the team. Could you imagine a lineup like this: 1. Soriano LF 2. Derosa 2b 3. Lee 1b 4. Aram 3b 5. Teixeira RF 6. Jones CF 7. Cedeno/Theriot SS 8. Hill/Kendall 9. pitcher =P~ Yeah, I'm fairly certain it would cost more than that. But I think those three would be useful to the Rangers in pretty short time, and would be a very good starting point. I'd be willing to part with Huseby as well... and I think that might get it done. All four of those guys would immediately jump into the Rangers top 10 prospects.
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Jose Molina to Yankees
Rob replied to reds44's topic in MLB Draft, International Signings, Amateur Baseball
Eerily enough, I was home last night without internet access, and did not see this thread. However, I had a pretty cool nightmare last night where somebody pulled my skin off. Modzilla has powers. Beware. -
I'm not too terribly interested in acquiring Glaus to play short or right. Don't get me wrong, I know he'd be a pretty huge upgrade over what we've gotten at either position this year. Looking just at short though, I'm not convinced that the gain on offense is enough to cover for the loss in defense paired with the cost of acquiring him (both the money and the talent being shipped to Toronto). If we could get him on the cheap, I'd jump on the bandwagon in a moment. Going forward though, I'm not convinced that this is the best thing for the team a couple years from now. Glaus in RF did get me thinking, though. While I do think that would be an upgrade, there's somebody else I'd much rather acquire to play out of position. Mark Teixeira is available, under contract for one more season, and a beast on offense. He has previous RF experience, and was about the definition of average defensively out there. Considering the needs of Texas, we might be able to get a deal done involving Soto, EPatt, and Veal... all three of whom I'm sure the Cubs will screw up anyways. Meph, what do the numbers say about this idea?
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It proably makes up for a game where he pitched good and got no run support somewhere along the line. There was a start, I think in late April or early May, where Lilly pitched against Kyle Lohse at Wrigley and lost 1-0 after pitching a fantastic game.
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The NL leaderboard for WPA. 1. Barry Bonds - 3.53 2. Aramis Ramirez - 3.17 3. Prince Fielder - 3.06 4. Brad Hawpe - 3.02 5. Albert Pujols - 2.94 6. Troy Tulowitzky - 2.64 7. Chase Utley - 2.54 8. Todd Helton - 2.54 9. Miguel Cabrera - 2.31 10. Adrian Gonzalez - 2.07 11. Ken Griffey Jr. - 1.94 12. Derrek Lee - 1.94 Just food for thought.
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I have no problem with picking up Greinke to be in the bullpen this year with an eye on giving him a shot at the rotation next year. I'd be willing to part with EPatt and a decent prospect. Dotel, on the other hand, isn't worth near what he'd cost... especially when considering that our bullpen isn't our problem. Dempster, Marmol, Howry, Wuertz, and Ohman are all more than adequate when used correctly, and we're looking at possibly having Wood and Gooz return for the stretch run. Bottom line, this is a good bullpen. Wasting our tradeable assets on guys for the bullpen this year is not going to be an efficient use of resources. Those guys should be getting shipped out to help fill the voids at SS, C, CF, and RF... not for a fungible setup man.
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The reason it took so long to get rid of Dusty Baker was that the fans had deemed him untouchable after 2003. And in retrospect, it wasn't his brilliant moves that had gotten us there, we had done it in spite of him. I'm going to be smarter this time. What you do is up to you.
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Wow, I just found the perfect example of why I hate when ...
Rob replied to Bote McBoteface's topic in Chicago Cubs Talk
Nolan Ryan in 1987 threw 211.2 innings with a 2.76 ERA. That ERA was the best in the entire league among qualified hurlers, yet he went 8-16. Anybody paying the slightest bit of attention 20 years ago would have realized then exactly how useless a stat wins is to evaluate a pitcher. -
1. John Schuerholz 2. Billy Beane 3. Mark Shapiro 4. Terry Ryan 5. Dave Dombrowski 6. Larry Beinfest 7. Theo Epstein 8. Kevin Towers 9. Brian Cashman 10. Doug Melvin Narrowly missing the cut: Walt Jocketty, Omar Minaya, and Bill Stoneman Honestly though, I see there as being a huge divide after the top four.
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Meh.
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Dollars to dimes says that we send Soto down instead of just DFAing Hill.
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Most of the players disliked Barrett. Barrett was a bad defensive catcher, couldn't hit well, and Z nearly killed him. The Cubs have been great since he left. It was a good move. Everything I've ever heard suggests that Kendall is a tool that nobody likes. He also is a bad defensive catcher, and has on OPS over 150 points lower than Barrett. Seriously, Kendall has hurt his team more than any other player in the league outside of Dioner Navarro. Kendall quite simply is an offensive and defensive liability, and there have been rumors of him being an clubhouse cancer. So how on earth can you defend the Barrett trade, and think this is a good one for us? It's ridiculous. Edit: This hasn't been brought up yet, but Kendall has a FULL NO-TRADE CLAUSE.
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So wait... We get an old catcher who is terrible offensively and defensively, and takes up a huge chunk of the payroll. In exchange, we give up a better young catcher under club control for a few more years, plus a prospect. How much are the Brewers paying Hendry to do this?
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As of this morning, BP's playoff odds report suggests that the Cards have a .97090% chance of making the playoffs. If you look at the PECOTA-adjusted report, that number falls to .82385%. and all of baseball journalism is reporting them as ready to pounce. These are the same people who thought Howard was the NL MVP and Morneau was the AL MVP last year... when he was only the third best player on his own team. Bruce Miles and a few choice others aside, baseball journalists know less than the people they're reporting to.
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If he gets 3-4 more years of padding stats at his current level, or just slightly below, there's no way he shouldn't get in.
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As of this morning, BP's playoff odds report suggests that the Cards have a .97090% chance of making the playoffs. If you look at the PECOTA-adjusted report, that number falls to .82385%.
