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Rob

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Everything posted by Rob

  1. I'd say he is relative to what free agents have been getting the last few offseasons. Would he get a $13M/yr deal if he was a FA right now? Don't forget, the teams that would be acquiring him are the ones who are looking to make it into (or further into) the postseason, making a marginal upgrade more valuable to them than it would be to other teams. That said, if we're going to move him, I don't have a problem with us picking up the whole sum and getting back some real nice prospects. It's not like the window will be open next season, so the payroll wont be handicapping us from making the move that might put us over.
  2. Any thoughts on who might get sent directly to Boise after signing?
  3. lincecum is different, though. i have the feeling that that guy could throw 200 pitches and not be the worse for wear. his mechanics are just too perfect. at 5-10 you don't have much room for wasted energy, everything has to be fluid in order to throw so hard and so well. it's why his dad made the pitching coach at washington promise to leave his delivery alone before he'd allow him to sign an loi. strasburg is in wood/prior mold. lots of energy moving in conflicting directions, enormous legs putting thousands of pounds of pressure on a lagging elbow. unsustainable curveball. i give him 200 innings before his first major career-impacting injury. lincecum has already lost velocity and the knock on him his whole career, even pre-draft, has been poor mechanics and too much movement in his delivery I don't know that I'd say his mechanics are "poor", but they're certainly unorthodox.
  4. I'd be real happy with Gray if he's still on the board when we pick.
  5. Glad to see Huseby still listed as a pitcher. I was beginning to wonder given the DHing. Really anxious to see what Alcantara can do.
  6. It takes like 5 seconds to hit "add foe" and never have to see somebody's posts again. For all the complaining about certain members of this board, I haven't understood the reluctance by so many to hit a button and make them essentially disappear.
  7. Probably already been posted, but... http://www.theonion.com/video/soccer-officially-announces-it-is-gay,17603/
  8. If it's what it took to get him to sign, I wouldn't mind pulling a Casey Kelly with Eibner.
  9. Well, I can't say that I get the pick. But after being made to look foolish after I lashed out at Wilken the last couple first rounds, I'm gonna bite my tongue. I can't say there was any talent on the board so overwhelming that who we should have taken wasn't wide open anyways.
  10. According to WAR, DLee was the 19th most valuable player in baseball last season, ahead of guys like Pablo Sandoval, Jayson Werth, Ryan Howard, Matt Kemp, Jason Bay, Dustin Pedroia, Shin-soo Choo, Ichiro Suzuki, Ryan Braun, Alex Rodriguez, Ian Kinsler, etc... I don't think that's a "7" season.
  11. I don't know if I feel more sorry for Galarraga or Joyce.
  12. Pena is a FA at the end of the season. I'd have more interest if he weren't a Boras client... but he aint coming cheap.
  13. seriously? You wouldn't rather have a guy that puts up a .900 OPS every month than a guy that goes .700 to 1.100 to .700 to 1.100 to .700 to 1.100 over the course of the 6 months? You realize you don't just add up the runs at the end of the season and the teams with the best run differential makes the playoffs, right? I'd rather have the inconsistent one, and just sub in another player when he's on a cold streak. Math'd coaches are always great at identifying streaks and making the switch. That's a mark against the coach, not the player.
  14. I sure hope that's sarcasm.
  15. seriously? You wouldn't rather have a guy that puts up a .900 OPS every month than a guy that goes .700 to 1.100 to .700 to 1.100 to .700 to 1.100 over the course of the 6 months? You realize you don't just add up the runs at the end of the season and the teams with the best run differential makes the playoffs, right? One of the popular sabermetric sites (can't recall which one) did an analysis that showed that the streaky player generates more wins. I'm fairly certain that pops up in The Book, by Tom Tango. Can't recall anywhere else it might've been, or the extent of how much the streaky player really adds over a consistent one.
  16. seriously? You wouldn't rather have a guy that puts up a .900 OPS every month than a guy that goes .700 to 1.100 to .700 to 1.100 to .700 to 1.100 over the course of the 6 months? You realize you don't just add up the runs at the end of the season and the teams with the best run differential makes the playoffs, right? I'd rather have the inconsistent one, and just sub in another player when he's on a cold streak. Math'd
  17. In the pregame show today, Lou made it sound like he's giving Fontenot a chance to take over the starting 2B gig.
  18. I don't see it as a judgement call. Performance is easily observed. Vitters has not been up to snuff. Any time he has a brief window of success, they promote him. I don't see the point. He could be dominating the FSL right now, after dominating the midwest league last year, and a hot commodity in the trade market. Instead he's a guy with a questionable track record that hasn't come close to living up to his draft position whose biggest positives has been a boss who is happy to promote him. Well if you're back to it being substandard performance instead of an inadequate amount of time, I have to ask again. What numbers do you need to see to justify a promotion?
  19. If we wanted to sell him, we'd probably have to bring the money owed down to the $30 mil range for the 4 years left on the contract, give or take a couple mil.
  20. Don't forget to adjust for the league he's playing in. .328/.365/.498 in Boise (hitters league) .316/.351/.535 in Peoria (significant pitchers league) .291/.350/.445 in Daytona (the best league for pitchers) What numbers do you need to see him put up before you promote him? Significant period of time. When I last looked at his Daytona numbers he was something like 20th, behind a whole bunch of other corner position players, and some middle infielders. That's not dominating a league, and that's not any significant period of time either. I just don't see why he's a 20 year old in AA given his track record. Once a guy hits AA, the calls to bring him to the majors start up. I just think he's so far from being a potential big leaguer, there's no reason why he can't still be in Daytona, slowly climbing the ladder (and that wouldn't even be slow). Personally, I don't have any problem with the promotions to Peoria and Daytona... and I'd agree with you that we probably should have kept him in Daytona a bit longer before moving him up to AA. But really, it's a judgment call and if Fleita saw something that made him think an aggressive promotion may help, I'd have to give him the benefit of the doubt.
  21. Don't forget to adjust for the league he's playing in. .328/.365/.498 in Boise (hitters league) .316/.351/.535 in Peoria (significant pitchers league) .291/.350/.445 in Daytona (the best league for pitchers) What numbers do you need to see him put up before you promote him?
  22. All of those guys had been starters their entire careers until that point and had built up arm strength, as well as had time to work on secondary pitches. Highest IP number reached in a single season by those guys before their callups: Wainwright - 182.0 Martinez - 177.1 Liriano - 167.2 Santana - 160.1 Zambrano - 153.1 Price - 133.1 (college junior) Cashner - 100.1 And let's not forget the fact that most of those guys also had 2-4 times as many total innings as Cashner. Cashner can probably help our pen this season. But let's not pretend he doesn't need the innings... There's something like a 0% chance this move doesn't hurt his ability to start all next season and stay healthy.
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