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Rob

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Everything posted by Rob

  1. Rob
    Does this refer to Zambrano's verbal confrontation with DLee, or the front office and management's mishandling of him all season long?
  2. Rob
    I read that as "I don't understand that wins are a team statistic, and mean almost nothing at all for individuals." Carlos Zambrano was our best starter last season. And given what the rest of the rotation has done this year, he would have been #1 again this season if the front office hadn't bungled things so awfully.
  3. Rob
    QFT
  4. Rob
    Geovany Soto spent 3 years at Iowa before coming up at age 25. Chirinos is 26 and has put up ridiculous wOBAs the last 2 years including .428 this year. I'm not saying he is anywhere near the caliber of Geovany Soto but you can't tell me that no team would consider him a decent inclusion in a trade package. Obviously he isn't a centerpiece, but he has value. He was available last offseason to any team that wanted to take him in the Rule 5 draft. Nobody did. That would have cost 50k (25k really if you offered him back to his original team and they took him back). I'm quite aware of that. Did I suggest otherwise? Not at all. It was just additional information I thought would-be beneficial to anybody whotrying to put an approximate dollar vale on him.
  5. Rob
    Geovany Soto spent 3 years at Iowa before coming up at age 25. Chirinos is 26 and has put up ridiculous wOBAs the last 2 years including .428 this year. I'm not saying he is anywhere near the caliber of Geovany Soto but you can't tell me that no team would consider him a decent inclusion in a trade package. Obviously he isn't a centerpiece, but he has value. He was available last offseason to any team that wanted to take him in the Rule 5 draft. Nobody did. That would have cost 50k (25k really if you offered him back to his original team and they took him back).
  6. Rob
    I think statistically, 1st and 2nd, no outs with ordinary hitters both at-bat and on-deck, sac-ing is slightly better than batting in that situation. Run expectancy isn't much different with runners on 1st and 2nd with nobody out versus 2nd and 3rd with one out. So even if you assume a successful sac bunt, you haven't really gotten anywhere. And there's still that chance to fail.
  7. Rob
    Cubs currently with the #9 pick.
  8. Rob
    Alfonso
  9. Rob
    Yeah, I can hardly thank you fine folks (and all the contributors) enough. I may not post enough in this forum, but you bet your buns I'm reading every thread and absorbing every little piece of information I can.
  10. Rob
    Because he's not as good of a hitter yet as the guys in front of him.
  11. Rob
    If he randomly attributes things to the law of averages four times, surely one of those will be correct.
  12. Rob
    Just because... RF - Fukudome C - Soto 1B - whichever big slugger we get 3B - Ramirez CF - Byrd LF - Soriano SS - Castro Pitcher's spot 2B - DeWitt / Baker platoon
  13. Rob
    2005 DLee He was first in batting average, second in homers, and seventh in RBI. He needed five home runs and 21 RBI to tie for the lead in those categories. I wouldn't call that close. If memory serves, he was right at the top of everything in early August. He just couldn't fell behind after that.
  14. Rob
    If a mod feels like editing my post to deal with the formatting, feel free. I'm just copying and pasting from my spreadsheet. Pick Team W L W% GB 1 Pittsburgh 43 87 .331 0 2 Baltimore 48 83 .366 -4.5 3 Seattle 51 79 .392 -8 4 Arizona 52 79 .397 -8.5 5 Cleveland 53 77 .408 -10 6 Chicago 55 76 .420 -11.5 7 Kansas City 55 75 .423 -12 8 Washington 56 75 .427 -12.5 9 Houston 59 71 .454 -16 10 Milwaukee 62 68 .477 -19
  15. Rob
    I'd love to have him sitting in AAA in case of injury, but the list of available 1B this offseason is way too good to settle for a guy like Johnson.
  16. Rob
    Disagree with you. Fuku's contract is a sunk cost. Colvin's contract in comparison is minimal. Colvin is younger, will be cheaper and is under team contract for longer than Fukudome. The team should be thinking about the future not this year. Wow... what the hell were you responding to? 1.) I wasn't trying to say whether benching Fukudome in favor of Colvin was the right move or not, I was just laying out the financial side of the argument. So the argument regarding Colvin as younger, cheaper, etc... is responding to something I never said. 2.) Fukudome's contract is not a sunk cost. A sunk cost is defined when you have no ability to recover any portion of the money. Even the most enthusiastic of Fukudome haters out there have to admit that before the benching, he had some trade value. We would have had to eat some of his contract, of course. But we would not have had to eat the whole thing. Therefore, not a sunk cost. 3.) Playing Colvin necessitates benching Fukudome. Benching Fukudome negatively impacts his trade value. Therefore, playing Colvin over Fukudome has a cost equal to the decline of Fukudome's trade value ... in this case, certainly a few million dollars. We aren't getting increased production out of Colvin, so the only real question to ask ourselves is are we getting our money's worth by getting an extended look at Colvin + any increased trade value Colvin may accrue?
  17. Rob
    Colvin is costing us money by virtue of the fact that starting him in place of Fukudome (without any real gain in production) has completely tanked what was left of Fukudome's contract... so we'll have to eat the whole contract to move him. Is the better look we're getting at Colvin worth that money? Time will tell. Colvin is paid less and is providing pretty damn close to equal production, but that doesn't mean starting him was the right move in the short term.
  18. Rob
    I wouldn't read too much into the Pods vs. Castro thing. It's all about which defensive stats they've chosen to use... Pods comes in at -2 according to TZ, -8.2 according to UZR, and -13 according to BIS. Castro comes in at -13 according to TZ, -1.7 according to UZR, and +5 according to BIS. Using more data is always a good thing, so to get a better idea of what all three defensive systems are saying as opposed to just the one we can average em out and you have Pods at -7.7 and Castro at -3.2 as defenders. That's four and a half run advantage for Castro instead of an 11 run disadvantage. That's pretty huge.
  19. Rob
    I don't get the Fukudome hate. I guess it's a combination of his streakiness and the contract, but still... terrible isn't an adjective that should be used to describe him.
  20. Rob
    I wouldn't mind receiving his paychecks.
  21. Rob
    It's especially troublesome when it doesn't fit your pre-existing bias on a player. Or when it's propped up by SLG and has a really bad OBP. Like Soriano's lifetime stats ? Except Sori's lifetime OBP is higher than Colvin's, and Sori's SLG isn't also propped up by an unsustainable HR/FB rate. In defense of Colvin, his HR/FB rate is probably due for regression, but he hasn't exactly been getting lucky here. He's earned that rate so far this year. http://www.hittrackeronline.com/parks/Colvin_Tyler_2010_scatter.jpg He probably isn't about to join the upper echelon of power hitters like his current rate would suggest, but this is an extremely positive sign from a young player entering his prime years.
  22. Rob
    Dunn does not have a skillset that ages well. If the contract is short and sweet, I'd love to have him. If we're talking 4/50, I'm out. I'll be real interested to see what he gets, since front offices seem to either love him or want to stay the hell away. Billy Butler > Adam Dunn (with short contract) > Adrian Gonzalez (with market value extension) > Adam Dunn (with bigger pact) > Adrian Gonzalez (let him walk after season) > Prince Fielder (let him walk) > Carlos Pena > Lance Berkman > Jorge Cantu > Derrek Lee > Russell Branyan > Paul Konerko > Lyle Overbay > AAAA filler > David Ortiz > Prince Fielder (with market value extension)
  23. Rob
    He was our cheater.
  24. Rob
    i spent so much (relatively) money as a kid trying to get that frigging ron gant fleer rookie card My first "major" purchase as a kid was saving up to buy one of the full boxes of cards, instead of just 2-3 packs at a time.
  25. Rob
    i spent so much (relatively) money as a kid trying to get that frigging ron gant fleer rookie card My first "major" purchase as a kid was saving up to buy one of the full boxes of cards, instead of just 2-3 packs at a time.
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