Jump to content
North Side Baseball

Rob

Old-Timey Member
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    15,269

  • Joined

  • Last visited

  • Days Won

    13

 Content Type 

Profiles

Joomla Posts 1

Chicago Cubs Videos

Chicago Cubs Free Agent & Trade Rumors, Notes, & Tidbits

2026 Chicago Cubs Top Prospects Ranking

News

2023 Chicago Cubs Draft Picks

Guides & Resources

2024 Chicago Cubs Draft Picks

The Chicago Cubs Players Project

2025 Chicago Cubs Draft Pick Tracker

2026 Chicago Cubs Draft Pick Tracker

Blogs

Events

Forums

Store

Gallery

Everything posted by Rob

  1. Rob
    I really think it's time for a mid-season prospect list. Every single thread lately has been veering off into one anyways.
  2. Rob
    Type-A draft picks. If they're desperate and will take a #4 type pitcher for Werth, you can get Werth for an expendable pitcher you wouldn't mind parting with (who likely wouldn't be that great if he's a #4) and let Werth walk and take draft picks. I honestly don't care or not, but the thought did pop in my mind. So the plan is to give up a #4 pitcher, spend a bunch of money this year on a guy that has no position, offer arbitration and risk being in the same situation all of next year, all for a couple draft picks that might not even be in the first 30 (assuming Werth remains a Type A despite a poor 2010)? Seems a whole lot easier, cheaper and much less risky just to draft an extra overslot first-round talent or two in the 2nd-10th rounds. Wait wait wait. On what planet has Jayson Werth had a poor 2010 season?
  3. Rob
    Hey guys, remember when Jose Reyes moved to 2B so Kaz Matsui could play SS? Argue about whether that one is analogous or not for a while.
  4. Rob
    Couldn't a guy just say, "OK if you want me to waive my 10/5 rights, then you need to add a NTC to my contract"? They sure could, and they'd probably get it. But they're using their leverage on that instead of something else which might have a more tangible value... say an assignment bonus. Those aren't mutually exclusive. It's not like you are allowed only one concession. They could be mutually exclusive. Leverage only extends so far.
  5. Rob
    Couldn't a guy just say, "OK if you want me to waive my 10/5 rights, then you need to add a NTC to my contract"? They sure could, and they'd probably get it. But they're using their leverage on that instead of something else which might have a more tangible value... say an assignment bonus.
  6. Rob
    20 Lmao no try 24 Actually, the league has cracked down reaaalllly hard after all the embarrassments they had back when the news broke that everybody was older than their stated ages.
  7. Rob
    would be a bit redundant, but i guess i can't put it past Hendry anyway. It'd actually be a good move by Hendry to give DLee a full NTC with a new deal. It might cut down the cost and the 10/5 rights would make it irrelevant. Why would it cut down the cost? NTC's have value. Even when the player already has 10/5 rights.
  8. Rob
    I don't think so. Kendall and Pierre were Type B FAs who netted the Cubs an extra draft pick apiece, but that's about it, from my memory. To be quite honest, I'm not sure what to make of this information...if anything. With talented players performing well, the Cubs tend hand out extensions when those players' contracts are expiring (Lee, Ramirez, Zambrano, etc.). Most of the players the Cubs have traded away were pretty much at the nadir of their careers and didn't merit much, if anything, in the way of compensation as free agents (Michael Barrett, Sammy Sosa, Corey Patterson, Greg Maddux). And we only got the Kendall comp pick because he signed so early, IIRC.
  9. Rob
    There really ought to be a feigned surprise smiley.
  10. Rob
    Don't fool yourself into thinking that matters to Goony.
  11. Rob
    This is correct. It's almost like leading off with Aaron Miles It's actually nothing like that since the pitcher batting eighth is as inconsequential as Manny Ramirez batting fourth and David Ortiz batting third. You're giving a pitcher more PAs than certain position players over the course of the year. That's just annoying, not to mention stupid It makes surprisingly little difference as is. If they moved Pujols up to 2nd in the order, the pitcher 8th thing would be a significant benefit. As is, it's about a wash.
  12. Rob
    I think your fast track is a bit slow. Fast track would be finishing in Daytona this year. Starting off next year there, aggressively promoted to Tenn after a few weeks of success. Jump to Iowa to start 2012, big league callup whenever the need arrises.
  13. Rob
    Theriot has also been caught five times. All in all, he's generated about .29 runs with his stolen bases. Everything considered, his baserunning has actually cost us about a half a run compared to what an average player would provide us (an average player, not an average 2B). Let's not pretend his speed is doing us even that slight amount of good. Hell, Theriot has basically been the definition of a replacement level player this year. That said, Fontenot is our best option, and has been all season.
  14. Rob
    I'm not quite as big into the camp of devaluing relievers, but this is interesting: Mariano Rivera total WAR over 16 seasons: 36.0 Javier Vazquez total WAR over 13 seasons: 52.6 That's not really fair. WAR doesn't include leverage... and it is based on FIP, a metric which Rivera seems to have shown somewhat of an ability to outperform, and Vazquez has inexplicably shown an ability to perennially underperform.
  15. Rob
    Once again: Career 105 wRC+, above average defensively in left. He succeeded at the major league level.
  16. Rob
    Mo and KRod, almost. Making $13m in arbitration is unlikely, but getting that much in free agency is possible if he maintains his level of performance for the next few years. Remember, the last year of arbitration is 100% of market value. It's not like earlier arb years where there's a discout involved. No arbiter is going to give a guy with less than 100 career saves 13M Maybe he'll go all John Smoltz on us next year, who cares. I never picked out the damn number, just implied there was a slim chance that it could happen. And I stand by that.
  17. Rob
    Mo and KRod, almost. Making $13m in arbitration is unlikely, but getting that much in free agency is possible if he maintains his level of performance for the next few years. Remember, the last year of arbitration is 100% of market value. It's not like earlier arb years where there's a discout involved.
  18. Rob
    You're really making yourself look bad here. If you think it's a bad idea to trade Marmol, then say so. But stop inventing future hypocritical arguments and applying them to people in an effort to make yourself look correct. A lot of people (myself included) fear that moving Marmol would put Hendry in a position where he'd keep Cashner in a relief role. That's a legitimate fear. Backtobanks scenario is less likely, but I don't see it making him look all that far out there. Less likely? how many arb-eligible closers pull in $13m? how many FA closers pull in $13m? 2012 is his last year of arbitration eligibility, IIRC. So he's free-market price that year. Off the top of my head, I think Rivera, Cordero, Wood and K-Rod make over 10 mil a year. And Papelbon is just short, but still in his 2nd year of arb. There may be others, as well.
  19. Rob
    You're really making yourself look bad here. If you think it's a bad idea to trade Marmol, then say so. But stop inventing future hypocritical arguments and applying them to people in an effort to make yourself look correct. A lot of people (myself included) fear that moving Marmol would put Hendry in a position where he'd keep Cashner in a relief role. That's a legitimate fear. Backtobanks scenario is less likely, but I don't see it making him look all that far out there.
  20. Rob
    It'd have to be a 3 team deal. Phils get pitcher from crappy team. Mystery team gets Werth. Crappy team gets prospects from mystery team.
  21. Rob
    As much as it pains me to say this, Jim Edmonds was better than both of them for the entire time he played. It pains me to read that, because it's patently false. Patently? I don't think so. It's really not even up for debate. Joe Morgan would probably agree with you. So you should probably reconsider your position.
  22. Rob
    Let's get this over with now...
  23. Rob
    For a while at least, the thinking was that Lake would grow off of SS and end up at 3rd. Not still if that's still the case or not.
  24. Rob
    I wouldn't mind taking a flier on Scott Elbert if we're talking with the Dodgers. Obviously not the main piece in a trade at this point, but still...
  25. Rob
    Sorry about the word nobody. I'm sure one out of every 500 kids may have looked at it once. The number may have grown for kids of the 2000s, with all the information about stats readily available to everybody. But the vast, vast, vast majority of kids never looked at a baseball card and subtracted AVG from SLG to determine which players were power hitters. Again, because I feel the need to say this one more time... I never did that to determine anything. I simply noticed the correlation. The thing I took issue with was hawkeyecub calling me a liar. For something so plausible (even if somewhat rare), I don't take kindly to accusations. You suggested I didn't understand basic math at a young age. I don't take kindly to accusations. That is extremely offensive. You're just being a jerk to be a jerk. God, please deliver unto me imb! I think I deserve a better nemesis than this.
×
×
  • Create New...