Jump to content
Join us for a livestream as we discuss the red-hot Cubs, starting at 4pm Central time! ×
North Side Baseball

Rob

Old-Timey Member
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    15,250

  • Joined

  • Last visited

  • Days Won

    13

 Content Type 

Profiles

Joomla Posts 1

Chicago Cubs Videos

Chicago Cubs Free Agent & Trade Rumors, Notes, & Tidbits

2026 Chicago Cubs Top Prospects Ranking

News

2023 Chicago Cubs Draft Picks

Guides & Resources

2024 Chicago Cubs Draft Picks

The Chicago Cubs Players Project

2025 Chicago Cubs Draft Pick Tracker

Blogs

Events

Forums

Store

Gallery

Everything posted by Rob

  1. Rob
    Well, I can't say that I get the pick. But after being made to look foolish after I lashed out at Wilken the last couple first rounds, I'm gonna bite my tongue. I can't say there was any talent on the board so overwhelming that who we should have taken wasn't wide open anyways.
  2. Rob
    According to WAR, DLee was the 19th most valuable player in baseball last season, ahead of guys like Pablo Sandoval, Jayson Werth, Ryan Howard, Matt Kemp, Jason Bay, Dustin Pedroia, Shin-soo Choo, Ichiro Suzuki, Ryan Braun, Alex Rodriguez, Ian Kinsler, etc... I don't think that's a "7" season.
  3. Rob
    I don't know if I feel more sorry for Galarraga or Joyce.
  4. Rob
    Pena is a FA at the end of the season. I'd have more interest if he weren't a Boras client... but he aint coming cheap.
  5. Rob
    seriously? You wouldn't rather have a guy that puts up a .900 OPS every month than a guy that goes .700 to 1.100 to .700 to 1.100 to .700 to 1.100 over the course of the 6 months? You realize you don't just add up the runs at the end of the season and the teams with the best run differential makes the playoffs, right? I'd rather have the inconsistent one, and just sub in another player when he's on a cold streak. Math'd coaches are always great at identifying streaks and making the switch. That's a mark against the coach, not the player.
  6. Rob
    I sure hope that's sarcasm.
  7. Rob
    seriously? You wouldn't rather have a guy that puts up a .900 OPS every month than a guy that goes .700 to 1.100 to .700 to 1.100 to .700 to 1.100 over the course of the 6 months? You realize you don't just add up the runs at the end of the season and the teams with the best run differential makes the playoffs, right? One of the popular sabermetric sites (can't recall which one) did an analysis that showed that the streaky player generates more wins. I'm fairly certain that pops up in The Book, by Tom Tango. Can't recall anywhere else it might've been, or the extent of how much the streaky player really adds over a consistent one.
  8. Rob
    seriously? You wouldn't rather have a guy that puts up a .900 OPS every month than a guy that goes .700 to 1.100 to .700 to 1.100 to .700 to 1.100 over the course of the 6 months? You realize you don't just add up the runs at the end of the season and the teams with the best run differential makes the playoffs, right? I'd rather have the inconsistent one, and just sub in another player when he's on a cold streak. Math'd
  9. Rob
    In the pregame show today, Lou made it sound like he's giving Fontenot a chance to take over the starting 2B gig.
  10. Rob
    Your mom plays nice.
  11. Rob
    I don't see it as a judgement call. Performance is easily observed. Vitters has not been up to snuff. Any time he has a brief window of success, they promote him. I don't see the point. He could be dominating the FSL right now, after dominating the midwest league last year, and a hot commodity in the trade market. Instead he's a guy with a questionable track record that hasn't come close to living up to his draft position whose biggest positives has been a boss who is happy to promote him. Well if you're back to it being substandard performance instead of an inadequate amount of time, I have to ask again. What numbers do you need to see to justify a promotion?
  12. Rob
    If we wanted to sell him, we'd probably have to bring the money owed down to the $30 mil range for the 4 years left on the contract, give or take a couple mil.
  13. Rob
    Don't forget to adjust for the league he's playing in. .328/.365/.498 in Boise (hitters league) .316/.351/.535 in Peoria (significant pitchers league) .291/.350/.445 in Daytona (the best league for pitchers) What numbers do you need to see him put up before you promote him? Significant period of time. When I last looked at his Daytona numbers he was something like 20th, behind a whole bunch of other corner position players, and some middle infielders. That's not dominating a league, and that's not any significant period of time either. I just don't see why he's a 20 year old in AA given his track record. Once a guy hits AA, the calls to bring him to the majors start up. I just think he's so far from being a potential big leaguer, there's no reason why he can't still be in Daytona, slowly climbing the ladder (and that wouldn't even be slow). Personally, I don't have any problem with the promotions to Peoria and Daytona... and I'd agree with you that we probably should have kept him in Daytona a bit longer before moving him up to AA. But really, it's a judgment call and if Fleita saw something that made him think an aggressive promotion may help, I'd have to give him the benefit of the doubt.
  14. Rob
    Don't forget to adjust for the league he's playing in. .328/.365/.498 in Boise (hitters league) .316/.351/.535 in Peoria (significant pitchers league) .291/.350/.445 in Daytona (the best league for pitchers) What numbers do you need to see him put up before you promote him?
  15. Rob
    All of those guys had been starters their entire careers until that point and had built up arm strength, as well as had time to work on secondary pitches. Highest IP number reached in a single season by those guys before their callups: Wainwright - 182.0 Martinez - 177.1 Liriano - 167.2 Santana - 160.1 Zambrano - 153.1 Price - 133.1 (college junior) Cashner - 100.1 And let's not forget the fact that most of those guys also had 2-4 times as many total innings as Cashner. Cashner can probably help our pen this season. But let's not pretend he doesn't need the innings... There's something like a 0% chance this move doesn't hurt his ability to start all next season and stay healthy.
  16. Rob
    [expletive] you, grabow.
  17. Rob
    Whether the outcome is substantially different this year or not (in terms of ISO), it's hard to watch Castro and Theriot hit and not see a huge difference in the way the ball comes off the bat. The results bear that out too. Take a look at Theriot's HRs (2006-2009) http://www.hittrackeronline.com/parks/Theriot_Ryan_2006_scatter.jpg http://www.hittrackeronline.com/parks/Theriot_Ryan_2007_scatter.jpg http://www.hittrackeronline.com/parks/Theriot_Ryan_2008_scatter.jpg http://www.hittrackeronline.com/parks/Theriot_Ryan_2009_scatter.jpg Ryan Theriot basically has to pull the ball to generate any power at all, with 12 of his 14 career HR going to left field. Only 2 were hit to center, and he has managed zero opposite field HR in over 2000 PA... this despite the fact that his approach has him putting the ball in opposite field most of the time. Castro put one over the RF stands in his first PA. Do we expect him to showcase usable power in his first ML season at age 20? No. And nobody should. But just because he isn't showing it like you might like in the early going doesn't mean it's anything to be concerned about.
  18. Rob
    Very true, I just have little to no interest in limping into the playoffs and getting swept in three games again. To me, that winds up being about as fulfilling as having missed the playoffs by a few games. Go big or go home, as they say. I have a lot of interest in limping into the playoffs. It means we have a 1 and 8 chance of winning the World Series. it doesn't mean that at all, it means there are 8 teams in the playoffs. the better teams have a better chance of winning the world series. The degree to which that is true is probably smaller than you think.
  19. Rob
    What exactly is the benefit? Doesn't this lower his trade value? It lowers his trade value in the short term, sure... But I'm actually buying Jackson as somebody who can step into the 8th inning on the big league club almost immediately.
  20. Rob
    I'm less upset about the Jackson thing than I probably should be. I just see him as somebody who would be much more valuable as a starter if we had a spot available for him, but since we don't and his stuff plays up in the pen (where we need help at the moment), why not make it a temporary move? It's not like he needs the innings like Cashner does.
  21. Rob
    In fairness to Grabow, he's sporting a nasty .409 BABIP and a below average strand rate. But I still want to put a tire iron to the back of his head until he's a big, gooey mess.
  22. Rob
    If Bengie is upset for himself, then he needs to grow thicker skin. If Bengie is upset for Giants fans, he's got a legit point. If there was only enough room to highlight one thing from that game, there were much better things ESPN should have focused on.
  23. Rob
    That BABIP is pretty high, but even tweaking it down to his xBABIP I'm coming up with a line of .319/.425/.524 That doesn't exactly have a whole bunch of predicative value with 32 PA, but it does show that Castro is legitimately hitting very well at the moment. Of course, the real challenge will be after the pitchers get the book on him and he has to start making adjustments, but I have faith.
  24. Rob
    I'm gonna be at the Memphis Redbirds game tonight as part of a bachelor party. Took a quick look at the rosters and there are some flashes in the way back machine (Rich Hill, Sean Gallagher, Radhames Liz, Ruben Gotay, Eric Munson, etc...), but there doesn't appear to be much in the way of real prospects from either the redbirds or the portland beavers, save for maybe Aaron Cunningham.
  25. Rob
    It likely will be. Teams weren't really exploiting the rule until recently, so it wasn't really an issue. I cant imagine it has a great chance of sticking around through another CBA negotiation.
×
×
  • Create New...